02-15-2012, 05:33 AM
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read
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Reputation: 5126
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
None of the other models have it and the updated GFS is south more...Like I said, sporatic. Back to hiding.
NWS is actually giving a 30% chance of a rain/snow mix but Weather Channel is saying sunny and hi 40s
02-15-2012, 05:54 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
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Reputation: 16620
For
GraniteStater
Here's the latest NAM sounding for Concord, NH. Left is Thursday 7pm. Right is Friday 1am. Models did trend
slightly colder for you.
Its below freezing above 2000 feet at 7pm. And below freezing above 1500' at 1am. The question is, will there be enough time to melt to surface between 1000' and ground? So a safe bet here is to say a mix. 2nd guess would be sleet. 3rd guess would say all snow based on intensity of fall.
Its also safe to say it will be snowing for anyone above 2000'.
02-15-2012, 07:28 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Reputation: 16620
SUNDAY STORM UPDATE:
Ok, in a nut shell, here's what has to happen..
The northern Stream has to phase(merge) with the southern Stream at the right time, in the right spot. On this current Satellite pic the Northern Stream is still in the NorthWest so models wont pick up on where it goes until Friday when its closer to us.
NWS Sterling says it best below the pic.
ALL EYES IN THE EXTENDED REMAIN ON THE CLOSED SRN STREAM LOW OVER NRN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY THAT WILL OPEN AND EJECT EAST TO THE GULF COAST...
THEN DEPENDING ON INFLUENCES FROM THE NRN STREAM WILL CONTINUE TRACKING EAST OR TURN NORTHEAST AND HEAD UP THE ERN SEABOARD .
00Z EURO HAS A MESSY NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND WITH MULTIPLE VORT MAXES AND LITTLE PHASING.
00Z GFS BRINGS A MORE DEFINED TROUGH IN FROM THE GREAT LAKES WITH PHASING OCCURRING OVER THE NRN MID ATLANTIC.
DETAILS ARE OBVIOUSLY STILL TOO FAR AWAY FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW FOR LWX(Baltimore/D.C)...
PHASING WOULD HAVE TO BEGIN TO OUR WEST ALLOWING TRANSLATION OF ENERGY TO THE COASTAL SYSTEM AS IT MOVES UP FROM THE CAROLINAS .
INGREDIENTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ARE THERE ...
IT IS SIMPLY A WAITING GAME FOR THE MODELS TO DELIVER CONSISTENCY AND THUS CONFIDENCE . TIMING FOR ANY POTENTIAL SYSTEM REMAINS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONTINUED LOW CHANCE POPS FROM BALT-WASH AND SOUTH WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX THROUGH THIS TIME.
National Weather Service Text Product Display
02-15-2012, 07:48 AM
Location: Indiana Uplands
26,411 posts, read
46,581,861 times
Reputation: 19559
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
For GraniteStater slightly colder for you.
Nice sounding graphic
. I will keep you updated on what type of precip we get from the event into Friday. It likely won't be very impressive.
02-15-2012, 10:58 AM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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GFS runs 4 times a day. ITS BACK.
It again showed a HUGE storm along the coast. This time slightly closer to the coast but dynamic cooling would be snow for most.
It's concerning me on a few levels. 1. We're only 4 days away and there's still no consistancy. 2. Its showing a storm of this size again.
Do you guys remember in 2010 there was a sharp cutoff? Baltimore got feet of snow in a storm and NY/CT nothing. Maybe thats what might happen?
Anyway -- here's the latest bomb again.
Data for Danbury, CT. Notice the liquid amounts. Thats 1.60" liquid at 12:1 ratios = 16-20" of snow.
02-15-2012, 03:45 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
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Reputation: 16620
And Once Again on the latest GFS update
Over a foot of snow to Hartford with Blizzard conditions Sunday. Storm is not only stronger on this update but lasts 24hrs.
This is now 3 of the last 4 runs. How can we ignore that??
IF....IF the Euro and Canadien tonight show similar setup, get ready for a major snowstorm event Sunday.
02-15-2012, 04:05 PM
2,601 posts, read
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Quote:
Originally Posted by
Cambium
And Once Again on the latest GFS update
Over a foot of snow to Hartford with Blizzard conditions Sunday. Storm is not only stronger on this update but lasts 24hrs.
This is now 3 of the last 4 runs. How can we ignore that??
IF....IF the Euro and Canadien tonight show similar setup, get ready for a major snowstorm event Sunday.
The GFS has to get off that crack pipe
Hopefully we get some snow finally!
