[htfdcolt]

I would love it, if only to see the expression on the faces of my in-laws (who will be visiting us from California around that time). But no power outages, please...

[wavehunter007]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

I know Yale has an old record too (I've seen weather history pieces that note early 1800s data from there), but it's hard to find semi-consistent data from it on the Internet. But if you go to the Albany NWS page, their "top 10 lists" include years well before the "official" record (which began in 1874 there). For example, it shows the warmest year as 1828 and a solid degree above 1998, the first "recent" year in that top 10.

Special Climate Data Albany NY

Another example, it shows July, 1868 (a few months before Central Park giving "official data") as being the warmest month ever in Albany, at 79.7 deg. Considering that would be the 8th warmest ever month in the NYC "official" record, and NYC is considerably warmer than Albany, I wonder if it would've topped the record set in 2010.

The Albany data is quite interesting. It appears July 1868 stands as their hottest month ever – 79.7 F, not too far from the warmest month at Central Park (81.4 F). 1828 still stands as the warmest year at NWS Albany in 183 years. Note however, that 1931 is the third warmest in the last 183 years. I remember the old times talking about how hot several of the years where in the 1930’s. Also, we should consider that NYC or Albany was not nearly as urban in 1828 as it was in 1998 and 2010 (record warm years). So it is at least plausible that 1828 was even more than 1 F warmer than those two years if those measurements were all taken under the same conditions. Only goes to show that even in our tiny little data set - we have not even seen the warmest days/years. I hope I can find a way to live for 5000 years, just so I could see more data - lol.

As far as the weather we are at the start of a long warm and dry period for at least the next 8 days. High pressure will build in today and will remain anchored off the East Coast through all of next week. Morning fog will move in at night for the next few days and slowly burn off each day. We should see 60’s and 70’s for the next 8 to 10 days.

[jp03]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

The Albany data is quite interesting. It appears July 1868 stands as their hottest month ever – 79.7 F, not too far from the warmest month at Central Park (81.4 F). 1828 still stands as the warmest year at NWS Albany in 183 years. Note however, that 1931 is the third warmest in the last 183 years. I remember the old times talking about how hot several of the years where in the 1930’s. Also, we should consider that NYC or Albany was not nearly as urban in 1828 as it was in 1998 and 2010 (record warm years). So it is at least plausible that 1828 was even more than 1 F warmer than those two years if those measurements were all taken under the same conditions. Only goes to show that even in our tiny little data set - we have not even seen the warmest days/years. I hope I can find a way to live for 5000 years, just so I could see more data - lol.

As far as the weather we are at the start of a long warm and dry period for at least the next 8 days. High pressure will build in today and will remain anchored off the East Coast through all of next week. Morning fog will move in at night for the next few days and slowly burn off each day. We should see 60’s and 70’s for the next 8 to 10 days.

But if you live 5000 more years you would most likely have to live through a minature ice age at some point too.

[Cambium]

And just when I thought the fun was over. Latest Euro from last night also throws a bomb off Long Island.

Surface map on left for March 26th and SnowTotal on right. So now both GFS and Euro show a big storm arounf the 26th.

I dont feed the models the data, just showing you what its showing us.

[wavehunter007]

This is what the pattern looks like for this weekend into next week. The West Coast stays cool and wet, and from the plains to the East Coast the flow will be out of the south-southwest:



I tend to doubt that the ridge will be quite that strong however.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

And just when I thought the fun was over. Latest Euro from last night also throws a bomb off Long Island.

Surface map on left for March 26th and SnowTotal on right. So now both GFS and Euro show a big storm arounf the 26th.

I dont feed the models the data, just showing you what its showing us.

Accuweather's 15 day forecast also shows snow on the 26th....hmmm!

My wife likes to note that one April of her college years in the Rochester, NY area in the mid-1980s it went from almost 90-deg to a snowstorm the same week so I guess anything's possible.

[wavehunter007]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Accuweather's 15 day forecast also shows snow on the 26th....hmmm!

My wife likes to note that one April of her college years in the Rochester, NY area in the mid-1980s it went from almost 90-deg to a snowstorm the same week so I guess anything's possible.

I don't think temps this far above normal can last much longer...but I would think for things to turn that sharp (meaning a chance of snow) temps would have to turn sharply colder around March 26th. Here are the forecast highs from WC on that day - shows middle - upper 50's for the Tri-State area:



This coming week will be very warm (for the time of year), but the ridge looks to flatten the final week of March. However, it looks like not nearly enough to bring anything more than seasonal temps (50's F) to the Tri-State area. I guess we'll find out soon.

[Cambium]

And you guys thought we can go through record highs without mentioning snow. (So did I )

Here's a question. Why would a conservative outlet show snow even for end of March? I would assume they would show rain but they dont.

Random Town pick....Redding. They show snow for NYC too.

[Mixum]

EXCELLENT NEWS! And Im loving the ignore feature lol!

[andthentherewere3]

All this long-range "wishcasting" for snow! LOL. Reminded me of this response to previous long-range forecasts. I'm seeing cloudy and 52 degrees for the 26th right now.

Originally Posted by mikelizard860

Long term seasonal forecasts have been PROVEN to have no more of percentage chance of being right than simply flipping a coin. They can't predict the weather out 7 days and people seriously even pay attention to a seasonal forecast?! Seasonal forecasts are a joke for the most part. It makes for good fiction reading though. lol Sort of like a fortune telling. It's entertainment.