[BPt111]

5:00 PM Update It 5-6 days out it will be closey watch


18z model tracks even more crazy. This is why you don't jump to solutions just yet. Less are out to sea.


The real key is for the storm to form & organize. Then lets see what the models spit out.
the models are like spilt 60/30. Anything is possible. I don't think they have a good handle on it quite yet due to the disorganization of the system. regardless, if this system gets it act together it will be quite large & possible strengthen very quickly.

[Cambium]

Thanks to clouds (I think) we're staying in the 70s. 5pm and low 70s? No wonder why I don't hear splashing or screaming.

Dewpoints are mixed 50s and 60s. Muggy here but cool breeze. We'll warm up next week

Not worried about the "weak" tropical system. We can use a breeze and rain IF it does get close but I'm 90% confident it will be hundreds of miles away... OTS it goes

[BPt111]

The National hurricane Center has been monitoring the development down near the Caribbean for the past few days, and today it seems as though the development chances are steadily increasing for the area. A turn towards the north is expected as the Bermuda high builds westward and sandwiches the track between the high and another area of high pressure moving towards the east Coast of the United States. All areas from the Carolinas to the northeast need to pay attention to this formation, as it has an 80% chance of developing during the next few days, as well as a chance of stalling out near the Carolinas. The thunderstorm formation and organization is steadily increasing throughout the area, and it will be entering a more favorable environment as we go through the weekend. Cristobal ( C hurricane name on the list of 2014 hurricanes) may be forming within the next 24 hours


http://www.accuweather.com/en/weathe...to-fo/32676013

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by BPt111

The National hurricane Center has been monitoring the development down near the Caribbean for the past few days, and today it seems as though the development chances are steadily increasing for the area. A turn towards the north is expected as the Bermuda high builds westward and sandwiches the track between the high and another area of high pressure moving towards the east Coast of the United States. All areas from the Carolinas to the northeast need to pay attention to this formation, as it has an 80% chance of developing during the next few days, as well as a chance of stalling out near the Carolinas. The thunderstorm formation and organization is steadily increasing throughout the area, and it will be entering a more favorable environment as we go through the weekend. Cristobal ( C hurricane name on the list of 2014 hurricanes) may be forming within the next 24 hours


Tropical Storm Cristobal to Form, Impact US Eastern Beaches

Not sure where you got the text from as it's not in the article. (maybe elsewhere?)

From the link...

"The low has been guided westward by the large Atlantic ridge of high pressure this week. As the jet stream drops southward along the U.S. East Coast, the low is expected to get pulled to the north and then northeast -- in similar fashion to Bertha from earlier this summer."

OTS. Move on until models say otherwise. Some things have to happen for impacts on us. Until those things happen It's A Fish Storm

[BPt111]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Not sure where you got the text from as it's not in the article. (maybe elsewhere?)

From the link...

"The low has been guided westward by the large Atlantic ridge of high pressure this week. As the jet stream drops southward along the U.S. East Coast, the low is expected to get pulled to the north and then northeast -- in similar fashion to Bertha from earlier this summer."

OTS. Move on until models say otherwise. Some things have to happen for impacts on us. Until those things happen It's A Fish Storm

The next 2 days or so it going back and forth no argeement

The Models are going crazy it does'nt know how to handle the situation as now this for next Monday/Tuesday for FL a direct hit but it change again
Pattern says doors are not closed...we don't know, yet.






GFS going up the east coast. Now models going with a more west track and less OTS track

[Cambium]

Highest Max temp at Sikorsky (BDR) is 85° this month.

That ties the record with 1963 for coolest August max temp (9 days left).

BDL hit 89 which is the 4th coolest max temp. 2013 was 3rd coolest only hitting 88.

We'll get warm next week but not sure about upper 80s. Maybe a spike there. We'll see.

[jp03]

[quote=BPt111;36198604]The next 2 days or so it going back and forth no argeement

The Models are going crazy it does'nt know how to handle the situation as now this for next Monday/Tuesday for FL a direct hit but it change again
Pattern says doors are not closed...we don't know, yet.






GFS going up the east coast. Now models going with a more west track and less OTS track


[/QUOT

What does this have to do with a Connecticut hit? So a few models show Florida..the rest out to sea. The odds of this storm finding its way up the coast are so slim...its laughable.

[BPt111]

[quote=jp03;36199950]

Originally Posted by BPt111

The next 2 days or so it going back and forth no argeement

The Models are going crazy it does'nt know how to handle the situation as now this for next Monday/Tuesday for FL a direct hit but it change again
Pattern says doors are not closed...we don't know, yet.






GFS going up the east coast. Now models going with a more west track and less OTS track


[/QUOT

What does this have to do with a Connecticut hit? So a few models show Florida..the rest out to sea. The odds of this storm finding its way up the coast are so slim...its laughable.

The Odds of storm is hitting CT is still there so we have worried in the Northeast

[jp03]

[quote=BPt111;36200345]

Originally Posted by jp03

The Odds of storm is hitting CT is still there so we have worried in the Northeast

Should I start stocking up on water ? LOL Sounding the alarm though with this one seems a bit much. At least at this point.

[BPt111]

[quote=jp03;36201050]

Originally Posted by BPt111

Should I start stocking up on water ? LOL Sounding the alarm though with this one seems a bit much. At least at this point.

Don't stock on water yet We still don't known the track of the storm as yet It going up East Coast, Out of Sea, Not too far from East Coast it all over the place.