02-15-2012, 05:33 PM
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,520 posts, read
75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16620
Eeenie, meenie, miny, moe. 4 more days, will it snow?
02-15-2012, 06:55 PM
Location: Republic of New England
633 posts, read
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Well i hope turn out as a false alarm like last week where it didnt really snow... lol
02-15-2012, 07:19 PM
Location: Central, CT
856 posts, read
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Reputation: 333
Quote:
Originally Posted by
mikelizard860
The GFS has to get off that crack pipe
Hopefully we get some snow finally!
Lmfao!!!
On a serious note, I'd like one good storm and better late than never.
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People in Group quarters - Institutions for the deaf (%)
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People in Group quarters - Orthopedic wards and institutions for the physically handicapped (%)
People in Group quarters - Wards in general hospitals for patients who have no usual home elsewhere (%)
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People in Group quarters - Military quarters (%)
People in Group quarters - On base (%)
People in Group quarters - Barracks, unaccompanied personnel housing (UPH), (Enlisted/Officer), ;and similar group living quarters for military personnel (%)
People in Group quarters - Transient quarters for temporary residents (%)
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People in Group quarters - Group homes (%)
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People in Group quarters - Homes for the mentally ill (%)
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People in Group quarters - Religious group quarters (%)
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People in Group quarters - Other noninstitutional group quarters (%)
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Residents speaking English at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking English at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
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Residents speaking Spanish at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
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Residents speaking other language at home (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Born in the United States (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Native, born elsewhere (%)
Residents speaking other language at home - Foreign born (%)
Class of Workers - Employee of private company (%)
Class of Workers - Self-employed in own incorporated business (%)
Class of Workers - Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers (%)
Class of Workers - Local government workers (%)
Class of Workers - State government workers (%)
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Class of Workers - Self-employed workers in own not incorporated business and Unpaid family workers (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in houses and condos - No fuel used (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Utility gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Bottled, tank, or LP gas (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Electricity (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Coal or coke (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Wood (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Solar energy (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - Other fuel (%)
House heating fuel used in apartments - No fuel used (%)
Armed forces status - In Armed Forces (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Veteran (%)
Armed forces status - Civilian - Nonveteran (%)
Fatal accidents locations in years 2005-2021
Fatal accidents locations in 2005
Fatal accidents locations in 2006
Fatal accidents locations in 2007
Fatal accidents locations in 2008
Fatal accidents locations in 2009
Fatal accidents locations in 2010
Fatal accidents locations in 2011
Fatal accidents locations in 2012
Fatal accidents locations in 2013
Fatal accidents locations in 2014
Fatal accidents locations in 2015
Fatal accidents locations in 2016
Fatal accidents locations in 2017
Fatal accidents locations in 2018
Fatal accidents locations in 2019
Fatal accidents locations in 2020
Fatal accidents locations in 2021
Alcohol use - People drinking some alcohol every month (%)
Alcohol use - People not drinking at all (%)
Alcohol use - Average days/month drinking alcohol
Alcohol use - Average drinks/week
Alcohol use - Average days/year people drink much
Audiometry - Average condition of hearing (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear a whisper from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - People that can hear normal voice from across a quiet room (%)
Audiometry - Ears ringing, roaring, buzzing (%)
Audiometry - Had a job exposure to loud noise (%)
Audiometry - Had off-work exposure to loud noise (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high blood pressure (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Checking blood pressure at home (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Frequently checking blood cholesterol (%)
Blood Pressure & Cholesterol - Has high cholesterol level (%)
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at supermarket/grocery store
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on food at other stores
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on eating out
Consumer Behavior - Money monthly spent on carryout/delivered foods
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at supermarket/grocery store (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on food at other stores (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on eating out (%)
Consumer Behavior - Income spent on carryout/delivered foods (%)
Current Health Status - General health condition (%)
Current Health Status - Blood donors (%)
Current Health Status - Has blood ever tested for HIV virus (%)
Current Health Status - Left-handed people (%)
Dermatology - People using sunscreen (%)
Diabetes - Diabetics (%)
Diabetes - Had a blood test for high blood sugar (%)
Diabetes - People taking insulin (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Diet health (%)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Milk product consumption (# of products/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals not home prepared (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Meals from fast food or pizza place (#/week)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Ready-to-eat foods (#/month)
Diet Behavior & Nutrition - Frozen meals/pizza (#/month)
Drug Use - People that ever used marijuana or hashish (%)
Drug Use - Ever used hard drugs (%)
Drug Use - Ever used any form of cocaine (%)
