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Looks like my upper level pattern is gonna flat line out. And we are gonna have a well above normal week, and i expect to go into March with super above normal temps and little rain. I guess i should be very happy we had one month that had some real winter weather since 2010. March used to be our coldest and worst weather month for years back in the 80's. The last many Marches have been super warm and most were dry.
Here in NW NJ, we did get some snow early this morning. More like snow pellets. It has already melted off the cars and roads. I am a little disappointed in this winter though. Not enough snow.
Thanks for the report...yeah, I only had 3-4 weeks of good snows. (Dec 9-Jan 4) This winter might be remembered for being cold without much snow. We'll see.
7:20-11:20am Loop.
Philly reporting Sleet right now.
Interesting to see the D.C suburbs getting snow but it's all changing over now. You can see the southerly push. Virginia getting sleet in spots too. Low level cold air still hanging on.
Nothing in NYC yet. Allentown getting a good clip of snow.
Rain moving super fast and just a few miles offshore from me. Hope to get at least .30" total. Local amounts won't be much at the fast pace it is moving.
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1242 PM EST Sun Feb 4 2018.
Both events have uncertainty on
precipitation type and amount in this La Nina Ohio Valley
tending storm track, that still is without blocking. Its been a
good winter so far and the snow lovers are clamoring for more,
but sometimes its not our turn. In this pattern, it is all about
timing timing timing (just like todays front end thump developing
in parts of e central and ne PA)! Is there enough leftover cold
air to allow the front end of storms to produce snow and ice
events.
Blocking seems to be needed to pack in the big cold high
across Quebec and so far...no go. Yet...its February, still in
the coldest part of winter.
The blocking potential could change in late February and March,
but often the teleconnection blocking cues modeled beyond day
10, dont pan out as expected.
Its still mid winter and February-
early March can be quite productive for snow and ice. We`ll see
what happens as the trough at mid and high levels continues to
be modeled to remain in the eastern half of the USA for at least
the next 16 days
Here I am pondering something on this "rainy" Sunday afternoon...
On March 10, 2017 we had a snowstorm here. Half foot of snow.
March 10th, 2017 vs today Feb 4th, 2018
No High Pressure in Quebec, like today.
5000' temps just below freezing, like today.
Snow started in the morning, rain started in early afternoon
Temps were upper 30s before the snow started, temps upper 30s before rain started
Temps were in the 50s and 60s day before (), yesterday was in the 20s.
Winds were from the Northeast, today from the EastNorthEast
Dewpoints were in the 20s before the snow, dews were in the 30s before the rain
So the only differences is the wind direction and dews,.... and storm track.. better track March 10th than today. Those Lake cutters are snow killers for coast
Wow at the snow in Kansas, Missouri, Illinois which is moving into Indiana and Kentucky this evening. Looks like it's moving fast
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), yesterday was in the 20s.
