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Old 03-09-2014, 05:06 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,587 posts, read 75,560,215 times
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Look what the latest Euro says temps will be during the peak of this mid week storm. LOL!!!! A bad run? Maybe. An outlier? Maybe. Possible. Maybe.

Are you glad you're not a forecaster?????

I HATE these marginal & close call events. Although if this scenario was shown more it wouldn't be so close. LOL 60s into NJ, 50s up to MA

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Spring 2014 (March-May) - Northern Hemisphere-euro14.jpg  
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Old 03-09-2014, 05:35 AM
 
Location: North West Northern Ireland.
20,633 posts, read 23,911,033 times
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LOL.

Thats like something that would happen here. We would get all excited for this snowstorm coming and then in the last minute all this random mild air would come out of nowhere..
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Old 03-09-2014, 05:49 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,587 posts, read 75,560,215 times
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It's simple... I'll keep repeating it.. details wont be known until days out UNTIL we find a way to get data from out in the Pacific. The general "storm" idea can be seen weeks away but details like temps & precip amounts rarely.

This is the sole reason why you see your forecast AND the models change even days out. The energy/system needs to get closer to land OR we have to send Flights out there to get more data. This way models have more details to work with.

I haven't heard about any flights going out and that must mean they don't see a big threat.

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Spring 2014 (March-May) - Northern Hemisphere-satellite4.jpg  
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Old 03-09-2014, 06:05 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,587 posts, read 75,560,215 times
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Mid Week Storm::

Here's what the GFS says for coastal CT. Over 1/2" of rain then 0.17" of backside snow. That's liquid amounts. 0.17" at 10:1 ratios = 1-2" of snow.



And here's Albany. All Snow. 0.45" liquid. At 10:1 ratios that's 4-5" of snow.




Left hand side, click on state and location.
NCEP Model Time-Series (BUFR) Forecast Hourly Weather Data
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Spring 2014 (March-May) - Northern Hemisphere-gfs11.jpg   Spring 2014 (March-May) - Northern Hemisphere-gfs12.jpg  
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Old 03-09-2014, 07:31 AM
 
Location: Bremerhaven, NW Germany
2,714 posts, read 3,049,868 times
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17°C (63°F) and counting. Unbelievable the current temperatures here for that time of year.

Look at that orange patch extending from Western Germany over Southern Netherlands and Belgium to Northern France...

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Old 03-09-2014, 07:58 AM
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Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,595,264 times
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Northern california is getting another very needed storm. 1-3 inches
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Old 03-09-2014, 08:25 AM
 
Location: Paris
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Currently 25°C/77°F in Bilbao, Basque country (the red spot on TEF's map). Dew point hovering between -3°C/27°F and -6°C/21°F, so quite dry.
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Old 03-09-2014, 09:13 AM
 
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some pretty extreme spring warmth in south-eastern sweden right now. Norrköping has officially recorded 16.5C today, which is swedens highest temperature this early in the season since 1961.
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Old 03-09-2014, 10:14 AM
 
29,580 posts, read 19,687,463 times
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For those of us in the Midwest and Eastern US who want a warm spring... Well CFSv2 is trolling right now...




As of right now, the summer looks normal for Chicago


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Old 03-09-2014, 10:53 AM
 
Location: Lexington, KY
12,278 posts, read 9,472,271 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
As of right now, the summer looks normal for Chicago
Are there any maps regarding summer precipitation?
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