[wavehunter007]

By this time of year the solar angle is so strong (and getting stronger each day) that anything frozen would be truly fleeting. There will be a cool down the middle of next week into the lower 40's (60's are above normal in late March for the Tri-State area of course)...but the trough will be flatter and move in and out very quick. The chance of a real snowstorm in the Tri-State area is about 1000 to 1. Trust me.

[CarolinaOnMyMind]

Looking forward to the cool down next week. Temps will actually be running below normal.

[Cambium]

You know.... because next week is end of March it is very hard for me to comprehend and believe that it will snow in the East and maybe even Mid Atlantic. Obviously we're not talking a foot here but even a few flakes is always a rare treat this late in the season....Oh wait...its technically Sping. Snow in Spring?

You can see from here where the low is passing south of us and the rain snow line..



Here's better view of the Low Pressure sliding south of us... A 50 mile shift north and its time to break out the shovels again. NOAA will be sending some flights to get some data on this later today.

[Mixum]

70 is too much for march

[DawnMTL]

Originally Posted by Mixum

70 is too much for march

Funny, I was about to say I just walked the dog and I'm too warm. There's no day that I don't complain about the weather, it seems.

[jp03]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

By this time of year the solar angle is so strong (and getting stronger each day) that anything frozen would be truly fleeting. There will be a cool down the middle of next week into the lower 40's (60's are above normal in late March for the Tri-State area of course)...but the trough will be flatter and move in and out very quick. The chance of a real snowstorm in the Tri-State area is about 1000 to 1. Trust me.

Man..if I see you talk about that solar angle one more time I'm gonna scream

NO KIDDING...its March

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

By this time of year the solar angle is so strong (and getting stronger each day) that anything frozen would be truly fleeting. There will be a cool down the middle of next week into the lower 40's (60's are above normal in late March for the Tri-State area of course)...but the trough will be flatter and move in and out very quick. The chance of a real snowstorm in the Tri-State area is about 1000 to 1. Trust me.

I think it's "uncommon" for a "real" snowstorm in most of March (I say most because the very beginning like the first week it's more likely historically), but I wouldn't call it "rare" either.....

[Cambium]

There they go. NOAA flying into the storm and going to gather data from it. This flight requirement is for next weeks storm.

Now that its almost April....Let me ask you guys... Do you want Rain or Snow? lol

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49
A. P46/ 34.0N 132.8W/ 20/0000Z
... B. NOAA9 41WSC TRACK46
C. 19/1930Z
D. 14 DROPS ON TRACK AS PUBLISHED
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 20/0600Z
F. TRACK TO BE FLOWN CLOCKWISE

[Cambium]

March 24, 2011 Snow Event Update:

Last model has 4 inches for coastal CT. Snows for 24 hrs lightly.

And National Weather Service (Upton) has realized this and put the letters.. S.N.O.W in the forecast...

"It will remain to be seen whether it can develop fast enough to dump snow on NYC and move them into 2nd place all time for the winter season. They only need 2.4 inches to do that. There may actually be enough cold push to make the snow heavier further south."
Source: Major late season cold pattern looming « (http://www.weatherbell.com/jb/?p=287 - broken link)

[wavehunter007]

Here comes a chance of a snowstorm!!!!


…and there goes the chance of a snowstorm: lol


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
546 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TOWARD
NOVA SCOTIA WILL DRAG A TRAILING COLD FRONT THROUGH MON NIGHT...WITH
BRISK CONDITIONS INTO TUE MORNING. H8-10 THICKNESSES WILL BE A
LITTLE LOWER...BUT RELATIVE LACK OF CLOUD COVER SHOULD RESULT IN MAX
TEMPS ON TUE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THOSE OF MON.
HIGH PRESSURE NOSING DOWN FROM ONTARIO TUE INTO WED AND WEAK RIDGING
ALOFT SHOULD HELP KEEP A WARM FRONT AT BAY TO OUR SW...WITH ONLY
SOME HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED IN THE NYC METRO AREA...WITH
SUNNY SKIES FARTHER EAST.


THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL FLATTEN FURTHER WED NIGHT...ALLOWING A
NORTHERN STREAM VORT TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THE ASSOCIATED SFC
LOW SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND REDEVELOP
OFF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST...AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME
LIGHT SNOW LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING AS THE SECONDARY
REDEVELOPMENT TAKES PLACE. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS SHOULD WARM UP
ENOUGH BY AFTERNOON THAT ANY LINGERING PRECIP SHOULD MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO RAIN. OPERATIONAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE HEAVIEST
PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM TO REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH...SO ONCE AGAIN WILL
STRESS THAT ANY PRECIP WOULD BE LIGHT...BUT COULD STILL PRESENT SOME
MINOR PROBLEMS FOR THE THU MORNING COMMUTE.