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Old 12-18-2018, 04:11 AM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,834,761 times
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Will the precip be snow or rain here?

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/statu...69553380237312


This untimely warm spell doesn't mean that winter is cancelled by any means.


https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...85851308544000


https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...78688183898113


https://wgntv.com/2018/12/17/7th-day...ds-to-rake-ch/
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Old 12-18-2018, 04:51 AM
 
895 posts, read 617,104 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BadgerFilms View Post
Ugh, can we please get some snow before Christmas?
Don't you have a 3" snowpack right now, as recorded by NOAA?
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Old 12-18-2018, 04:54 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,754 posts, read 76,393,150 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12 View Post
Per the euro looks like a lot of storms off the coast as it seems the coast gets more than inland areas
Whats the latest, I have been lacking on keeping tabs on the updates. Kinda boring lately so I'm just winging it. Last I checked there weren't any coastals. It was Appalachian runners.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
I’m just glad I won’t be in Indianapolis for the next polar vortex outbreak.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
Great, just ****ing great, you just had to give me one good reason to not want to go back to Indianapolis area after a month long reprieve in Subtropical Fort Worth Texas

You'll be back just in time! We'll see.
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Old 12-18-2018, 04:55 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,754 posts, read 76,393,150 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Looking like Christmas will be mild or warm this year unfortunately. .
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oakheart View Post
As a firm believer that it should be cold at Christmas, like you, I had pretty much lost all faith in traditional Christmas weather after the horrific blowtorches of 2015 and 2016. Thankfully, we rebounded last Christmas with a very nice day in the 40s, with a low around freezing.
3 of the last 4 Christmas Days here has been above 50°. December has not been nice to us recently. Normal is 39°


Quote:
Originally Posted by Infamous92 View Post
^I had the same idea (sunspots), though for Long Island this cloudy pattern wasn’t around in the summer, nor was this wet pattern, we were in our own world while areas just to the west and to the north have had this same pattern almost all year.
I read many studies that prove this. Something about lack of solar radiation burning off particles. Probably why there's a cooling effect on the planet when the sun is not producing. Should mean warmer nights though with the clouds.

This summer was cloudy here and I assume with all the rain events Long Island was too. I see Islip had 3"+ every month this summer. 6"+ in August. Was pretty much raining every other day.


Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
is pink sleet or freezing rain? NYC got sleet around 8 pm, then a bit of snow mixed with rain at 8:30 or so
Pink is sleet on the radar but sometimes the radar is not picking up exactly whats falling at the surface. Thats why we need ground reports from people or the metars from the stations. Yup. NYC recorded a Trace for that day.

Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
wasn't it very sunny most of this month until Friday? one of the longer sunny stretches. August- November has been very cloudy, and so was a lot of the spring
Dec 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 was nice! Sunny. Then starting the 8th, back to this cloudy BS. Looking at my log from 9th - 17th there were always clouds around but sun mixed in a few days, mostly in the mornings.
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Old 12-18-2018, 04:56 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/WGNWeatherGuy/st...87742772322304

https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...36520052072448
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Old 12-18-2018, 04:57 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,754 posts, read 76,393,150 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
never quite understood how sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) works. so we're getting SSW but because there's not blocking in the right location, the west is getting cold rather than the east?
In short, major and sudden warming of the Stratosphere destroys the Polar Vortex which means it breaks off into pieces. Where the pieces go is the question. It causes changes in weather patterns. But we need a Negative NAO for us to really feel the effects.


Watch Steve D explain it. It's from 2013 but worth a listen. (BTW, after this event, Feb & March 2013 were below normal with lots of snows)


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O6_ayLIFOUw
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Old 12-18-2018, 05:02 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,754 posts, read 76,393,150 times
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Current Polar Vortex. Strong and in 1 piece.





Projected Polar Vortex. Split. but not deeply below normal. Still far off, that can change. And locations too obviously. Gotta get that split going!


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Old 12-18-2018, 05:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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60s in Philly this Friday. 50s in Hartford.

Dont worry. 1 day worth.

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Old 12-18-2018, 05:55 AM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
4,240 posts, read 4,956,139 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
60s in Philly this Friday. 50s in Hartford.

Dont worry. 1 day worth.
50F high friday here too. Ughh. I hope Chicagogeorge maps of the euro come true. 2" of snow and 30s would be great.
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Old 12-18-2018, 07:42 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
12,059 posts, read 14,006,105 times
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Foggy and 44 in Austin this morning because the temp tried to slip below the dewpoint (naughty naughty naughty) so the result is fog. High of 64 today and sun will burn off the fog by noon. High of 66 tomorrow before next blue norther lowers humidity but raises the temps because of solar exposure. I'm liking this winter a lot after a way too cool fall. We had mid 40's and rain in October, which refilled our reservoirs but cut short lake season. Usually I can keep going to the lake until November but the lakes were closed for a while due to the debris and when they reopened it was too cold. So, hoping for a very mild and uneventful winter with good amounts of rain scattered here and there and then hoping for a very sunny and warm spring to make up for boating season cut short.
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