Winter Thread 2018-19 (Northern Hemisphere) (North Carolina, California, snowfall, hot)
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JB said October Nor'Easters have a common theme during pre Modoki El Nino winters. He mentioned analog years 1977, 2002, and 2009. So let's see if this coming winter will resemble any of those. All epic winters here.
Jan thru March of 77 was a active winter and we had snow in Tampa on Jan 18th. 2002 was very cold if i remember right for like 3 weeks and that was it. Will have to look back in my records. Fall of 2009 was very warm until Jan 1st of 2010 and BOOM super cold for 3 months.
How is 2002 a decent blob analog? It’s below normal that year from what I can tell.
Hard to tell if that dip that you're seeing was in 2001 or 2002
Blob gaining size and strength and may persist through the winter. If so, may induce ridge out west and trough east like 2013-14 and 2014-15. Then again Blob was around in 2016 but was being killed by that Super Nino.
Well trust me we sure had some wicked winters in the 880's when that blog index was deep negative, so I don't believe it is the be all end all of eastern US winter predictions.
Well trust me we sure had some wicked winters in the 880's when that blog index was deep negative, so I don't believe it is the be all end all of eastern US winter predictions.
I never said it was the be all end all, of course there are other factors... But during the winter a ridge in the North Pacific promotes troughing out east. During the summer, it's less significant because the southern ridge is also more pronounced.
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