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Old 04-06-2016, 11:24 PM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,979,507 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by emm74 View Post
The enthusiasm gap is not a real thing, it's a social media thing.

Trump and Clinton Supporters Lead in Enthusiasm

Yes, there's no denying that Hillary's supporters are older and they aren't glued to their devices 24/7, ready to attack the way Sanders people are the second anything positive is said about Hillary or even vaguely negative about Bernie.

I will concede that Hillary needs to figure out how to attract support from younger voters and Independents. They have been Bernie's margin of victory and why it's not really that likely he will win in the upcoming closed primaries.

But Hillary's margins are strong in other demographics and her supporters are very enthusiastic. That's why she's millions of votes ahead.
Enthusiasm has a rather relative and subjective standard. They might not be enthusiastic enough to turnout for her consistently. That's why she lost in Nevada county convention when she got more votes in precinct caucuses. So perhaps they now send warning signal to other caucus states that they should turnout for County/state conventions

 
Old 04-06-2016, 11:46 PM
 
Location: Philadelphia
11,998 posts, read 12,952,341 times
Reputation: 8365
Quote:
Originally Posted by emm74 View Post
The enthusiasm gap is not a real thing, it's a social media thing.

Trump and Clinton Supporters Lead in Enthusiasm

Yes, there's no denying that Hillary's supporters are older and they aren't glued to their devices 24/7, ready to attack the way Sanders people are the second anything positive is said about Hillary or even vaguely negative about Bernie.

I will concede that Hillary needs to figure out how to attract support from younger voters and Independents. They have been Bernie's margin of victory and why it's not really that likely he will win in the upcoming closed primaries.

But Hillary's margins are strong in other demographics and her supporters are very enthusiastic. That's why she's millions of votes ahead.
I wouldn't say a gallup poll is the best measure of "enthusiasm' hah-it's pretty intangible but noticeable too.

Of course it would help if Hillary actually held massive and free rallies instead of $100,000/plate "dinners'.
 
Old 04-07-2016, 03:18 AM
 
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The Clintons' updated upcoming state visits:
Hillary Clinton : Ohio -> Colorado -> Virginia -> New York -> Florida -> New York -> California -> Connecticut
Bill Clinton : Pennsylvania -> Arkansas -> New York -> District of Columbia -> Massachusetts -> Connecticut -> Pennsylvania
Chelsea Clinton : Texas -> District of Columbia -> New York -> New Jersey -> Pennsylvania
 
Old 04-07-2016, 03:20 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Clinton is still a major favorite. This weekend is the Wyoming Caucus and next weekend the 2nd round in Colorado. I would expect Bernie to easily win the Wyoming Caucus (only 14 delegates are up for grabs) and pick up a few more in Colorado (he was just short of addong several more delegates on Caucus night, so likely adds a few more). This probably puts him back 195 delegats (give or take a couple) heading into NY.

She has a huge advantage and likely wins NY, but if he somehow pulls an upset all bets are off.
Hillary is going to Colorado today to make sure Sanders doesn't grab her more of her earned delegates...
 
Old 04-07-2016, 04:31 AM
 
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New poll

National (PRRI/The Atlantic) : Sanders +1


Hillary Clinton is now in deep trouble going forward. She might even lose California NY and PA big and the 7 caucus states that have voted but will decide their delegates at the State Convention may flock to Sanders.
 
Old 04-07-2016, 06:35 AM
 
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New poll

Maryland (Washington Post/University of Maryland) : Clinton +15
 
Old 04-07-2016, 07:19 PM
 
Location: Chicago
210 posts, read 566,167 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
New poll

Maryland (Washington Post/University of Maryland) : Clinton +15
They mean very little. He was behind by 30 points in Illinois and "lost" by 1.8%... He was behind in Michigan and "won" by a similar amount.
 
Old 04-07-2016, 11:29 PM
 
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Reputation: 1080
New polls

California (Field) : Clinton +6
New York (Emerson College) : Clinton +18

Quote:
Originally Posted by Slam4444 View Post
They mean very little. He was behind by 30 points in Illinois and "lost" by 1.8%... He was behind in Michigan and "won" by a similar amount.
What you said have been addressed many many times in previous posts
 
Old 04-07-2016, 11:44 PM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,979,507 times
Reputation: 1080
The Clintons' updated upcoming state visits:
Hillary Clinton : New York -> Maryland -> Virginia -> New York -> Florida -> New York -> California -> New York -> Connecticut
Bill Clinton : Pennsylvania -> Arkansas -> New York -> District of Columbia -> Massachusetts -> Connecticut -> Pennsylvania
Chelsea Clinton : District of Columbia -> New York -> New Jersey -> Pennsylvania -> New York -> Connecticut -> Pennsylvania
 
Old 04-08-2016, 11:29 AM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,979,507 times
Reputation: 1080
It seems like Sanders has flipped the delegates again in Missouri
https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForP...confirmed_yet/

I think that's really bad that voters' will are not reflected and Sanders campaign can just do whatever they want

If Hillary doesn't do something she WILL lose the nomination because many other states will keep flipping the delegates in sanders favour.

And then if the superdelegates continue to vote for Hillary, sanders supporters will make a big deal about it.
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