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We are interestingly stuck in a warm region with cold to the NE and NW trying to force its way in. 55 and overcast at 6 am. About as muggy as can get for mid Feb. The winner will be the ridge to the NE. Temp map loop shows it forcing its way down. Currently just 41 at the lake house which was also at 55 just 5 hours ago before the wedge arrived there. Dropped 10 degrees in an hour. Based on the Wundermap and my best guess on Google Maps, it's 5 degrees colder just 10 miles due east of me. 10 degrees cooler <20 miles east of me. On the other side, it's about 5-10 degrees cooler about 15 miles to my west.
I haven't used my heater in 48 hours now. Has actually stayed at 72 indoors since yesterday afternoon which is wonderful. Kinda eerily quiet in the complex. Too early for a lot of car traffic, no HVAC units running anywhere around me. No singing birds yet. Even the geese are being quiet for once. But the noise of the heaters at least will return. As much as I hate the wedge, at least we'll be consistent and don't have to deal with the crazy cold to the west. And finally the 10-15 day actually looks really nice. Low 60s and maybe 65 the 25th and 26th. Lows trending up into the 40s. We just have to survive possible upper 20s twice. Other than that the wx really won't be that bad since it looks like we'll be spared the actual arctic blast.
Speaking of, now seeing Allen with a high of 11 and low of -1 which is just insane. They'll effectively be in the single digits all day. KDAL's coldest max of all time is 13.
College Station's forecast is crazy too. Now possibly a high of 18 and low of 4. That's pretty much the coldest day I had in PA over 2 years. Their all time coldest high at CLL is 19. And their records date back to mid 1951. Their all time record low is 2.
A&M has done a ton of building over the decades. A lot of their buildings have never seen anything even close to this kind of cold. My dad is an HVAC engineer and has told me about the struggles buildings in Atlanta at his plant had last time we hit single digits. Buildings in College Station were probably not built to handle single digit temps.
Been keeping tabs on my old Houston suburb and yikes. To clarify, the zip code was 77407 which is south of I-10 close to Katy. But the "city" is Richmond which is to the SW so I don't know exactly where the forecast temps are for, the city or the zip. Either way, it's pretty cold and probably not even as cold as other Houston burbs like Cypress or the Woodlands.
Now showing a high of just 26 on Monday with a low of 12. My coldest Atlanta day was a high of 24 and a low of 7. Even a low of 12 here is pretty dang cold. For comparison, Richmond is about the same latitude as Gainesville, FL (which apparently has a record low of 6)
Current Alerts.. What a pattern for the U.S. Winter storm in PacNW, Winter Storm in Texas, Winter storm in Mid Atlantic. That's what a PV dropping south does folks. And doesn't last just a couple days either.
...Steadfast dome of Frigid Arctic air to remain entrenched across the central U.S. and continue expanding south...
Spoiler
Quote:
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
307 AM EST Fri Feb 12 2021
Valid 12Z Fri Feb 12 2021 - 12Z Sun Feb 14 2021
...Steadfast dome of Frigid Arctic air to remain entrenched across the
central U.S. and continue expanding south...
...A series of winter storms to result in heavy snow accumulations from
the Northwest to the Midwest this weekend...
...Icy conditions possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the
Mid-Atlantic, showers and thunderstorms in the Southeast...
A strong area of high pressure has an icy grip on much of the northern
tier of the Lower 48 as an intrusion of Arctic air races south into the
Southern Plains. Sub-zero high temperatures are on tap in the northern
Rockies and High Plains with some areas seeing morning lows both Friday
and Saturday morning between -20 and -30 degrees. Daily temperature
departures in the North Central U.S. will range between 30 to 40 degrees
below normal. In addition, wind chills remain dangerously cold ranging
between -40 and -55 degrees across the Northern Plains. Wind Chill
Advisories extend as far south as Oklahoma with wind chills as low as -10
degrees possible through Saturday. The Pacific Northwest will also contend
with bitterly cold temperatures as some locations challenge daily record
cold max temperatures today. In fact, much of the central U.S. from the
Dakotas to Texas could witness many broken daily record low max
temperatures through the upcoming weekend.
The expansive dome of sub-freezing temperatures across the northern tier
of the country has laid the foundation for winter storms to wreak havoc
from coast-to-coast not only going into this weekend, but also into next
week. Today, periods of snow will blanket portions of the Northwest, the
Intermountain West, and Midwest. The heaviest snowfall is anticipated in
the Cascades, Tetons, and Colorado Rockies with accumulations over a foot
possible. While lesser totals would occurs in parts of the Northwest and
central Plains, totals of 3 to 6 inches could lead to hazardous travel
conditions. This has resulted in the issuance of Winter Weather Advisories
and Winter Storm Warnings in these areas. By Saturday, a Pacific storm
system slamming into the Pacific Northwest generates heavy snow and ice
accumulations from Portland to Seattle. Pacific moisture out ahead of the
storm system reaches the Sierra Nevada, Great Basin, and Intermountain
West where periods of heavy mountain snow are likely. Hazardous travel
conditions by both ground and air are expected in these areas into the
upcoming weekend.
In the East, a quasi-stationary front with waves of low pressure along
them produces areas of showers along the Gulf Coast and in the Southeast.
Farther north, precipitation is forecast to fall in the form snow or a
wintry mix over parts of the Mid-Atlantic. Light ice accumulations in
parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and the Piedmont of northern North
Carolina and southern Virginia could lead to slick travel conditions this
morning. By Saturday, a more consolidated area of low pressure in the Gulf
of Mexico directs its rich moisture source northeast towards the
Mid-Atlantic. In the warm sector, scattered showers and thunderstorms will
engulf much of the Southeast. A few thunderstorms could be severe at times
over northern Florida. As the precipitation shield overruns sub-freezing
air at the surface in the northern Mid-Atlantic, a wintry mix of
snow/sleet/freezing rain will make for potentially treacherous travel
conditions Saturday afternoon. Ice accumulations on the order of a tenth
to as much as a quarter inch of ice are possible through Saturday evening.
Similar to last weekend, the really cold air forecast for this weekend has backed off a bit. We'll still be cold with Sunday and Monday night dropping into the single digits but we should stay above zero. Could get an inch or two of snow Sunday night with possibly a heavier snow Monday night but there's still so much inconsistency to the exact track of the low Monday night into Tuesday. They are still saying the later storm, Wednesday night into Thursday, looks stronger and more likely to bring us heavier snowfall. We'll see.
It's colder here than forecast today thanks to the CAD moving south more quickly. Some areas in extreme south GA (Valdosta and Waycross) are still in the 70s. Anywhere north of there is in the 50s.
A major winter storm is in the cards here tonight through tomorrow. There could be up to 16 inches of snow in Seattle if the Euro is correct (which would be the biggest snowstorm since 1996, possibly even 1969), and Portland will be right on the edge between lots of snow and lots of ice. We already have a little bit on the grass (around half an inch) from yesterday.
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