[7 Wishes]

Interesting how uniform the temps were this morning despite sunshine. Usually clear mornings have a big inland vs. coast difference due to "radiational cooling". The wind probably equalized it.

[wavehunter007]

We should remember that the averages have a least some bearing on what we can expect seasonally. For our local area (CT/NYC/Northeast NJ) to see highs in the teens of twenties – temps would have to be 15 to 20 F BELOW normal. That would be a heck of a colder pattern than what we’ve had so far….esp since average daily highs in just 16 days will be in the 40’s again at most area NWS stations.

As far as a cool spring” there are several forecasts that are predicting that the heat returns to the subtropical Gulf/South Atlantic states earlier this year due to the current pattern that we’ve been in (and that massive ridge off Florida). In this winter where warm air advection dominated (ever storm but one this winter was a rainstorm because of the warm southerly flow)…I would think that we are in for a warm finish to winter next month and a warm April. Last year the last measurable snow (1.5 inches) fell on March 24th.I would guess that we should not see snow this year after late Feb/or very early March considering how warm the ground is and the overall warm pattern. Otherwise, what I really wonder is when the first 80 F day of the new year will be?

[Cambium]

Models continue to hint at an East Trough setup after the 8th.

See my new post on the crazy Vortex that drops to U.S. shown on the Euro.

As promised I wont mention storms until we're 4 days out..(maybe 5) due to the incompitence of the models this year.

https://www.city-data.com/forum/weath...l#post22833019

[7 Wishes]

Rare snow in Rome, Italy (which ironically is at around the same latitude as us, but the Mediterranean gives it a more benign climate (except this winter LOL)):

PhotoBlog - Stilettos in the snow... only in Rome!

[Arm&Hammer]

Are we trading weather climate from Rome... lol

[Arm&Hammer]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

We should remember that the averages have a least some bearing on what we can expect seasonally. For our local area (CT/NYC/Northeast NJ) to see highs in the teens of twenties – temps would have to be 15 to 20 F BELOW normal. That would be a heck of a colder pattern than what we’ve had so far….esp since average daily highs in just 16 days will be in the 40’s again at most area NWS stations.

As far as a cool spring” there are several forecasts that are predicting that the heat returns to the subtropical Gulf/South Atlantic states earlier this year due to the current pattern that we’ve been in (and that massive ridge off Florida). In this winter where warm air advection dominated (ever storm but one this winter was a rainstorm because of the warm southerly flow)…I would think that we are in for a warm finish to winter next month and a warm April. Last year the last measurable snow (1.5 inches) fell on March 24th.I would guess that we should not see snow this year after late Feb/or very early March considering how warm the ground is and the overall warm pattern. Otherwise, what I really wonder is when the first 80 F day of the new year will be?

I think mid-April we'll see our first 80 F ( who knows, maybe as early as late march may get 80s as a good suprise)... nothing very rare in that department for April.

[Cambium]

Beautiful Day Outside! Should be a carbon copy of this next few days.

Next system to affect us would be around the 9th.

Ignore the Top left and Middle. Thats the GFS for the 14th timeframe. I put that up by accident.

All models agree on a light snow event for this coming Thursday.

[GraniteStater]

^
Polar vortex is also coming down the PNA staying strongly positive. A bit of cross-polar flow setup. Also, the NAO is also forecasted to trend negative in the next week and a half. All signs point toward cold over the next few weeks in the East- compared to January.

[7 Wishes]

Another rare snowfall, this one in Algiers, Algeria (snow in the mountains of that country is common, but the city is on the Mediterranean):

Rare Snows in North Africa (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/rare-snows-in-north-africa/61172 - broken link)

NWS showing no precip (let alone snow) at all in the 7 day, and another day in the 50s tomorrow! Though it looks like Philly on south to DC will get flurries, another "near miss" for here: http://www.weather.com/outlook/weath...ead_2012-02-03

[ctwhitechin]

Won't it be late to get a severe change in the pattern the further we get through Feb? No real snow forecast through the middle of the month. What are the chances of us getting a severe March when we are still showing consistent temps in the 40s right through the middle of this month?

Some swing from last winter to this winter. I will take this winter any time. Last winter was nothing but headaches.