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Too bad those that find flaws with him don't do the same for NOAAs forecasts.
JB is a bit cold biased, but I find his overall forecasts to be better than anyone at accuweather, and weather channel.... NOAA is completely warm biased almost to the point of being laughable. Anytime NOAA puts out a "equal chances" forecast, that basically means expect colder than average.
This was his November forecast compared to CSv2
And what November actually ended up
JB wasn't as cold for November as it actually turned out to be. CSv2 started out a blow torch, but began turning it around by the end of October.
I hate watching his forecasts but that's not bad. Too warm over southwest and too cold over southeast and parts of Mid atlantic. Nice call by him. Hard to forecast an entire country like that and be mostly right with the overall theme. Why people expect every detail to be right is beyond me.. With another week left in December I wonder if the anomalies will change in those areas he was wrong.
Thanks for comparing the actual data to the forecast rather than nitpic and claim its because of being bias. Nice to see homework being done. Too bad those that find flaws with him don't do the same for NOAAs forecasts.
You are all just cold lovers and think this guy is a genius. He isn't. He has gotten numerous forecasts wrong.
I'm curious why both of you seem so focused on the cold taking place in the US, and yet ignore all the warmth over the rest of the globe?
I hate watching his forecasts but that's not bad. Too warm over southwest and too cold over southeast and parts of Mid atlantic. Nice call by him. Hard to forecast an entire country like that and be mostly right with the overall theme. Why people expect every detail to be right is beyond me.. With another week left in December I wonder if the anomalies will change in those areas he was wrong.
Especially when you look at just one spot (Philly) as opposed to the overall pattern. He got the basic idea right with that forecast, which is more than what most forecasts usually do. I would also contend that predicting the continental pattern should count for more than being exactly right in one place with the temperature departure.
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Thanks for comparing the actual data to the forecast rather than nitpic and claim its because of being bias. Nice to see homework being done. Too bad those that find flaws with him don't do the same for NOAAs forecasts.
If you want bias towards never forecasting any cold anomalies outside the Pacific Northwest look no further than NOAA .
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Originally Posted by tom77falcons
I'm curious why both of you seem so focused on the cold taking place in the US, and yet ignore all the warmth over the rest of the globe?
Perhaps because they're Americans and they always work on mostly American weather, especially when there's weather of interest in America? Continue to bask in your "after a week or two there will be no more winter weather or cold anywhere" bubble that you seem to be stuck in most of the year. Perhaps your warm bias will be accurate during some future season.
Need to keep an eye out for ice along I 84. I will be leaving from Lowell MA to CNJ at 2 PM. Thankfully, there is no ice in forecast as of today. Let's see how things work out as time progresses.
and think this guy is a genius. He isn't. He has gotten numerous forecasts wrong.
I never claimed he is a "genius", just that his forecasts are usually pretty good. Of course he gets numerous forecast wrong.
How are accuweather's forecasts since he left?
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I'm curious why both of you seem so focused on the cold taking place in the US,
I live here.
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and yet ignore all the warmth over the rest of the globe?
So I should be more focused on the abnormally warm weather in Siberia? What about the abnormally cold weather in Brazil or Africa for the first couple of weeks in December?
Three models and three remarkably similar solutions for mid-week this week. The Wednesday into Thursday period is looking snowy from this distance, but much to monitor.
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Continue to bask in your "after a week or two there will be no more winter weather or cold anywhere" bubble that you seem to be stuck in most of the year. Perhaps your warm bias will be accurate during some future season.
