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Old 12-04-2014, 05:21 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,763,732 times
Reputation: 4572

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
CHOO CHOO!! I"M ON THE WARM TRAIN.

you might have to wait until after the holidays to get any kind of real cold in the Northeast. That's what I keep seeing. I think I said after mid December last week but with the way GFS keeps showing things it might not happen till January. We'll see.

Anything can change easily after the 10th still but right now the Polar Jet Stream stays in Canada for another couple weeks.

No 60s for highs but no 20s either. No teens for lows. Boring frustrating depressing temps. 2 months left now. Ugh
Yeah, December might be a wasted winter month, at least for the Midwest.. Especially if that typhoon doesn't recurve.....


Still, A whopping 45% of the ECMWF ensemble members like the big "Nor'Easter" solution touted by today's 12Z European operational model




What the hell four lows in the 360 hr forecast?




I love the week 4 forecast from the Euro


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Old 12-04-2014, 07:50 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,763,732 times
Reputation: 4572
What the hell is this? Torch city USA? What? It's going to be 15C at the end of next week in Chicago?


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Old 12-04-2014, 09:00 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,763,732 times
Reputation: 4572
Meanwhile in Siberia....




https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/...006592/photo/1







https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU
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Old 12-04-2014, 09:14 PM
 
3,212 posts, read 3,194,832 times
Reputation: 1067
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
What the hell is this? Torch city USA? What? It's going to be 15C at the end of next week in Chicago?

15 C as a daytime high is a "cold snap" for us. It looks like CA is going to get a lot of rain (which is associated with cold here) in the coming 2 weeks so we might achieve a daytime high lower than yours in that time frame
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Old 12-04-2014, 09:17 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
2,412 posts, read 2,485,955 times
Reputation: 531
Quote:
Originally Posted by ABrandNewWorld View Post
15 C as a daytime high is a "cold snap" for us. It looks like CA is going to get a lot of rain (which is associated with cold here) in the coming 2 weeks so we might achieve a daytime high lower than yours in that time frame
The 10 day forecast shows nothing below mid 60s, I doubt we will see below 15C lows. 15C has been the lows even warmer for us these couple of days
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Old 12-04-2014, 09:56 PM
 
3,212 posts, read 3,194,832 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by L.A.-Mex View Post
The 10 day forecast shows nothing below mid 60s, I doubt we will see below 15C lows. 15C has been the lows even warmer for us these couple of days
Next Friday, we are to get a cold low from the Gulf of Alaska with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s throughout the L.A metro area. With the warmer than normal SST and some possible capture of tropical moisture, we could squeeze out 2-3 inches of rain in one day (and hopefully some thunder!) but we'll have to sacrifice warmth in order to get that rain. It's the reality of living in a Mediterranean climate.
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Old 12-04-2014, 10:17 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
2,412 posts, read 2,485,955 times
Reputation: 531
Quote:
Originally Posted by ABrandNewWorld View Post
Next Friday, we are to get a cold low from the Gulf of Alaska with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s throughout the L.A metro area. With the warmer than normal SST and some possible capture of tropical moisture, we could squeeze out 2-3 inches of rain in one day (and hopefully some thunder!) but we'll have to sacrifice warmth in order to get that rain. It's the reality of living in a Mediterranean climate.

2-3 inches in one day??? where did you hear that, that would be great.

oh yeah, such is the harsh reality that we had to go through rain at 70 F, brrrrr.
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Old 12-05-2014, 04:45 AM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,763,732 times
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Powerful
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Old 12-05-2014, 05:18 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,681 posts, read 75,998,531 times
Reputation: 16708
Complete trash!!!!! How did it ever become one of the main models. GFS finally caught onto the coastal storm idea yesterday evening but....

NWS Boston

UNLIKE THE LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS...AGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS IS
LACKING. THE ECMWF HAS HAD GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY WITH
DEVELOPING A COASTAL LOW THAT MOVES SOMEWHERE BETWEEN NANTUCKET AND
THE 40/70 BENCHMARK. UNTIL THE 00Z RUN LAST NIGHT...THE GFS HAS
ALSO DEVELOPED A COASTAL LOW WITH A LITTLE LESS CERTAINTY ON THE
TRACK. SINCE THEN AND CONTINUED IN THE 05/00Z RUN THE GFS HAS
COMPLETELY DISPENSED WITH THE COASTAL LOW AND HAS OPTED FOR HIGH
PRESSURE
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Old 12-05-2014, 05:58 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,681 posts, read 75,998,531 times
Reputation: 16708
So..

Japanese.
Chinese
European.
Canadian.

ALL have the big coastal storm.

The American GFS... No. High Pressure. What a joke.
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