Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Bastardi explains that the US model is putting a trough right over the North Pacific which has well above average SST's and it doesn't make sense.
He agrees with the Japanese model which puts a trough to the east of that, and thus pumps a ridge over the Northwestern US, and ultimately promotes a trough over the eastern two thirds of CONUS
^^
Again, I think that the Japanese model is right. We will be colder than average, but the anomalies out east will be even greater than the Midwest... Boston/NYC/Philly maybe even DC will see one heck of a winter (by their standards), as well as some pretty impressive snows. IMHO.
The Jamstec puts most of the US in an icebox this winter.... Much like last winter. I don't know if it will be THAT cold.
Last edited by chicagogeorge; 09-13-2014 at 02:57 PM..
Was doing a search on my Lemon plant to see when I brought it inside last year for first time. I came across this crazy post. Wow! Forgotten how low it went that far south.
Quote:
Originally Posted by cloudcrash619
5 degrees.... then not even 4 days later - thunderstorms. Isn't that just lovely.
Based on SST's that's exactly the pattern I envision for this winter. Ridge in the west and block over Greenland will cause above normal temps there, and sink the jet south in eastern CONUS. Now what role will El Nino play? That's a wild card right now.
It's also noteworthy that one of netweather's analog years is 1976/77. January 77 was the coldest on record here.
Was doing a search on my Lemon plant to see when I brought it inside last year for first time. I came across this crazy post. Wow! Forgotten how low it went that far south.
At least in that case there was a reward at the end. I can't even buy a thunderstorm in SUMMER let alone a few days after the cold snap.
Bastardi explains that the US model is putting a trough right over the North Pacific which has well above average SST's and it doesn't make sense.
He agrees with the Japanese model which puts a trough to the east of that, and thus pumps a ridge over the Northwestern US, and ultimately promotes a trough over the eastern two thirds of CONUS
^^
Again, I think that the Japanese model is right. We will be colder than average, but the anomalies out east will be even greater than the Midwest... Boston/NYC/Philly maybe even DC will see one heck of a winter (by their standards), as well as some pretty impressive snows. IMHO.
The Jamstec puts most of the US in an icebox this winter.... Much like last winter. I don't know if it will be THAT cold.
Interesting article by those WeatherTrends360 guys about the over the top hype over this coming winter.
A lot of the article is about global warming blah blah. I'm not interested in that. I'm only interested in the bottom of the article where they say that 10 models call for warm winter in US. They still feel it will not be nearly as harsh as last year, and that the polar jet will stay in Canada. Love to see a debate between them and Bastardi cause they agree totally on AGW, but disgree on this coming winter.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Wow! Forgotten how low it went that far south.
