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Right now according to available polls, these are states that favour Bernie Sanders or very close for grab:
Solid for Sanders: Vermont, West Virginia
Likely for Sanders: Alaska, Maine, Utah
Leaning for Sanders: Colorado, Massachusetts
Toss-ups: Missouri, Oklahoma, Oregon, Wisconsin
Leaning for Clinton: Minnesota, Ohio
It would be a whole lot more accurate to also include
Solid for Clinton: South Carolina, Texas, Georgia, Virginia, Tennessee, Alabama, Arkansas, Michigan, Louisiana, Kansas, Florida, North Carolina
And that's before I even get into whether your characterizations are accurate.
And Illinois. She holds a 58-24 lead over Sanders here.
Thats absurd. Illinois is a middle of the road state and she is now only 5-7 points ahead among the average of national polls. Clearly an outlier or old poll.
Thats absurd. Illinois is a middle of the road state and she is now only 5-7 points ahead among the average of national polls. Clearly an outlier or old poll.
OH I don't know. Illinois is populated with the brain surgeons who inflicted unqualified extremists like Obama, Dick Durnin, and Carol Mosely-Braun on the country. Hillary seems like a natural fit for Illinois, plus she aligns with Illinois' long history of electing corrupt politicians.
I was trying to go with states that had somewhat current polling on RCP. I either missed Illinois or it might not have been updated when I looked, but this came out just today, Clinton 51 Sanders 32.
Not sure what else is out there giving a 5-7 point spread, RCP only had one other poll, going back to last summer, which of course I ignored.
And just in case it wasn't clear, when I listed these states as solidly for Hillary, I was using the same criteria as the person I was responding to used - current polling data. Obviously all of this is subject to change.
I was trying to go with states that had somewhat current polling on RCP. I either missed Illinois or it might not have been updated when I looked, but this came out just today, Clinton 51 Sanders 32.
Not sure what else is out there giving a 5-7 point spread, RCP only had one other poll, going back to last summer, which of course I ignored.
And just in case it wasn't clear, when I listed these states as solidly for Hillary, I was using the same criteria as the person I was responding to used - current polling data. Obviously all of this is subject to change.
So she's 40 points ahead in Illinois according to a random pollster and 5-7 points ahead nationally according to the RCP average of national polls. I guess Sanders must be 90-10 ahead in west coast states for this to add up.
So she's 40 points ahead in Illinois according to a random pollster and 5-7 points ahead nationally according to the RCP average of national polls. I guess Sanders must be 90-10 ahead in west coast states for this to add up.
This is an overall snapshot of the race right now based on the available polls. I will keep updating each time new polls come in, so things will change as new polls come in.
Solid for Sanders: Vermont, West Virginia
Likely for Sanders: Alaska, Maine, Utah
Leaning for Sanders: Colorado, Massachusetts
Toss-ups: Oklahoma, Wisconsin
Leaning for Clinton: Minnesota, Missouri, Oregon
Likely for Clinton: California, Connecticut, Idaho, Maryland, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Virginia
Solid for Clinton: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee
Not enough data for the remaining 13 states and D.C.
Last edited by Daywalk; 02-23-2016 at 05:12 AM..
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