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Old 02-09-2018, 05:54 PM
 
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I was wrong. 86f in Tampa.
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Old 02-09-2018, 06:31 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
I was wrong. 86f in Tampa.
Crazy. Dont know how people do it. I guess pool covers arent needed. Lol.
Normal is 72.
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Old 02-09-2018, 06:34 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Cool tweet thread on the Vortex. Watch the animations. The stratospheric ridge over Europe will stretch across the pole and split the PV.

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/962118691096731648
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Old 02-09-2018, 07:13 PM
 
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
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Well, I can see that apparently Chicago got their fair share of snow today, and that potentially several more inches are possible for the Chicago metro area, no doubt this snow storm put a dent in their snow drought, meanwhile in the Indianapolis area, the snow drought continues, with snowfall totals so far this winter more than 10 inches below the winter to date average, this winter would be the third consecutive winter in a row with sub-par snowfall totals, as much as I begrudgingly admit that the polar vortex winter of 2013-2014 was awful, it appears the winter of 2017-2018 is shaping up to be even worse-at least the winter of 2013-2014 was Record snowy in Indianapolis.
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Old 02-09-2018, 07:54 PM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Crazy. Dont know how people do it. I guess pool covers arent needed. Lol.
Normal is 72.
Somehow, most people I know here actually like it. Fortunately, next year I'll be the one in the snow in Chicago or Boston while Florida burns.
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Old 02-09-2018, 08:58 PM
 
Location: MD
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Complete mess of a week coming up with lots of 50s or high 40s and drizzle. But the following week should be better, if only marginally.

I don't know what the march outlook is like, but hopefully we get a nice flip like last year.

Last edited by volosong; 02-09-2018 at 10:07 PM.. Reason: language
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Old 02-10-2018, 04:22 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Crazy. Dont know how people do it. I guess pool covers arent needed. Lol.
Normal is 72.
Normal used to be 70 years ago. We are seeing less and less cool weather. Shocked we had any cold at all this year. Insane it can go from a cold month to June in a weeks time.
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Old 02-10-2018, 05:47 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shalop View Post
Complete mess of a week coming up with lots of 50s or high 40s and drizzle. But the following week should be better, if only marginally.

I don't know what the march outlook is like, but hopefully we get a nice flip like last year.

How did I do with these 2 posts from Jan 13th and 19th? Somehow I knew we weren't going to get sustained cold again. The pattern change was screaming at us. Just was a different look. Rather have spring than what we've gotten. 4 weeks of winter we had here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85 View Post
Well, I can see that apparently Chicago got their fair share of snow today, and that potentially several more inches are possible for the Chicago metro area, no doubt this snow storm put a dent in their snow drought,.

OHare got 6.2" and now normal for the season to date. Check out some totals there. Up to a foot in spots. Feb 8-9, 2018 Preliminary Snowfall Reports

Quote:
Originally Posted by LKJ1988 View Post
Normal used to be 70 years ago. We are seeing less and less cool weather. Shocked we had any cold at all this year. Insane it can go from a cold month to June in a weeks time.

Maybe more clouds in the past or a pattern that didn't persist like this and a weaker ridge or a Polar Vortex that was further south. Many reasons.


One reason it's getting into the mid-upper 80s is because of the sunshine and strong ridging at the mid and upper levels.


Discussion from NWS Tampa:


Quote:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
307 AM EST Sat Feb 10 2018

Broad cyclonic flow exists across the northern half of the
CONUS this morning with upper ridging over the Bahamas and
Cuba. Between these features, fast zonal flow exists from
the Rockies into the Tennessee Valley region. Within this
flow, several shortwave troughs are apparent on recent water
vapor imagery and in short-range model analyses. These
features will generally remain north of the Florida
peninsula as upper ridging gradually builds over the region.
This and a persistent surface ridge across the western
Atlantic Ocean will drive local weather over the next couple
of days.

The upper air and surface pattern will remain mostly
unchanged over the next 36 hours. This will feature a
decelerating cold front and surface trough from the northern
Gulf of Mexico into the Florida panhandle, Georgia and
Alabama. While this boundary will result in several rather
wet days across the southeast, most of the Florida peninsula
will remain well south and east of any meaningful
precipitation.

The lack of frontal convergence with upper level high
pressure building in across the region and a weak surface
ridge axis will make for Spring like weather conditions.
Model guidance over the last few days has shown a cold bias
and opted to adjust afternoon temperatures upward a couple
of degrees. Highs will rise each day into the low to mid and
perhaps upper 80s with the real risk of meeting or
exceeding existing records.

Mid/Long Term (Sunday Night through Saturday)...
A rather warm and muggy week ahead for west-central and SW
Florida as a rather stagnant weather pattern remains in
place. Aloft, a mid- level ridge across the western Atlantic
will keep a moist SW flow in place while at the surface a
weakening boundary will move into the southeastern U.S. PWAT
values over the area climb into the 1.4 - 1.7 inch range
ahead of this boundary through Tuesday. This combined with
daytime heating should support scattered showers across
region, especially across the Nature Coast where moisture
looks to be maximized. This boundary will essentially stall
out over the region for a few days before ultimately
dissipating. As it does, mid-level ridging shifts west over
the peninsula with H5 heights in the 588- 590 DM range.
Drier air and subsidence aloft will suppress any rain
chances but with ample sunshine expected temps will have no
problem warming into the lower to mid 80s across the area.

They also mention sea fog possible and the fact that the Gulf is still cool
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Old 02-10-2018, 06:05 AM
 
Location: Washington County, PA
4,240 posts, read 4,924,254 times
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Up at 7 Springs this weekend currently 25° headed for a high of 34°. Snow depth here.... 15" time to hit the slopes
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Old 02-10-2018, 09:15 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/DrAHButler/statu...56176254988288


Another surge of snow due late Saturday night/Sunday
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