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At this point, all I care about is polling in New York, PA, and Maryland....maybe Wisconsin if there's a chance of an upset there for Hillary.
Here's one analysis
Quote:
Clinton Favored the Rest of the Way
Hillary Clinton could win about 54 percent of the remaining delegates, according to estimates for coming primaries based on demographic trends. She needs 44 percent to win a majority of pledged delegates.
Hillary should stay in Wisconsin and campaign there until next Tuesday... Don't know why she is going back to New York tomorrow and visit Massachusetts on Thursday for.
Hillary should stay in Wisconsin and campaign there until next Tuesday... Don't know why she is going back to New York tomorrow and visit Massachusetts on Thursday for.
I agree, I really wish she would put a lot more effort into Wisconsin. Not that I think it changes the final result, but it's time to get another win in her column.
Anyone can cherry-pick obscure sources to support almost any perspective. Did you even examine that site? It's pathetically amateurish. 'OpEdNews'? Seriously? While everyone has biases, at least sites like fivethirtyeight are mainly based in factual, numerical analysis. Opinions don't mean much if they aren't supported by valid data.
emm74 and I actually try to find valid sources and info to support our perspectives, as she recently did using the NY Times. Yes, it's part of that evil 'mainstream media' you always blame, but the info and analysis is valid.
The voter suppression was only in one county, Maricopa. The other two counties of significant population (Coconino-Flagstaff and Pima-Tucson) vote blue consistently. Interestingly, Clinton won them both. She even won counties like Santa Cruz (Nogales) that are overwhelmingly Hispanic. It wasn't close.
What does that have to do with my comment? I am not saying she wouldn't of won Arizona anyway.
I agree, I really wish she would put a lot more effort into Wisconsin. Not that I think it changes the final result, but it's time to get another win in her column.
No it may change the dynamic of he race. He has been picking up lots of grounds since his landslide wins in 5 states. I know her campaign is certainly counting on NY PA MD as strongholds to blow him out but he will pick up momentum with big wins in WI and WY
Putting forward the narrative that she lost big because she didn't try is just bad...
I don't know what her campaign is thinking but giving room for your opponent to breathe is certainly not good tactics.
She is also being outspent in ads this week by 15:1 in Wisconsin.
Bernie at this point is putting all his cards on "Momentum". He's hoping that by destroying states, the media is forced to put him on the frontpage headlines and hopes that more people understand Bernie and his message and that he has a chance, thus constituents changing their vote to him in the upcoming primaries. It's about the only strategy he can do at this point so I understand why he's doing it.
The biggest problem for Bernie was that he just lost so hard in the South. So hard. If he made more inroads with the black community, he would have had a much better chance. That was his problem. Not starting earlier in the southern states. He put them off until the last few months before the primary season started. When you lose a region that has 120 million people by average margins of 30%, of course, you're not going to have a great time. He lost Texas and Florida by 30+% .
I mean, yeah Bernie is running it up hard in these western states, but the combined populations of these states are only like 15 million at most. Texas is larger all of these states combined and more. If she wins New York by 20%(and it's a good chance she does since she destroyed Obama by 20+% who had greater support among minorities who make up a decent portion of New York in 2008), she erases essentially all the gains he made in these states over the last couple of weeks.
I mean, Obama BARELY beat Hillary in 2008 and he had a much, much wider coalition than Sanders did.
No it may change the dynamic of he race. He has been picking up lots of grounds since his landslide wins in 5 states. I know her campaign is certainly counting on NY PA MD as strongholds to blow him out but he will pick up momentum with big wins in WI and WY.
WI and WY are small states with few delegates at stake (esp WY). If he manages to win in PA and NY -even by narrow margins- there might be cause for concern. But at this point Hilary knows she has it wrapped up if she doesn't make any major mistakes. If she does as well as expected in NY, Bernie will need around 80%+ of the CA vote to catch her. That's not gonna happen.
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