Winter Thread 2015-16 (Northern Hemisphere) (maximum, outside, picture, snow)

[tom77falcons]

Originally Posted by Cambium

https://twitter.com/DrShepherd2013/s...03875866800128

Looking thru the record for Philly, this is getting very scary. When the month of December is very warm, almost always late January and February are just plain brutally cold.

This winter will be a repeat of last winter. I'm calling it now. By late Jan and Feb El Nino will be much weaker, and the polar vortex will let loose on North America.

[GraniteStater]

Originally Posted by Cambium

https://twitter.com/DrShepherd2013/s...03875866800128

Not completely likely based on GFS indication of significant pattern shift for US after the middle of the month. All it takes is one ridge to pop in the Pacific and that is what the 0Z indicated. Haven't looked at the new models yet.

[GraniteStater]

^
Never mind, not terribly impressed with 12Z model run, just slightly less blowtorch like for along and after mid-month.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by GraniteStater

^
Never mind, not terribly impressed with 12Z model run, just slightly less blowtorch like for along and after mid-month.

Just played the loop. It's like WTF are the only words I know lately. WTF! I do like that Blizzard for Mid West in 2 weeks. lol Unreal pattern. At least last year we had November to get excited about. Zip this year. Zip. WTF!

Here's the current setup right now above us. Nice to see a forsaken Ridge in the west...weak.. but gees, STAY THERE YOU BASTARD! LOL

That trough is moving East. Heads up Kentucky, 850mb Freezing line coming with it. Should be chilly in couple days there?

But more importantly.. Storms are cutting to the Great Lakes , a NO NO for the East as it rains and warms up like that. STOP CUTTING!! Snow for Plains and Mid West with a track like that.

Thanks to that Upper Low moving East, it will bring the trough into the Northeast as well. But guess what... Ba Bye. Warm up we go.

The real Polar Jet is still well north in Canada.

[Cambium]

Here, compare that map above with this one. Look where the Upper Low is... NOT over the Plains! New England.

December was warm last year BUT AT LEAST WE HAD THIS HAPPEN ONCE.

Dec 11, 2014

Originally Posted by Cambium

Upper Low STILL spinning overhead. Backroads getting covered now.

there's no "storm" around here at the surface, it's snowing because of the Upper Level Storm. :-)

[Cambium]

here's what I think of the pattern

[Dreamnine]

NIce warm start to December - 12.3C at 7pm.

Hope it stays this warm all month long.

[BullochResident]

High of 75 F today. Ended up 2 degrees lower than forecast due to high cloud cover. Tomorrow will be the last day above 70 F for a while. The rest of my 10 day has highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s/40s.

[Cambium]

Folks in Ohio had a warmer day on June 1st than today Dec 1st.

A Nor'Easter next week without the cold? Maybe. I believe the no cold more than the storm itself.

This would bring 45-50mph gusts to the coast, wind swept rains,

[Cambium]

Blowing snow in Maine Thursday.

Snow total forecast from NWS Gray

National Weather Service Forecast Office - Portland-Gray,Maine



NWS Caribou hasn't updated their map yet but woe, didn't realize over half foot might fall there next couple days

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/gis/images/CONUS_Snow.png