2014-15 Winter Thread (Northern Hemisphere) (tornadoes, snow, warm, temp)

[Cambium]

GFS12z Sounding for D.C 1am Monday. Love the temp profile for Mid Atlantic north of Richmond and Higher Elevations of Kentucky, WV, Virginia where GFS is showing a nice little snow event for while Clear and cold north of Baltimore.

[Cambium]

GFS12z brings winter back again for January 1st time frame. Northern plains New Years Eve then it all pushes south and Eastbound.

Single Digits and Teens push all the way to the East coast.

Setting myself up for disappointment? lol

[ral31]

Severe tstorm warning nearby to my south.

Heavy rain where I'm at with frequent thunder and lightning flashes.

[tommyFL]

We hit 83F yesterday...even hotter today.
72F low tonight Ties the December record

Hopefully, we'll get some rain tomorrow. Only 0.81 inches so far this month.

[Rozenn]

The air is really dessicated aloft with this anticyclone. A minimum rh of 6% and a dew point hovering around -35°C despite mild temperatures today at Jungfraujoch, 3,580 m asl in Switzerland:
Relevés météo en temps réel à Jungfraujoch - Suisse | Wetterdaten in realzeit in Jungfraujoch - Schweiz - Infoclimat


Not sur if it's related, but my hands have been parched for a few days. The dew point in Nice hasn't been that low though, around 0°C at best.

[Cambium]

Why do I do this to myself?

Now with the Euro long Range. Maybe it's my Christmas present for January 2nd. Or Maybe its just a "wish" list.

Northeast close-up 850T with plots. -20C over me? Yeah, that equates to near 10F at surface which would be close to extreme for beginning of January. Record is 5F Jan 1. 2F Jan 2.

[WayneCounty]

Originally Posted by Cambium

GFS12z brings winter back again for January 1st time frame. Northern plains New Years Eve then it all pushes south and Eastbound.

Single Digits and Teens push all the way to the East coast.

Setting myself up for disappointment? lol

And you were the one saying it was going to remain warm.

SPC has issued an enhanced risk for the remainder of today for the southeast severe wx threat. No surprise there.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by WayneCounty

And you were the one saying it was going to remain warm.

lol, well, that frame is January 2nd which is long range. Notice it keeps getting pushed back and back. We'll see. And question is, will it be in and out??

Originally Posted by Cambium

you might have to wait until after the holidays to get any kind of real cold in the Northeast.

Originally Posted by Cambium

Maybe mid January? Maybe Beginning of February? I'm talking about sustained well below normal temps. Not in & out.

Originally Posted by Cambium

Notice well below normal happens in Northeast on the 1st but then warms right up

Cold & seasonable at times, yes... 2+ days of Arctic well below normal temps... looks like over 10-14 day wait again.

Which puts us around the Jan 2nd timeframe which is after holidays and 10+ days out. We'll see.

I like the idea of one shot of it but getting it sustained I would say after mid January or maybe not at all this winter but that's too early to say.

[tommyFL]

Coldest January on record coming up

[ral31]

Confirmed tornado near Columbia, Mississippi right now. (west of Hattiesburg)

"Particularly dangerous situation" warning was issued.