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Latest HI-RES model max temp for Mid Atlantic today. Enjoy!
Thank you Cambium, I will enjoy it very much. Hard to believe that from tomorrow's high in the mid 60's temps will drop 40 to 45 degrees for an overnight low down in the high teens with a least a slight possibility of some snow. A veritable weather roller coaster.
SO NJ got lucky with the storm this week and we will get some much needed rain. Now onto next week. I keep seeing soemthing for early to mid week next week now. Anythoughts on this Cambium? Also what is causing this last dip in temps for next week? Is this still Polar Vortex sillyness?
SO NJ got lucky with the storm this week and we will get some much needed rain. Now onto next week. I keep seeing soemthing for early to mid week next week now. Anythoughts on this Cambium? Also what is causing this last dip in temps for next week? Is this still Polar Vortex sillyness?
Models are losing next weeks storm as fast as they once showed it. GFS now just has a front. Still early but don't ignore the latest trends. Not looking confident now.
Yeah, looks like an Upper Level Low SE of Hudson Bay again will make our temps cold once again but rest assure , I'm seeing the northern Jet retreat north and a warm-up coming.(not hot) Lets just call it a rollercoaster ride with seasonable temps after next week. We'll see.
Avg hi/lo: 14.1/1.7°C (57.4/35.1°F)
70 hours of sunshine
Some nice amplitudes lately in frost hollows, for example 21.0/-2.3°C (69.8/27.9°F) yesterday in Romorantin.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
Latest HI-RES model max temp for Mid Atlantic today. Enjoy!
What's with this cold pool in eastern PA/NW NJ? Is because of the remaining snow cover that has already melted in adjacent areas, with induced fog or low altitude clouds obstrucing sunshine? Higher spots out west in the Appalachian aren't as cool.
What's with this cold pool in eastern PA/NW NJ? Is because of the remaining snow cover that has already melted in adjacent areas, with induced fog or low altitude clouds obstrucing sunshine? Higher spots out west in the Appalachian aren't as cool.
Honestly, I have absolutely no idea. I was going to say maybe CAD but It's warmer than that already there so not sure why it showed 30s. I wonder if forecasts were showing the same thing for that area. I looked at the RAP, Hi-Res NAM as well and it Looks like all models underestimated the temps there.
11am Temps. Beautiful morning!! Partly Sunny, Dry, Temps already above normal in low 50s, Winds gusting to 15mph from the "West", birds chirping
Gotta love the downslope effect in the East. Remember I said that's what we need to warm up to seasonable+ temps? This is the 850mb heights and winds.
You have a south push of air from Texas to Ohio Valley at 4500 feet. That in turn is hitting the appalacians and sliding right down into the East.
The 850mb temps(not shown here) are showing very warm pool of air around Missouri (east of the current storm) and that's pushing the warmer air north and east
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
506 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WEAK COLD FRONT WAS JUST WEST OF THE AREA AS OF 08Z. THE FRONT
SHOULD MOVE THROUGH BY DAYBREAK FOLLOWED BY DOWNSLOPE WNW FLOW
THAT ALONG WITH PARTIAL SUNSHINE SHOULD HELP BOOST TEMPS TO 55-60
ACROSS NYC METRO AND MOST OF LONG ISLAND AND 50-55 TO THE
NORTH...SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN A 00Z GFS/NAM MOS GUIDANCE
BLEND. THE 06Z RAP SUGGESTS THAT TEMPS COULD EVEN REACH THE LOWER
60S INVOF NYC WITH ENOUGH AFTERNOON SUNSHINE...BUT HAVE DOUBTS AS
TO WHETHER IT WILL GET THIS WARM AS MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE
INCREASING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM.
Gotta love the downslope effect in the East. Remember I said that's what we need to warm up to seasonable+ temps? This is the 850mb heights and winds.
You have a south push of air from Texas to Ohio Valley at 4500 feet. That in turn is hitting the appalacians and sliding right down into the East.
The 850mb temps(not shown here) are showing very warm pool of air around Missouri (east of the current storm) and that's pushing the warmer air north and east
Hmm. but then why isn't there much of a contrast west and east of the Appalachians?
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