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Interesting. What makes you feel that forecasters will be too conservative?
They always are on sunny days like this . Yesterday was forecasted at 50 we hit 54. Today at 55 we are 54 now we will probably exceed that by a couple of degrees.
Interesting. What makes you feel that forecasters will be too conservative?
Hate to use the over used word but, With El Nino and the Southern Branch active, it seems easier to get the warmth to push north and therefore easier to go over forecasts because models underestimate the power of the southern push. Also, if you are drier than normal that will increase chances of going over as well as it will get hotter with a drier ground.
BTW ... Max 60s today and Max teens next week? Kentucky is interesting.
GFS12z Max temps Wednesday Feb 10th
That's 2 cold posts. I will get to the storms in a little bit.
Hate to use the over used word but, With El Nino and the Southern Branch active, it seems easier to get the warmth to push north and therefore easier to go over forecasts because models underestimate the power of the southern push. Also, if you are drier than normal that will increase chances of going over as well as it will get hotter with a drier ground.
BTW ... Max 60s today and Max teens next week? Kentucky is interesting.
GFS12z Max temps Wednesday Feb 10th
That's 2 cold posts. I will get to the storms in a little bit.
Please tell me you messed up and those are the lows not the highs. That scenario if so would be historic cold. it shows NC in the 50s and just west of the mountains in the teens. How far East would that push?
Just checked that model cambium. Very crazy some how the cold never truly makes it easy of the mountains.
Parts of northern TN are sub zero and NC is sitting in the 20s.
Hate to use the over used word but, With El Nino and the Southern Branch active, it seems easier to get the warmth to push north and therefore easier to go over forecasts because models underestimate the power of the southern push. Also, if you are drier than normal that will increase chances of going over as well as it will get hotter with a drier ground.
BTW ... Max 60s today and Max teens next week? Kentucky is interesting.
GFS12z Max temps Wednesday Feb 10th
That's 2 cold posts. I will get to the storms in a little bit.
BTW ... Max 60s today and Max teens next week? Kentucky is interesting.
It sure is.
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it shows NC in the 50s and just west of the mountains in the teens. How far East would that push?
