Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Talked to a few people making fun of that headline.
Yeah.. its like saying "If its cold and theres moisture, its gonna snow". lol. (NOAA said that one year)
I'll have to check DC but its funny cause I thought I said that about Philly that they get triple the normal snow or nothing. Maybe same with DC and then their title would make sense
Northern Indiana by Lake Michigan gets more snow than Madison, WI. I believe South Bend averages about 80 inches of snow or so. I wouldn't say anywhere is particularly "warm" in winter, maybe compared to Wisconsin. Indianapolis is colder than say, Evansville though.
I'm by Louisville in southern Indiana now so the climate here is fairly mild in my book throughout most of the year.
I'm by Louisville in southern Indiana now so the climate here is fairly mild in my book throughout most of the year.
That area is hardly representative of Indiana though....that's one of the warmest climates in the state. I would use more of Indianapolis or somewhere in central Indiana to say it's a typical climate there.
That area is hardly representative of Indiana though....that's one of the warmest climates in the state. I would use more of Indianapolis or somewhere in central Indiana to say it's a typical climate there.
Yes, that is a central location- not debating that would be a good average. I would prefer the higher snowfall averages there than a bit to the south.
AS THE FORECASTS PROGRESS THROUGH THE AUTUMN AND INTO WINTER, THE PATTERN
SLOWLY MORPHS TO ONE CONSISTENT WITH STRONG EL NINO CONDITIONS, LARGELY
FAVORING BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
CONUS, WITH ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER. PROBABILITIES
OF BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS REACH OR EXCEED
50 PERCENT IN DJF, JFM, AND FMA 2016. PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES REACH OR EXCEED 60 PERCENT ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY IN DJF. IN DJF AND JFM, THE EXPECTATION OF A STRONG EL
NINO FAVORS ELEVATED PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS, WITH A CORRESPONDING SOUTHWARD SHIFT OF
FAVORED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES. IN GENERAL, PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WERE INCREASED SLIGHTLY FROM THE CORRESPONDING PREVIOUS SET OF
OUTLOOKS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL CONUS, IN ACCORDANCE WITH
MORE CONFIDENCE IN A STRONG EL NINO BY LATE AUTUMN AND WINTER. BY FMA,
PREDICTED ANOMALIES ARE STILL ROBUST, THOUGH THERE IS A NOTICEABLE DECLINE IN
BOTH AREAL COVERAGE AND ANOMALY MAGNITUDES FORECAST DURING MAM AND AMJ 2016. BY
SUMMER 2016, THE TRENDS TOWARD ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO GAIN
INFLUENCE AS THE WANING EL NINO LOSES INFLUENCE, SO THE FORECAST REFLECTS THE
CPC CONSOLIDATION AND TRENDS.
PRECIPITATION
FOR DJF 2015/16 AND JFM 2016, THE FORECAST ANOMALIES REACH THEIR PEAK STRENGTH,
WITH PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE-MEDIAN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS REACHING OR EXCEEDING
60 PERCENT IN FLORIDA AND FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF BOTH CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA
IN JFM. THE AREAS OF ANTICIPATED BELOW-MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST AND FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REACH
MATURITY DURING THESE TWO SEASONS. ODDS FOR BELOW-MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ARE ALSO
ELEVATED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA IN DJF AND JFM, DUE MAINLY TO THE NMME,
CFS, SST CONSTRUCTED ANALOGS, IMME, AND IRI PROJECTIONS.
PREDICTED ANOMALIES ARE STILL PRONOUNCED DURING FMA, THOUGH IN MAM THERE IS A
NOTABLE DECLINE IN BOTH AREAL COVERAGE AND ANOMALY MAGNITUDES, WHICH
CORRESPONDS TO THE EXPECTED WINDING DOWN OF THE CURRENT WARM EVENT. FROM AMJ
ONWARD (COINCIDENT WITH THE SPRING BARRIER), THERE IS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY
AS TO WHETHER OR NOT A LA NINA DEVELOPS, AND IF SO, ITS EXPECTED INTENSITY.
THEREFORE, EC IS FORECAST FOR THE REMAINING PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS.
Henry Margusity August 21 video he mentions his quick gut thoughts for winter at 4:20. Back further shows why he's saying that. (because of the diving Jet stream, SOI values, and strong Fall like storms we're already getting)
It is absolutely fascinating to see happen in Summer and one wonders with a naturally strong polar jet coming in late Fall/Winter what this will do if it continues.
"I think we're in for one heck of a winter time. This is setting up to be looking like a wild winter coming up. Just my feeling, my opinion"
Snowfall Totals during Strong El Nino Winters for:
Bridgeport: 28" Normal
1877-78: No Data
1888-89: No Data
1896-97: No Data
1905-06: No Data
1940-41:No Data
1957-58: 49.0" (+ 72% above normal)
1965-66: 20.9" (- 25% below normal)
1972-73 8.2" (- 71% below normal)
1982-83: 23.0" (- 18% below normal)
1997-98: 8.9" (- 70% below normal)
Hartford/Windsor Locks: 40.5" Normal
1877-78: No Data
1888-89: No Data
1896-97: No Data
1905-06: 35.2"(- 11% below normal)
1940-41: 40.0" (normal)
1957-58: 53.4" (+ 33% above normal)
1965-66: 52.6" (- 32% above normal)
1972-73 35.2" (- 11% below normal)
1982-83: 46.4" (- 15% above normal)
1997-98: Missing Data
The coast is pitiful! But look at winter of 1972-73.. Coast got 8" while interior CT got almost 3 feet. I assume lack of arctic air with El Ninos makes the coast/inland difference and the active sub "tropical" jet stream brining warm air too close to the coast.
Need this year to be a year where it doesn't follow the "typical" El Nino pattern
"The editors of the Farmers’ Almanac are issuing a stern warning, to “brace yourselves” for a winter forecast that you may not want to read"
"If you are a snow-lover, this is where the Farmers’ Almanac has more good news. Much of the Great Plains, Great Lakes, New England, and parts of the Ohio Valley will see snow, snow and more snow"
“Last year our bitterly cold and shivery forecast came true in many states including the 23 eastern states that experienced one of their top-ten coldest Februarys on record,” shares Geiger. “This year many of these same states may want to get a jump start now and stock up on lots of winter survival gear: sweaters, long johns, and plenty of firewood.”
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
