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I'll take my 32.4° here and run with it, 33 max so far. Sun down soon. 55 in Atlantic City? Poor South Jersey.
And no.. 50s & 60s is best for Spring, not winter. It's nice outside right now. Any warmer or with sunlight would be too warm.
Almost 80 in Sumter. LOL. Why cant they just pull the plug on that thing. WTF
The sun shone brightly all day with no wind. Very pleasant 47F. Your temps stayed lower cause of clouds it looks like. Sun already seems a bit higher in the sky. Days are getting longer which makes me feel better.
Philadelphia, Philadelphia International Airport (KPHL)
Lat: 39.87°N Lon: 75.23°W
A Few Clouds
47°F
8°C
Elev: 7ft.
Humidity 33%
Wind Speed SW 17 mph
Barometer 29.91 in (1012.8 mb)
Dewpoint 19°F (-7°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 40°F (4°C)
Last update 14 Jan 2:54 pm EST
Dude, each day there's a different forecast. A couple of days ago you were talking about a cold February. That's why it's kind of stupid to put so much stock into long-term forecasts.
Dude, each day there's a different forecast. A couple of days ago you were talking about a cold February. That's why it's kind of stupid to put so much stock into long-term forecasts.
It is the one weather teleconnection I don't get with all those phases. What exactly does it represent?
Speaking of Canadian. Still uploading the rest but Here's Hour 198 Friday afternoon. North Carolina mountains getting a snowstorm!
We will be in North Georgia over the weekend, And were thinking about going to Mount Mitchell, NC on Sunday. How is the weather looking for then? If it's snowing then the road might be closed, although I was hoping to see some snow up there.
It is the one weather teleconnection I don't get with all those phases. What exactly does it represent?
Yeah, I don't get it either. And there's a different forecast each day. One day the forecast says a cold late winter, and now it's saying a warm East. How about just letting weather happen? And FTR, I see mostly below normal temperatures for the East in the next ten days.
The crazy thing is that this February could be five degrees below average and it's still a massive improvement over last year. I dont mind if it's a lil bit below average, just as long as we don't have highs in the teens every single day like last year
The MJO is eastward moving clouds and precip near the equator around India. Somehow that influences the weather all the way here by buckling the jet in one position or another
Quote:
Originally Posted by alex985
Dude, each day there's a different forecast. A couple of days ago you were talking about a cold February. That's why it's kind of stupid to put so much stock into long-term forecasts.
Yeah I know... it's just that some models were getting my hopes up....
Midway is at 45F right now, my station was at 48F a couple of hours ago
The MJO represents the evolution of a enhanced convective area around the equator. The furthest the data point is from the center of the graph, the strongest is the anomaly. The graph gives the current and past longitude of that high precipitation zone (zones 1 to 8). Apparently a strong MJO in phase 3-4 (enhanced precipitation over Indonesia) tends to favor blocking highs over the northeastern Pacific, meaning a buckled jet stream and an increased probability of north-south air mass movements over North America? Dunno.
Dude, each day there's a different forecast. A couple of days ago you were talking about a cold February. That's why it's kind of stupid to put so much stock into long-term forecasts.
lol. I miss the days we didn't have models to look at (only TWC did) and all I did was look out the window for the weather or look at the "3" day forecast. LOL No fun though. But yeah.. Long Range crap are just headaches waiting to happen. Then again .. CFS in Summer and Fall was right so far about above normal winter. lol
Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons
It is the one weather teleconnection I don't get with all those phases. What exactly does it represent?
MJO is cool actually but just "another thing" to look at. You would like it. Hard to explain in one post.
Use this link to see what the Phase means for Temperatures. Think "overall" not exacts. Choose JFM 3 month time frame. Then match the phase with the current MJO forecast. We are entering the circle (kiss of death). We are currently in Phase 2 a cooler U.S phase. But We were in Phase 8 last week which is a Cold East and stormy phase which has been true.
We will be in North Georgia over the weekend, And were thinking about going to Mount Mitchell, NC on Sunday. How is the weather looking for then? If it's snowing then the road might be closed, although I was hoping to see some snow up there.
This weekend? I believe rain and warm there. It's next weekend which could be interesting.
In fact.. High confidence that North Carolina mountains will have more snow than Hartford, CT by next week...until the snow moves into the Northeast..if it does. So basically NC might be getting a snowstorm before CT & MA
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