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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
542 AM CST Fri Jan 15 2021
.SHORT TERM.../Today through Tonight/
Issued at 244 AM CST Fri Jan 15 2021
Confidence: High
Storm currently progressing as expected with a nearly stationary and
vertically stacked system over northeast Iowa. Models handling the
low well and continue to expect the occluded system to track south
southwest with time early this morning. As it does, the low will
continue to fill as warmer air aloft gets pulled into the storm from
the northeast. The most intense winds both at the sfc and aloft will
remain on the west/southwest edge of the stacked low. At 130 am,
winds are gusting from 40 to 50 mph at Estherville southwest to
Harlan with the highest gust at this time at Sioux City at 57 mph.
Over central Iowa winds remain generally from 25 gusting to 35
with eastern areas in the 15 to 25 mph range. The lowest visibility
continues to be tied to the higher winds over the west with 1/4
to 3/4 most common. Both the HRRR and synoptic models support a
gradual lessening in winds speeds back toward the west after 13z
this morning as the low continues to push south into Missouri this
morning. Additionally, we expect to see another .20 to .40 inch
of moisture in the form of another 2 to 5 inches of snowfall
today. This will bring totals in line to the original 3 to 4 east
to 4 to 7+ in the central to northern areas.
Occasional snow squalls this afternoon! While it won't really amount to much accumulation, at least it will be snowing, hard a times. Snow showers look to continue all weekend but still forecasting less than an inch of snow total between now and Sunday night.
I mean I know we have to share but enough is enough.
Seems like everyone is getting snow except the Northeast.
The X's continue. No 2"+ snows until the 20th at least. TIC TOCK!!! After next week we have 4 weeks left.
Don't rule out March. A few years ago we had a few major snowstorms in a row in March.
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