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02/25/2016 Updates:
- Oregon is removed due to insufficient recent polling.
- Several TX polls just came out and show Hillary leading by huge margin, so it's moved to solid for Clinton.
- New Ohio poll shows Sanders +1, so it moves from likely to leaning for Clinton.
- New PA poll shows the state still being solid for Clinton [+21].
Likely for Clinton: California, Connecticut, Idaho, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia
Solid for Clinton: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas
Not enough data for the remaining 14 states and D.C.
Quinnipiac released a poll Wednesday that showed various hypothetical general-election matchups in Ohio.
Clinton lost every one. She trailed GOP frontrunner Donald Trump by two points. Meanwhile, she fell 3 points behind Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, 5 points behind Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, and 19 points back of John Kasich, the Ohio governor.
No candidate has won the presidency without carrying Ohio since John F. Kennedy did in 1960. That's a streak of 13 consecutive elections.
Well, so much for those precious Supreme Court nominations. Guess the court is heading towards the conservative route thanks to DWS backing of Hillary.
Well, so much for those precious Supreme Court nominations. Guess the court is heading towards the conservative route thanks to DWS backing of Hillary.
Funny how these polls are all wrong . . . until Mr. Trump is shown to lead Hillary. Then it's all legit.
A small detail: the margin of error exceeds Mr. Trump's lead.
Funny how these polls are all wrong . . . until Mr. Trump is shown to lead Hillary. Then it's all legit.
A small detail: the margin of error exceeds Mr. Trump's lead.
Mick
I live in a very Democratic area of Ohio.. Youngstown..
I have yet to see one Clinton sign up.. I know its early etc, but I see Trump and Sanders signs.. Sanders usually hand drawn using crayons, but thats a different topic..
Actually any poll, for an election that is to take place 8 months from now, is mostly meaningless.
Well that's good that these are for primaries, coming up in the next few weeks then. Maybe people will stop doing all of the (IMO) silly head to head contests for candidates who haven't even been nominated because I agree they are pretty meaningless.
In actuality, I think all polls are something for discussion purposes, and perhaps an idea of trends, but obviously nothing counts or they wouldn't bother holding the actual primary elections and caucuses of course.
Well that's good that these are for primaries, coming up in the next few weeks then. Maybe people will stop doing all of the (IMO) silly head to head contests for candidates who haven't even been nominated because I agree they are pretty meaningless.
In actuality, I think all polls are something for discussion purposes, and perhaps an idea of trends, but obviously nothing counts or they wouldn't bother holding the actual primary elections and caucuses of course.
Let's talk about primary polls
Sanders is really closing in nationally
But Hillary still maintains great lead (1x to 2x%) in most big states and other states in the south
My guess is Sanders is leading in even bigger margins in small states in Midwest, west coast, and in New England
It seems the states will vote very differently this time
Ok it's a poll and it's supposed to mean everything?
In 2008, Hillary won by 10% when she ran against Obama
Obama then went on to carry Ohio in both elections
I don't see how this poll means Hillary will lose Ohio
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Ohio poll shows Clinton losing general election in any scenario
