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Old 07-16-2014, 12:51 PM
 
Location: Zagreb, Croatia
3,990 posts, read 3,420,664 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MeteoMan View Post
July half month summary - til half way through 16th.
For Zagreb:
Average high: 26.5c (-0.2c (1961-1990), -1.7c (2000-2013))
Average low: 14.6c (+0.4c (1961-1990), -1.4c (2000-2013))

Precipitation: 92.2 mm on 7 days (+11.2 mm)
Thunderstorm days: 5

Sunshine: 122 hours to the 15th (8.1 hours/day, -1.0 hours/day)
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Old 07-16-2014, 12:59 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,815,028 times
Reputation: 4573
Absolute lack of any true warmth here so far this July. Over 3F below average (2C+) for the month so far...


ORD:
Avg max: 79.5F/26.4F
Avg low: 62.2F/16.8C
Mean: 70.5F/21.4C

MDW:
Avg max:80.9F/27.2C
Avg low:64.4F/18.0C
Mean:72.7F/22.4C


This easily wipes out the positive anomaly of both May and June here



Btw,

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Old 07-16-2014, 01:04 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 14,036,671 times
Reputation: 5898
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Absolute lack of any true warmth here so far this July. Over 3F below average (2C+) for the month so far...


ORD:
Avg max: 79.5F/26.4F
Avg low: 62.2F/16.8C
Mean: 70.5F/21.4C

MDW:
Avg max:80.9F/27.2C
Avg low:64.4F/18.0C
Mean:72.7F/22.4C


This easily wipes out the positive anomaly of both May and June here

Won't get any better in August or Sept according to NCEP CFS Monthly. In August currently for you it is 0F anomaly or just average, but Sept is -1 anomaly. No heat for you this summer. Your highest temp in the GEFS 16 day is 88F, then downward trend to July 31st where the high in Chicago is just 80F. Not a single 90F day in your 16 day forecast. Over and done. Put a fork in your hopes and dreams of a blistering hot summer this year. Ain't gonna happen. The pattern on the maps looks just like last winter. The pattern that is gonna hold all thru next winter. At least your cold dreams will be fully realized next winter.
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Old 07-16-2014, 01:07 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,815,028 times
Reputation: 4573
Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Won't get any better in August or Sept according to NCEP CFS Monthly. In August currently for you it is 0F anomaly or just average, but Sept is -1 anomaly. No heat for you this summer.


As for the next 45 days.... Yeah.




At this point, I'll take an average August!

Since Bastardi has been right so far for July (but wrong about June), he also said that the Midwest will have a warm dry September. Let's hope
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Old 07-16-2014, 01:17 PM
 
29,590 posts, read 19,815,028 times
Reputation: 4573
Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Put a fork in your hopes and dreams of a blistering hot summer this year. Ain't gonna happen.

I've come to terms with that.

Quote:
The pattern on the maps looks just like last winter. The pattern that is gonna hold all thru next winter. At least your cold dreams will be fully realized next winter.
Consolation prize I guess.


Btw, yet another year I found where we had a colder than normal winter but a scorching summer. Winter had average highs 4 degrees below normal, and summer ended up with 48 days of 90+ temps




There is no statistical basis in your theory cold winters= cool summers.
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Old 07-16-2014, 01:24 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,726 posts, read 76,275,616 times
Reputation: 16725
Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Won't get any better in August or Sept according to NCEP CFS Monthly. In August currently for you it is 0F anomaly or just average, but Sept is -1 anomaly. No heat for you this summer. Your highest temp in the GEFS 16 day is 88F, then downward trend to July 31st where the high in Chicago is just 80F. Not a single 90F day in your 16 day forecast. Over and done. Put a fork in your hopes and dreams of a blistering hot summer this year. Ain't gonna happen. The pattern on the maps looks just like last winter. The pattern that is gonna hold all thru next winter. At least your cold dreams will be fully realized next winter.
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
As for the next 45 days.... Yeah.
You guys are making me sad as I bake (without 90s)!! Look at that 45 day map too. CT normal to above still!
Less than 10 hours in the 60sF since July 6th!! WTF. Drop down already!

Here.... have fun with this...

Bridgeport (BDR) at the coast....

July 1-15, 2014
Average Max temp: 84.2° .... 12th warmest on record
Average Min temp: 68.6° .... 10th warmest on record
Average Mean Temp: 76.4° .... 9th Warmest on record

Last 5 years in a row the first half of July has been in the Top 11 warmest!


Windsor Locks (BDL) (northern CT) has their 9th warmest July 1-15 period as well which is more impressive since records go back to 1905.


Last edited by Cambium; 07-16-2014 at 01:38 PM.. Reason: Fixed typo in text part
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Old 07-16-2014, 01:32 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
45,983 posts, read 53,853,807 times
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Another reminder on how much 2013 stands out. For the min, a full 2.1°F then #2. And the mins reflect humidity. 2nd half of July looks like it'll be more normal at least.
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Old 07-16-2014, 01:51 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 14,036,671 times
Reputation: 5898
Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
I've come to terms with that.



Consolation prize I guess.


Btw, yet another year I found where we had a colder than normal winter but a scorching summer. Winter had average highs 4 degrees below normal, and summer ended up with 48 days of 90+ temps




There is no statistical basis in your theory cold winters= cool summers.

All that matters to me now is that it didn't work for you this summer, and I warned you of that this past winter when you posted non stop about how joyful you were with the cold blasts. I was hoping you got this as karma, and it happened. Ha ha.

No offense, but out of all the weather preferences on this board I find yours the worst of the worst. The colder the winter the better for you, and then you want baking hot summers. That is a nightmare for me. I prefer stable and closer to normal temps in all seasons.
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Old 07-16-2014, 02:22 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,726 posts, read 76,275,616 times
Reputation: 16725
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
Another reminder on how much 2013 stands out. For the min, a full 2.1°F then #2. And the mins reflect humidity. 2nd half of July looks like it'll be more normal at least.
Nice catch.. yup, Lows reflect the dewpoints/humidity. . 2 years in a row I thought 2012 was bad.. last year was horrific. Here I thought I was going to be able to tolerate this crap after a nice spring.

When I learned not long ago that one way to see what kind of dewpoints are coming up is to look at the forecasted lows I thought that was cool. (in general not exact)
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Old 07-16-2014, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Penticton, BC
719 posts, read 618,751 times
Reputation: 197
Air quality advisory in effect here. It's pretty smokey out there. Hot too, it was already at 30º by 10AM.
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