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Old 02-20-2016, 08:30 PM
 
14,221 posts, read 6,972,657 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biscuitmom View Post
As if Bernie could win the nomination much less the general without the 45+ and the AA vote..
Cute, calling people 45+ "elderly".
The 65+ Democrats and the AA voters overwhelmingly support the Democratic nominee.

Her support among 45 year olds is nothing special. It was roughly split in Nevada (40-49 year olds were split), while 30-39 year olds went 67-29 for Sanders. If this doesnt tell us the power of internet vs corporate media its hard to know what will. The generation split among voters is absolutely massive.

 
Old 02-21-2016, 12:31 AM
 
1,438 posts, read 780,544 times
Reputation: 1732
Can someone confirm if it's true that Bernie won Hispanics by a 10% margin in Nevada? Because if that's true that could be a real game changer. No one expected that.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 06:30 AM
 
13,697 posts, read 9,024,338 times
Reputation: 10424
Is it true that only some 12,000 Democrats voted in Nevada yesterday? I saw the vote totals on CNN and elsewhere, and it seems like an awfully small number.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:11 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,091 posts, read 51,283,353 times
Reputation: 28336
Quote:
Originally Posted by GABESTA535 View Post
Can someone confirm if it's true that Bernie won Hispanics by a 10% margin in Nevada? Because if that's true that could be a real game changer. No one expected that.
I saw 8% but it gets an asterisk. They were also overwhelmingly very young. The Hispanic specific issues like immigration don't matter much as Sanders and Clinton are on the same page with amnesty for all. So the young hispanics voted for free stuff just like the other young people.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:18 AM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,235,015 times
Reputation: 38267
Quote:
Originally Posted by GABESTA535 View Post
Can someone confirm if it's true that Bernie won Hispanics by a 10% margin in Nevada? Because if that's true that could be a real game changer. No one expected that.
Since she won by large margins in majority Latino areas, it seems more likely that the entrance polls were incorrect.

The entrance polls said Nevada

Quote:
Originally Posted by legalsea View Post
Is it true that only some 12,000 Democrats voted in Nevada yesterday? I saw the vote totals on CNN and elsewhere, and it seems like an awfully small number.
No, since this was a caucus rather than a primary, the numbers being shown are state delegates, not individual votes.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:23 AM
 
Location: DFW
40,955 posts, read 49,242,733 times
Reputation: 55010
A large part of Bernies supporters will not vote for Hillary whom they don't like or trust.

They will either stay home or vote for Trump. Hillary's likability still remains a huge factor.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:29 AM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,235,015 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rakin View Post
A large part of Bernies supporters will not vote for Hillary whom they don't like or trust.

They will either stay home or vote for Trump. Hillary's likability still remains a huge factor.
And thanks to the behavior of some of his supporters, I know die hard Democrats who are considering staying home in November if he somehow finds a way to the nomination. They think his platform is unrealistic but it's the vitriol and misogyny that continues to go unchecked that make them question how they can vote for a candidate whose campaign doesn't do more to stop it.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:30 AM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,977,970 times
Reputation: 1080
Quote:
Originally Posted by emm74 View Post
Since she won by large margins in majority Latino areas, it seems more likely that the entrance polls were incorrect.

The entrance polls said Nevada



No, since this was a caucus rather than a primary, the numbers being shown are state delegates, not individual votes.

Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips
Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips

Looks like sanders is still gaining momentum
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:39 AM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,235,015 times
Reputation: 38267
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips
Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips

Looks like sanders is still gaining momentum
Poll taken prior to NV win, and what will very likely be very strong wins by Hillary in SC and in the large majority of states on Super Tuesday. I don't think this poll says anything about Sanders's momentum that just got stopped in its tracks.
 
Old 02-21-2016, 07:42 AM
 
Location: DFW
40,955 posts, read 49,242,733 times
Reputation: 55010
Quote:
Originally Posted by emm74 View Post
And thanks to the behavior of some of his supporters, I know die hard Democrats who are considering staying home in November if he somehow finds a way to the nomination. They think his platform is unrealistic but it's the vitriol and misogyny that continues to go unchecked that make them question how they can vote for a candidate whose campaign doesn't do more to stop it.
And this hurts the Democrat Nominee when the other side decides not to vote. Obama got elected by bringing out all sides to vote. These 2 nominees are causing the other side to not vote. It may change over the next few months but does not look good for Dems.

If Trump is the R nominee, many may switch over and lead him to a landslide victory. I do believe he could carry many D states like NY.

Trump carrying NY has to really worry the D Party leaders.
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