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But the pressure is lower than many major hurricanes. Perhaps the gradient isn't strong enough, or not enough rotation to cause a storm surge?
A storm this size definitely has rotation and should have a tight gradient but Looking at the position, it looks to be too far for the coasts to get big surges. But I see it tracked pretty close to northern UK so probably some in that area.
Track is going in between Iceland and Norway. Tightest gradient near the center as usual and strongest winds are on the left side with sustained of 40-50kts. I don't think any recon planes are flying into this so we may never know what the strongest wind gust is inside there.
Update on January Pattern
December 24, 2013; 10:26 AM
Before I get to my weekly ECMWF model interpretation, signs are strong that the first half of next week will be very cold from the eastern Prairie region through eastern Canada as a large trough sets up and allows Arctic air to sweep into the region. Along with the Arctic air will likely come another outbreak of lake-effect snow.
Farther east, it will also be turning colder over Atlantic Canada, but there will also be the potential for some coastal storminess from Nova Scotia to Newfoundland.
Currently, I do not see any signs of prolonged cold in far western Canada over the next few weeks. However, the Pacific storm track should start to gradually shift a little farther south as we go through January and bring back some moisture into at least central BC.
Btw.... Christmas Eve 30 years ago, we had a high of -11F/-24C, a low of -25F/-32C with windchills of -82F/-63C in Chicago
We had 12 days at or below 0F/-18C that December.... So far this December we have had 4 days with temps at or below 0F/-18C officially in Chicago. Based on the current forecast, I think we will get another 3 such days before the month is out.
Last edited by chicagogeorge; 12-24-2013 at 03:22 PM..
We're all going to die.. again. Here's just one of the many possibilities offered by GFS - all ensembles agree that the track of the low will be over Scotland, with the strongest winds across the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland and Northern England.
Heavy snow squall in New Rochelle, NY by the water coated everything within 10 minutes at 7pm, then I drove through a VERY heavy squall on I-95 in Norwalk, CT at 8:15pm with reduced visibilities.. Came home to 1/2" of snow everywhere and very slippery roads.
Merry Christmas all. We got a white Christmas here.
This was I95.
radar at the time
My Deck. I put Santa out there for good luck. :-)
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