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You sure that's not supposed to be ice? We're having an ice storm right now that is due to continue for another 24 hours or so before departing for Virginia. Cincinnati and northern Kentucky had a major snowfall just last night - the rest of Kentucky gets ice instead.
For now: THREE significant snow storms will visit us next week.
The joys of winter...
I much prefer snow over freezing rain and sleet. The new 6Z (6:00 AM) GFS computer model indicates the first system will be heavier snow, and the second system could be mixed precipitation types. Model performance has been very poor recently, so too early to tell yet.
Sheesh. Forecast for Allen keeps dropping. Now seeing a high of just 14 with a low of 1. For comparison, in my two winters in PA the coldest high I had was 15. In fact only two days had highs below 20 and it was one weekend. Coldest it got was only 4.
Had to check and College Station is gonna be very cold. High of just 23 with a low of 9. They're about as far south as Jacksonville, FL for comparison. KCLL's records go back to the early 50s. Coldest Feb min is 14 back in 1985. They'll smash that. Their all time record is 2. Next coldest is 7. 3rd is 9. So they could hit their 3rd coldest temp on record.
Their coldest Feb high was 24, also in 1985.
My old Houston suburb won't escape entirely. High of just 30 on Monday with a low of 15. Compared to Dallas, they're getting off easy. (And the 11-15 day forecast shows 70s...)
Snow pack is holding steady here around 8 inches. Today was the 11th straight day with snow on the ground. I expect that streak to go at least another week or even two. We also have a nice month-long streak going without reaching 10C anywhere in the metro area, almost six weeks in fact for KNYC. All in all, it's not as disgustingly warm of a winter as I expected it to be, despite La Nina and the SE ridge and all of the other garbage in place.
La Niñas can be snowy. Examples from memory and not looking up:
1955-6 - December and end of March had storms (this from reading, not memory since I did not exist yet);
1966-7 - Cold neutral, not quite La Niña (storms in December, February and March, torch for January including a record high or two);
1973-4 - Numerous small storms (big ZR storm in December, numerous snow to wintry mixes in early-mid January, some moderate snows in early February and late March and torches in late January and late February);
1993-4 - Cold neutral, not quite La Niña;
1995-6 - Record snow for NYC, 75", weak La Niña and below normal each month December through March (my first son was born in middle of March 8 snowstorm, notable torches in late January and mid-to-late February, very major storms mid-December and early January);
2010-11- Third snowiest in NYC history, two 20"-ers Boxing Day and late January, torchy February.
The most objectionable thing about La Niñas is that they also feature torches. 1993-4 was about the only torch-free Niña and that one was cold-neutral. I don't know if January would be classified as having a "torch" since I remember 50's but not 60's, though it definitely was above normal. December and February, so far, have notable snow and we're already above average for the winter, which is about 2/3 done.
I guess occasional 1 inch snowfalls are better than nothing. At least we've had snow covering the ground for several days now and it doesn't look like it's going anywhere any time soon. And with two potentially major winter storms to come next week, we could be looking at several more inches. We're also so far over 6F below normal for temperature this month over the first 10 days, our average high so far being just 29F and our average low being 16F. It took until February but it's finally looking and feeling like winter in Indianapolis.
I much prefer snow over freezing rain and sleet. The new 6Z (6:00 AM) GFS computer model indicates the first system will be heavier snow, and the second system could be mixed precipitation types. Model performance has been very poor recently, so too early to tell yet.
There's only one freezing rain storm I remember that I liked; December 15-17, 1973. The storm started as snow and we got an inch or two. Then it freezing rained for about 24 hours or more at roughly 24° - 27° (link to news article). I literally put on my ice skates and skated through mine and my neighbor's back yard until it torched two days later, with rain and temperatures in the 50s. I also remember one from December 1969 or 1970 that was pretty, but just plain sloppy.
Sheesh. Forecast for Allen keeps dropping. Now seeing a high of just 14 with a low of 1. For comparison, in my two winters in PA the coldest high I had was 15. In fact only two days had highs below 20 and it was one weekend. Coldest it got was only 4.
Had to check and College Station is gonna be very cold. High of just 23 with a low of 9. They're about as far south as Jacksonville, FL for comparison. KCLL's records go back to the early 50s. Coldest Feb min is 14 back in 1985. They'll smash that. Their all time record is 2. Next coldest is 7. 3rd is 9. So they could hit their 3rd coldest temp on record.
Their coldest Feb high was 24, also in 1985.
My old Houston suburb won't escape entirely. High of just 30 on Monday with a low of 15. Compared to Dallas, they're getting off easy. (And the 11-15 day forecast shows 70s...)
On the flip side, I've noticed that the latest run of the GFS at 12z has backed off a bit on the low temperatures shown over the Houston area, and other parts of Southern Texas - showing mid-upper teens on the model, instead of single digits from those runs the previous days.
It's actually the ten-year anniversary of that once icing event Texas had in Feb 2011, which affected the Dallas Super Bowl - that event will become more of a better proxy for this one if moderating trends spread northward across the state, rather than a challenger of 1980s or 1800s.
The key is probably the track of the forming surface low in the Gulf. I think solutions that have less sharp of what you call "cutters" or "Apps runners" in the SE US will allow more of the surface-high and accompanying cold to filter eastward, which would take the edge off temps in Houston and Southern Texas. Of course, the opposite would be true with a sharper cut (unless the upper-level patterns are forgiving).
For the few days in higher parts of Balkan are expected very low minimums (around -20c or lower). Including places in mountain parts of northern Greece like Samarina for example.
A blazing nasty 82f today with nasty Dews. Just goes to show FL will never see true cold air in our lifetimes like we had in the 1980's.
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