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It’s too bad that satellite measurements of sea surface temperatures have only been around since the early 1980’s for the northern Pacific Ocean, now we can never truly know if there is a reliable coincidence between the warm blob over the northern Pacific Ocean and winter weather patterns in the Midwest and Eastern United States, with that being said, if this year is a combination of anomalous ridging over the northern Pacific Ocean and a weak modoki El Niño, then it’s fairly safe to say that this could be a hard winter in terms of cold temperatures but a very weak winter when it comes to snow and ice storms for the Plains and Midwest, perhaps this El Niño won’t deliver much drought relief to the southwest or California either, that would be just awful news for the fire season out west if another dry winter comes to fruition for them.
I’m pretty sure that come spring 2019 the only comment I will have about precipitation levels this winter was what a goddamn failure of a winter it was when it came to ice and snow, at least in the Midwest.
I’m pretty sure that come spring 2019 the only comment I will have about precipitation levels this winter was what a goddamn failure of a winter it was when it came to ice and snow, at least in the Midwest.
The two analogs that Bastardi like most 2002-03 and 2009-10 had 29 inches of snow and 54 inches of snow respectively. Average is around 40 inches So, we'll see...
Yup, yet another above average snowfall winter out east likely...what is that, six straight now? Meanwhile the west gets to roast again.
The Blob is back but will it stick around for the winter like it did in 2013-14 and 2014-15? The Super Nino in 2016 helped kill it.... I'm pretty sure the interaction of a Modoki El Nino will allow it to hang around. We'll see
The Blob is back but will it stick around for the winter like it did in 2013-14 and 2014-15? The Super Nino in 2016 helped kill it.... I'm pretty sure the interaction of a Modoki El Nino will allow it to hang around. We'll see
I just can't buy that green over my part of FL. After the last super El nino flop i never take these long range forecast with a grain of salt. I sure would love to see near 40" from Dec to March like we did in 1997-98.
Yup, yet another above average snowfall winter out east likely...what is that, six straight now? Meanwhile the west gets to roast again.
Depends on where in the East you're talking about. In North Carolina it's been about 50/50 the past six years, with a strong NW/SE gradient.
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, with that being said, if this year is a combination of anomalous ridging over the northern Pacific Ocean and a weak modoki El Niño, then it’s fairly safe to say that this could be a hard winter in terms of cold temperatures but a very weak winter when it comes to snow and ice storms for the Plains and Midwest
