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Old 01-15-2018, 10:47 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,694 posts, read 76,083,066 times
Reputation: 16713

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ischyros View Post
In other news, we've been having "frost quakes" here! It was very prevalent Saturday night into Sunday morning. I heard several at the house, almost sounded like part of the eaves of the house had fallen off in the weight of the ice. I'm sure I've heard them before but yesterday was the first I remember reading about them.

Don't think I've experienced Frost Quakes but we are experiencing Road buckling due to the cold...again. 2015 was nuts. Some roads felt like a rollercoaster. lol Hope you can get some snow for 2nd half of winter!

Quote:
Originally Posted by speagles84 View Post
Dropped to 4 last night. Cold morning again, but hey a day of skiing is always better than being at the office! 2-4" of new snow expected tonight

The cold today caught me by surprise. Bridgeport at the coast has 17 days dropping below 20°F. That's most since 1996 for Dec 1 - Jan 15 period. It's felt different I must say.

Quote:
Originally Posted by comm08 View Post
Yet the signs (MJO specifically) do seem to indicate an above average east for the majority of the following two weeks after this week.

I haven't even looked at the tellies much lately but I agree with the MJO on above normal period coming.



Quote:
Originally Posted by antinimby View Post
Weather sites like NWS shows Boston getting snow this morning but when you look at the radar, nothing shows up!
Happens.. Either the flakes are just too light and isolated to be picked up or its falling from a level below the radar beam.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31 View Post
Winter weather advisory issued for Houston, and winter storm warning for San Antonio & Austin.

Been watching. Interesting to see. Isn't this like the 3rd time the south got a winter alert this season?


Current Alerts.


Winter Storm Warning in:
Arkansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Texas & Wisconsin


Winter Storm Watch
Alabama, Indiana, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, & Vermont


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Old 01-15-2018, 10:53 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,694 posts, read 76,083,066 times
Reputation: 16713
Interesting discussion from NWS Minneapolis and a map to show it. Reason why the Arctic Air is leaving is...........

Quote:
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1121 AM CST Mon Jan 15 2018


Main theme for the extended is the expected pattern shift this
week that will have two impacts. One, the arctic air is out of
here after Tuesday. The other is a longwave weather pattern will
be in place by next weekend that will leave the door open for more
active weather locally.

The reason our arctic air will get out of here so quickly is tied to
the energy we are seeing this morning out over the north Pacific.
The broad trough out there will continue to work toward western
North America over the next couple of days, which will finally break
down the western ridge. The western ridge that has been the source
of our northwest flow and arctic air. As the ridge breaks down, we
will see it flatten out and slide east. This will result in the
compressional warming of an airmass that will be heading our way
from the Canadian Rockies.

For Wednesday thru Saturday, our highs
and lows could be as much 5 degrees warmer than what we currently
have. The ECMWF continues to be the warmest guidance these days, and
the last time we got into a Pacific airmass back between the 7th and
11th, it was the ECMWF that performed best in that pattern. The one
difference tough between then and now is back on the 7th-11th, we
had a rather beige snowpack that had lots of bare ground showing

Thanks to yesterdays clipper, we have a more complete snowpack in
place, so kept the more tempered SuperBlend numbers in place. Still,
on Friday, as a cold front moves into MN, we could very well see
lots of 40s show up from west central into south central MN.



Current Upper Level Heights..


There's the dipping Jet stream over the Pacific which will move east into Western U.S/Canada and that will flatten the current ridge in place and move that east. Hence the warmup coming later this week for Eastern U.S.


That Upper Level Low over Great Lakes will just dwindle out. I don't think the Northeast had any Upper Lows over the area this winter. Just troughs.

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Old 01-15-2018, 11:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,694 posts, read 76,083,066 times
Reputation: 16713
8am-12pm Radar loop with snowfall total reports. I see 2.5" of snow fell near Boston this morning. 2-3" across Indiana and other states. Even down to MO/AR border.


Those icons over South Dakota are reports of Extreme Wind Chill Values (-30°F & colder)


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Old 01-15-2018, 11:58 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
12,059 posts, read 13,977,637 times
Reputation: 7262
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Interesting discussion from NWS Minneapolis and a map to show it. Reason why the Arctic Air is leaving is...........






Current Upper Level Heights..


There's the dipping Jet stream over the Pacific which will move east into Western U.S/Canada and that will flatten the current ridge in place and move that east. Hence the warmup coming later this week for Eastern U.S.


That Upper Level Low over Great Lakes will just dwindle out. I don't think the Northeast had any Upper Lows over the area this winter. Just troughs.

There's a nice regular omega pattern there.
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Old 01-15-2018, 04:21 PM
 
Location: Seattle area
9,182 posts, read 12,198,146 times
Reputation: 6406
14C mostly sunny again today. Luckily it's a holiday also.
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Old 01-15-2018, 05:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,694 posts, read 76,083,066 times
Reputation: 16713
Quote:
Originally Posted by Botev1912 View Post
14C mostly sunny again today. Luckily it's a holiday also.
Guess its your turn coming up now. Wonder if we're done here with the below normal temps after this week. Doubt it, but I dont see it being consistent anymore. Maybe up and down in Feb.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/953042828954865670
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Old 01-15-2018, 05:14 PM
 
Location: Vancouver, BC
769 posts, read 482,569 times
Reputation: 184
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Guess its your turn coming up now. Wonder if we're done here with the below normal temps after this week. Doubt it, but I dont see it being consistent anymore. Maybe up and down in Feb.

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/953042828954865670
Just cool and rainy. Nothing mind blowing.
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Old 01-15-2018, 05:22 PM
 
Location: 30461
2,509 posts, read 1,865,205 times
Reputation: 728
Downtown Houston is now under a Winter Storm Warning. If tomorrow's forecast pans out, this would be the second time they've seen snow this winter. Cold epoch Anthony is probably punching a wall right about now!
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Old 01-15-2018, 05:31 PM
 
Location: Seattle area
9,182 posts, read 12,198,146 times
Reputation: 6406
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Guess its your turn coming up now. Wonder if we're done here with the below normal temps after this week. Doubt it, but I dont see it being consistent anymore. Maybe up and down in Feb.
Yep, cool and rainy next several days at least.
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Old 01-15-2018, 05:40 PM
 
Location: Seattle area
9,182 posts, read 12,198,146 times
Reputation: 6406
I just realized today tied the all-time high for January 64F (18C).

https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/statu...63571293814784
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