[Cambium]

Wow, talk about spitting image. Winter 1997-98 on left, 2011-12 on right. Bottom 2 are for January 1st - March 1st only for those years.



And here's last years for a fun comparison using just Dec. 1st to Feb 1st.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by GraniteStater

The only thing that can reverse the trend is a strongly positive PNA and a western ridge. It could happen down the road. The average last freeze in NH is the middle of May so I'm wondering what your thoughts were for the interior northern sections based on the current crazy pattern?

Yeah down here our safe transplant day is mothers day so Mid May. My personal opinion, we will need a strong Tropical system to nudge the pattern we're in. So does that mean June/ July we change? Maybe.. Now I'm thinking a Very warm Spring for interior sections and entire NorthEast and a cooler than average 1st half of Summer..

Have we gotten hit with Tropical systems 2 years in a row before?

If....If, we enter El Nino by August 1st and it continues to strrengthen into Fall, expect some active weather between July and November
(I can see everyone saving this link) LOL

[wavehunter007]

Here on the coast of Connecticut – April 12th is normally the last frost/freeze. Normally by mid April, most areas of southern Connecticut/Long Island/NYC/NJ are safe from frost. Based on what they are saying, I don’t think the pattern will change anytime soon….we should be in for at least a normal spring and summer, if not warmer than normal. There seems to be no chance of below normal temps anytime soon. I think the first highs in the 70’s have a shot of coming this month, and first 80’s in early April (although that is not really abnormal). The main thing I see with a rather calm pattern is pretty dry conditions. That Bermuda High looks to be quite intense this spring and summer.

So overall I think most of the East Coast should see normal if not above normal temps from March through at least August, but likely dry conditions much of the time. I think a modest drought is likely from Florida to at least South Carolina, and overall dry conditions from NC to RI.


Warmest Spring in Years to Fuel Active Severe Weather (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/accuweather-spring-2012-forecast-severe-tornado-widespread-warm/62087 - broken link)

[andthentherewere3]

I keep watching the weather forecasts, and yesterday it was 60's all this week, this morning it was low 60's and 59 Thursday, now it's 50's from Thursday through Sunday. The latest forecasts are getting cooler, why is that?

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by andthentherewere3

I keep watching the weather forecasts, and yesterday it was 60's all this week, this morning it was low 60's and 59 Thursday, now it's 50's from Thursday through Sunday. The latest forecasts are getting cooler, why is that?

Maybe in a weird way it's because they UPPED the highs for tomorrow (even with the rain in the morning?) They're easily showing 75 in NYC tomorrow (ironically, won't set a record for the date because tomorrow's date in 1990 started an incredible and unprecedented for the time of year string of temperatures in the mid-upper 80s throughout the Northeast).

[GraniteStater]

Extremely warm right now in NH. The NWS Gray, ME failed miserably again with a forecasted high in the upper 50s. It is 67F now and the record for the date is 62F.

[GraniteStater]

I looked at the 500mb height anomalies and they are running 250-350 above average for the east with the peak anomaly located in New England. Negative anomalies are near the Pacific Coast and parts of the Arctic. It seemed like the past several winters the opposite scenario was true with the geographic location of the positive and negative height anomalies.

[Arm&Hammer]

feels like 70 today

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by GraniteStater

Extremely warm right now in NH. The NWS Gray, ME failed miserably again with a forecasted high in the upper 50s. It is 67F now and the record for the date is 62F.

I'm wondering if that dry ground theory is in effect. Basically if ground isnt moist enough it will be warmer than forecasted or feel warmer than if we had average precip. I think we're well under where we should be as far as rainfall.

If we don't get good rains the dry ground will breed warmer temps.

At least less risk for bugs. I prefer cold over heat but I prefer heat over bugs.

[Arm&Hammer]

It was 71 degrees today on a winter day... and as I was saying a while back I was not doubting that we would see 70s this early... who knows maybe 80s near end of the month to early nexts month. It's possible! cold winter lovers really feeling the heat LOL