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View Poll Results: Which State will see the highest snow total?
1. Iowa 0 0%
2. Missouri 0 0%
3. Arkansas 0 0%
4. Louisiana 0 0%
5. Wisconsin 0 0%
6. Illinois 0 0%
7. Michigan 1 3.13%
8. Indiana 0 0%
9. Ohio 2 6.25%
10. Kentucky 1 3.13%
11. Tennessee 0 0%
12. Mississippi 0 0%
13. Alabama 0 0%
14. Georgia 1 3.13%
15. New York 6 18.75%
16. Pennsylvania 7 21.88%
17. West Virginia 1 3.13%
18. Vermont 2 6.25%
19. New Hampshire 2 6.25%
20. Massachusetts 3 9.38%
21. Connecticut 0 0%
22. New Jersey 1 3.13%
23. Virginia 0 0%
24. North Carolina 4 12.50%
25. South Carolina 1 3.13%
Voters: 32. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-16-2022, 11:22 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
Reputation: 16619

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Raining here with strong winds now

Quote:
Originally Posted by BullochResident View Post
Drizzling out now. Looks like some of that moisture from the core of that low made it down to where I am (NWS was saying it'd stay north). It's all liquid, though. Temps at the surface are around 41 F.
Interesting. Saw some spots NW of you that had snow falling. Precip must of not been hard enough over you to cause the column to cool down more.

Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
4.8" as of 11pm. Had a bit of sleet, getting past the dry slot now, waiting on the deformation band
Good luck. Lastest snow measurement at 1 AM was 4.6 inches in the last hour at the Buffalo Airport! Intense rates!
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Old 01-17-2022, 12:01 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
Reputation: 16619
Thunderstorm Warning NJ coast.

Raining moderately at CT coast while still snowing inland.

Intense snowfall rates under the pink returns. Getting hanmered in NY and PA under it. Buffalo & Binghamton area already have 6" +

Upper Low now over Virginia sending strong wind gusts to the coastline NE of it.

My pressure is down to 1004mb and my knees are aching

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Old 01-17-2022, 12:03 AM
 
Location: Staten Island, NY
2,450 posts, read 972,524 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Thunderstorm Warning NJ coast.

Raining moderately at CT coast while still snowing inland.

Intense snowfall rates under the pink returns. Getting hanmered in NY and PA under it. Buffalo & Binghamton area already have 6" +

Upper Low now over Virginia sending strong wind gusts to the coastline NE of it.

My pressure is down to 1004mb and my knees are aching
I LOVE THUNDERSTORMS! I hope it makes it way to Staten Island. Right now we are seeing sheets of rain, steady winds and extended gusts.
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Old 01-17-2022, 02:19 AM
 
Location: Southern New Hampshire
10,048 posts, read 18,066,509 times
Reputation: 35846
Quote:
Originally Posted by Veritas Vincit View Post
I was just outside and man conditions are pretty nasty. Snow blown right at you by the wind with the wind chill down into the teens. I started to lose feeling in my gloveless camera hand within about 5 minutes.
Had to smile at that -- here in SW New Hampshire (just outside of Keene), the night before last (Saturday night into Sunday) we had wind chills around NEGATIVE 30. The actual temps were also in the negative numbers -- the lowest I saw was negative 10 and that was very early Sunday morning (maybe 3 or 4 a.m. -- can't remember exactly).

Seriously, I hope you are safe and warm and stay that way!

It's just past 4 a.m. here and I'm up for the day -- I keep looking out the window but we still have NOTHING, not one snowflake coming down. It's supposed to start soon (well, actually it should have already started, according to weather.com) and last until noon. Temps by then are supposed to be in the 40s with rain in the afternoon.

UPDATE: Literally a few minutes ago, the report said 5-8" of snow for today ... but as of NOW, 4:15 a.m., it says "periods of rain and snow this morning" and doesn't give ANY snow accumulation at all! Instead it now says "chance of rain 100%." I know that forecasts are subject to change, of course, but mine has changed drastically every few hours (at one point a day or two ago, it was saying 5-8" of snow Sunday night plus 3-5" more on Monday -- now there is none of that).

Maybe I won't have to get my snow blower out at all today!

=====

ETA: well, SOMETHING finally started coming down (it's now about 5:45 a.m.) -- it looks like a mix of snow and ice, UGH. I don't mind snow but ice scares the crap out of me. Hopefully once we get to 40 degrees this afternoon and it's all rain, all the ice will melt away ...

Last edited by karen_in_nh_2012; 01-17-2022 at 03:43 AM.. Reason: update the weather in my neck of the woods!
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Old 01-17-2022, 05:57 AM
 
821 posts, read 760,584 times
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Just want to say the GFS nailed snow placement ahead of time. The GFS run on 18z on January 11th had the axis of heaviest snow move to Western New York, where it stayed and didn't really budge all that much.

When I saw the forecast make that trend last Tuesday, I thought well it's way to early to be correct so the heaviest snow will end up over Detroit or Albany.
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Old 01-17-2022, 06:04 AM
 
Location: Centre Wellington, ON
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I'd say we have about a foot here just looking at my yard and it looks like we're still supposed to get a fair bit more, so I'm pretty happy. I mean I definitely won't be mad if my KY/PA prediction turns out wrong and Ontario ends up winning.
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Old 01-17-2022, 07:07 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,513 posts, read 75,277,900 times
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Great Posts guys. Gonna be fun when we look back in the future.


Snow totals so far, not including what fell after midnight in the Northeast... I'll get more detailed and closer when the event is over.


I see 12"+ in Iowa, Arkansas, NC, Ohio and NY. Looks like NY or Ohio might win this poll though still snowing there.



Source:


Storm is currently right there over PA. 982mb Storm. Remember models had this storm off the coast 5 days ago? then they shifted west big time when they flew hurricane hunters out to the Pacific to get more data.




Source:

Reason the storm is over PA and not the coast is because of this Upper Low. It dragged the storm inland past 12hrs. Upper Lows can do that. Basically a Vortex at 25,000+ feet. A cold pool of air. A slow moving system.


Models had a hard time in the beginning figuring out where this Upper Low exactly was going to go. They started figuring it out about 3-4 days before this event

Had it been East by 250 miles I would of had a foot of snow instead of 1" of snow and 1.30" of rain.

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Old 01-17-2022, 07:37 AM
 
Location: Southern West Virginia
763 posts, read 379,440 times
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This storm ended up being a disappointment for me. We started off with a forecast of 8-12, then it kept getting downgraded until we got to a forecast of 4-6 inches.

I ended up with 4.1 inches with a liquid equivalent of 0.66. Sleet mixing in during the afternoon really killed the snowfall totals.

It was very windy this morning here, probably gusts of 35 to 40 mph. It’s still snowing, and we might pick up another inch today.
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Old 01-17-2022, 08:14 AM
 
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
5,730 posts, read 3,510,184 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by memph View Post
I'd say we have about a foot here just looking at my yard and it looks like we're still supposed to get a fair bit more, so I'm pretty happy. I mean I definitely won't be mad if my KY/PA prediction turns out wrong and Ontario ends up winning.
Ontario deserves to win. Blizzard warning in effect for the GTA including downtown Toronto!!! I don't remember ever seeing a blizzard warning for Toronto before.


Source: https://twitter.com/kellysonnenburg/...722243589?s=20
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Old 01-17-2022, 08:18 AM
 
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada
5,730 posts, read 3,510,184 times
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Downtown Toronto. For those Americans in the house, that's 14 inches and counting.


Source: https://twitter.com/StormhunterTWN/s...751786498?s=20
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