Drug Use - Ever used heroin (%)
Drug Use - Ever used methamphetamine (%)
Health Insurance - People covered by health insurance (%)
Kidney Conditions-Urology - Avg. # of times urinating at night
Medical Conditions - People with asthma (%)
Medical Conditions - People with anemia (%)
Medical Conditions - People with psoriasis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with overweight (%)
Medical Conditions - Elderly people having difficulties in thinking or remembering (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever received blood transfusion (%)
Medical Conditions - People having trouble seeing even with glass/contacts (%)
Medical Conditions - People with arthritis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with gout (%)
Medical Conditions - People with congestive heart failure (%)
Medical Conditions - People with coronary heart disease (%)
Medical Conditions - People with angina pectoris (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had heart attack (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had stroke (%)
Medical Conditions - People with emphysema (%)
Medical Conditions - People with thyroid problem (%)
Medical Conditions - People with chronic bronchitis (%)
Medical Conditions - People with any liver condition (%)
Medical Conditions - People who ever had cancer or malignancy (%)
Mental Health - People who have little interest in doing things (%)
Mental Health - People feeling down, depressed, or hopeless (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble sleeping or sleeping too much (%)
Mental Health - People feeling tired or having little energy (%)
Mental Health - People with poor appetite or overeating (%)
Mental Health - People feeling bad about themself (%)
Mental Health - People who have trouble concentrating on things (%)
Mental Health - People moving or speaking slowly or too fast (%)
Mental Health - People having thoughts they would be better off dead (%)
Oral Health - Average years since last visit a dentist
Oral Health - People embarrassed because of mouth (%)
Oral Health - People with gum disease (%)
Oral Health - General health of teeth and gums (%)
Oral Health - Average days a week using dental floss/device
Oral Health - Average days a week using mouthwash for dental problem
Oral Health - Average number of teeth
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to control insects (%)
Pesticide Use - Households using pesticides to kill weeds (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity work activities (%)
Physical Activity - People walking or bicycling (%)
Physical Activity - People doing vigorous-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - People doing moderate-intensity recreational activities (%)
Physical Activity - Average hours a day doing sedentary activities
Physical Activity - Average hours a day watching TV or videos
Physical Activity - Average hours a day using computer
Physical Functioning - People having limitations keeping them from working (%)
Physical Functioning - People limited in amount of work they can do (%)
Physical Functioning - People that need special equipment to walk (%)
Physical Functioning - People experiencing confusion/memory problems (%)
Physical Functioning - People requiring special healthcare equipment (%)
Prescription Medications - Average number of prescription medicines taking
Preventive Aspirin Use - Adults 40+ taking low-dose aspirin (%)
Reproductive Health - Vaginal deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Cesarean deliveries (%)
Reproductive Health - Deliveries resulted in a live birth (%)
Reproductive Health - Pregnancies resulted in a delivery (%)
Reproductive Health - Women breastfeeding newborns (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had a hysterectomy (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that had both ovaries removed (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever taken birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women taking birth control pills (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used Depo-Provera or injectables (%)
Reproductive Health - Women that have ever used female hormones (%)
Sexual Behavior - People 18+ that ever had sex (vaginal, anal, or oral) (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had anal sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Males 18+ that ever had any sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had vaginal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever performed oral sex on a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had anal sex with a man (%)
Sexual Behavior - Females 18+ that ever had any kind of sex with a woman (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first had sex
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female vaginal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a woman (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of woman performed oral sex on in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male anal sex partners in lifetime (males 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average age people first performed oral sex on a man (18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male oral sex partners in lifetime (18+)
Sexual Behavior - People using protection when performing oral sex (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of times people have vaginal or anal sex a year
Sexual Behavior - People having sex without condom (%)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of male vaginal sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Average number of female sex partners in lifetime (females 18+)
Sexual Behavior - Circumcised males 18+ (%)
Sleep Disorders - Average hours sleeping at night
Sleep Disorders - People that has trouble sleeping (%)
Smoking-Cigarette Use - People smoking cigarettes (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with smell (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ having problems with taste (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had wisdom teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had tonsils teeth removed (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a loss of consciousness because of a head injury (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had a broken nose or other serious injury to face or skull (%)
Taste & Smell - People 40+ that ever had two or more sinus infections (%)
Weight - Average height (inches)
Weight - Average weight (pounds)
Weight - Average BMI
Weight - People that are obese (%)
Weight - People that ever were obese (%)
Weight - People trying to lose weight (%)
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. I will keep you updated on what type of precip we get from the event into Friday. It likely won't be very impressive.
And Once Again on the latest GFS update 
