Coronavirus in Massachusetts (Boston, Natick: spring break, live, vs)

[GeoffD]

Originally Posted by wolfgang239

Just a note that's not what 90% reduction means, that you would now have a 1 in 10 chance of being infected.

It's a 90% reduction of your chance of infection. So if the chance of infection is normally 10% (an example number, don't know in reality), then this would be a 90% reduction of that 10% chance, making it a 1% chance of infection. If your chance of infection from exposure was 5%, this 90% reduction would make it 0.5%.

I had university-level probability theory math courses. I think I grasp the concept.

[wolfgang239]

Originally Posted by GeoffD

I had university-level probability theory math courses. I think I grasp the concept.

Gotcha professor, just pointing out that "It cuts my odds of catching COVID-19 to 10%." is not indicative of grasping the concept.

Signed, community college grad

[GeoffD]

Originally Posted by wolfgang239

Gotcha professor, just pointing out that "It cuts my odds of catching COVID-19 to 10%." is not indicative of grasping the concept.

It's 10% compared to my previous odds of contracting COVID-19 prior to getting vaccinated. A completely accurate statement. You fail pedantic.

[porterhouse]

The odds of you catching covid and being a super spreader after being fully vaccinated are very small. Once everyone who wants to is vaccinated, the masks are going to be a tough sell to most.

[Shrewsburried]

Originally Posted by porterhouse

The odds of you catching covid and being a super spreader after being fully vaccinated are very small. Once everyone who wants to is vaccinated, the masks are going to be a tough sell to most.

Assuming others are vaccinated, yes. This is my primary concern for the "wait and see" crowd ... at some point in the near future those who are vaccinated will become very lax in social settings assuming their peers/family members are also vaccinated (unless otherwise noted).

[BostonMike7]

After setting an alarm for 3:15am, I was able to book an appt through CVS. First shot on Sat

[elnrgby]

Originally Posted by BostonMike7

After setting an alarm for 3:15am, I was able to book an appt through CVS. First shot on Sat

Wow, congratulations! That is very lucky, because there will be a stampede on the vaccine from a couple of million younger folks starting next week, which will probably greatly decrease chances of success.

[bohemka]

Originally Posted by GeoffD

I had university-level probability theory math courses. I think I grasp the concept.

That's great, but you can understand why your comment is being viewed as unnecessarily abrasive.

Originally Posted by GeoffD

It's 10% compared to my previous odds of contracting COVID-19 prior to getting vaccinated. A completely accurate statement. You fail pedantic.

But that's not what you wrote. Wolfgang's post wasn't to contradict or correct you. It was a heads-up to casual viewers about how to interpret vaccine efficacy. There's no need to get defensive.

[htfdcolt]

Originally Posted by bohemka

That's great, but you can understand why your comment is being viewed as unnecessarily abrasive.



But that's not what you wrote. Wolfgang's post wasn't to contradict or correct you. It was a heads-up to casual viewers about how to interpret vaccine efficacy. There's no need to get defensive.

The average layperson's lack of understanding of probability and statistics is appalling to me also (and not just when it comes to Covid)...so clarification is always good IMO

[htfdcolt]

Originally Posted by elnrgby

Wow, congratulations! That is very lucky, because there will be a stampede on the vaccine from a couple of million younger folks starting next week, which will probably greatly decrease chances of success.

I work partly in CT, and was able to sign up there when eligibility opened back on 3/1. I'm headed back for my second shot tomorrow. Had I waited for eligibility in MA, I would have been delayed at least until 4/5, plus I was worried about the same stampede you're referring to. Especially given the gymnastics people are having to go through to get appointments.