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Had some flurries this morning from a weak embedded vort max rotating through a broad upper trough. The
atmosphere was saturated. Weak instability in the area provided for the snow showers/flurries.
Now waiting for the snow that will turn to rain tomorrow. So much fun. More rain. 4.55" OF RAIN in last 3 weeks.
Be fun to see what interior gets tomorrow.
Haven't had more than 2.1" of snow since January 4th.
I don't see any more big snowstorms after tomorrow NOR do I see any cold patterns. Spring Soon?
North of the MA border there's an 8"+ snowpack. Caribou Maine got 2 feet on the ground right now and more coming.
They said this one was exactly like the Jan 85 split when places in the deep south went into single digits and we had our second coldest temp ever recorded. God if only this could happen to Europe for once. That is all I ask for.
Places like Savannah had their coldest temp ever. I just know this will avoid Europe. I hate them. joking lol.
Winter Storm Warning in effect from 4AM to 9PM tomorrow with 4-7 inches of snow and a tenth of an inch of ice forecast.
NWS Mount Holly's discussion for tomorrow. Events like this must be difficult to forecast:
Quote:
.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
As we approach and go through the daybreak hours, temperatures at
the ground and aloft begin to warm, and a wintry mix begins to take
place. We expect a period of snow, sleet, and/or freezing rain to
develop for much of the area, before most places warm through the
day and change over to all rain. For most of coastal New Jersey and
the southern half of our Delware and Maryland counties, we expect
the precipitation to be either snow/sleet, or all rain. Surface
temperatures are expected to warm above freezing before
precipitation starts, so freezing rain is not expected to be a
problem there, so we did not issue an advisory there.
For areas along the I-95/NJ Turnpike corridor, including
Philadelphia and closest suburbs, we expect less than a half inch of
snow and a possible glaze of ice from freezing rain. These areas are
expected to change over to rain by the mid-late morning hours, so
the advisory here ends earlier.
For areas along the outer suburbs of Philadelphia and portions of
central New Jersey, the wintry mix could last longer, so we could
see an inch or two of snow, with a few hundredths of an inch of ice.
The advisory ends here during the early afternoon. The precipitation
is expected to change over to rain by the early afternoon.
Farther north across Berks County, the Lehigh Valley, and portions
of northern New Jersey, we could have 2 to 4 inches of snow and up
to a tenth of an inch of ice from freezing rain. We have issued an
advisory here as well as conditions are not forecast to meet warning
criteria before changing to rain as temperatures warm slightly
during the afternoon, before dropping again by the evening hours.
The advisory here continues through the afternoon and into the
evening.
Finally, across Carbon/Monroe, PA and Sussex, NJ, we have issued a
Winter Storm Warning as we expect upward of 4-7 inches of snow, in
addition to up to a tenth of an inch of ice from freezing rain as
temperatures aloft warm and create some freezing fain late in the
day. Some areas may warm above freezing, but the higher elevations
will likely stay below freezing through the event. The warning
continues through the afternoon and into the evening.
Currently here in Aurora, ME...23FDegrees, Dew Point, 16F Degrees, Winds North 4mph...WINTER STORM WARNING from 10:00am Wednesday to 1:00 Thursday am for 6-9 and (other forecasts are for 8-12" of snow)" of Snow and 1/10 "ice accumulations!
Of course it's going to happen during the commute, because that's what makes us tough DownEasters! Know we'll make it home, no matter what!
Let's be careful out there!
A sharp northern stream shortwave digs over the Great Lakes
and phases with a southern stream shortwave. This turns the
upper flow more from the southwest and forming a surface low
that moves up the Southern Appalachians and towards the Canadian Maritime Provinces
and draws above average moisture north from the Gulf of Mexico.
A sharp northern stream shortwave digs over the Great Lakes
and phases with a southern stream shortwave. This turns the
upper flow more from the southwest and forming a surface low
that moves up the Southern Appalachians and towards the Canadian Maritime Provinces
and draws above average moisture north from the Gulf of Mexico.
Snow Total Forecast. If that storm track was 100 miles south NYC would be getting 6"+ and Vermont less. Oh well.
2:30-6:30pm loop with upper heights. Looks stormy down south this evening.
I'm on the 6-8"/4-6" border, so I'm guessing around 6" here. I just hope we don't turn to ice... will make a terrible commute
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Would love to set some record lows especially considering how mild this winter has been.
lol
