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Old 03-16-2016, 11:33 AM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,984,120 times
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Last night proved my point that polls conducted after the Michigan primary were clearly quite accurate.

Ohio
In fact the latest Ohio polls overestimated the size for young and independent voters which gave Clinton narrower margins. Looks like Sanders couldn't drive big turnouts and most of the young and independent votes in the GOP side which had Huge turnout.

Illinois
Polls conducted after Michigan primary showed deadheat whereas they showed Hillary leading by 30 points before

North Carolina
Sanders really spent heavily there and did about 9 points on average better than the polls suggest.

 
Old 03-17-2016, 07:08 PM
 
8,081 posts, read 6,986,977 times
Reputation: 7983
Sanders is really targeting Arizona, he held a large rally in Downtown Phoenix, then Downtown Tucson and now onto rural Arizona Navajo Nation.

It's rare a presidential candidate goes to Navajo Nation, I hope that this all helps him, I'd be very proud of AZ not having Clinton win.
 
Old 03-17-2016, 07:30 PM
 
14,221 posts, read 6,991,148 times
Reputation: 6059
Native American counties in other states have heavily favored Sanders over Clinton so it does make sense IMO.
 
Old 03-17-2016, 09:47 PM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,984,120 times
Reputation: 1080
New poll

New York (Emerson College) : Clinton +48

Not sure how Sanders can win New York. Hillary has huge presence there and will campaign there rigorously. Add to that, it's a closed primary.
 
Old 03-17-2016, 09:51 PM
 
14,221 posts, read 6,991,148 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
New poll

New York (Emerson College) : Clinton +48

Not sure how Sanders can win New York. Hillary has huge presence there and will campaign there rigorously. Add to that, it's a closed primary.
The same was said about her home state Illinois where she was 30 points ahead in polls a week before the primary. That lead was basically erased completely.
 
Old 03-17-2016, 09:55 PM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,561,329 times
Reputation: 18618
Quote:
Originally Posted by JGMotorsport64 View Post
Sanders is really targeting Arizona,
He'll pick up a few AZ delegates but not enough to help close the gap. Not only is HRC polling double-digits ahead there but AZ is a closed primary state. Bernie voters will have to register Democrat to vote.
 
Old 03-17-2016, 10:10 PM
 
Location: Philadelphia
11,998 posts, read 12,969,900 times
Reputation: 8365
Quote:
Originally Posted by biscuitmom View Post
Bernie voters will have to register Democrat to vote.
That's quite a false assumption that no Democrat voters support Bernie. Besides, it's quite easy to change your party affiliation-it can be done online now.

I am truly an Independent but switched to Republican in 2012 for the first time ever to vote for Ron Paul in the primaries-then back to Independent-now back to Democrat to vote for Bernie in Pennsylvania's closed primary. And of course I will go back to Independent right after.
 
Old 03-17-2016, 10:21 PM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,561,329 times
Reputation: 18618
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2e1m5a View Post
That's quite a false assumption that no Democrat voters support Bernie. Besides, it's quite easy to change your party affiliation-it can be done online now.
Silly child, I didn't say "no Democrat voters support Bernie", that came from your Bernie-fevered imagination.
Yes, it's easy enough to register as a Democrat in AZ, time will tell how many Bernie voters do so..
 
Old 03-17-2016, 10:57 PM
 
Location: Philadelphia
11,998 posts, read 12,969,900 times
Reputation: 8365
Quote:
Originally Posted by biscuitmom View Post
Silly child, I didn't say "no Democrat voters support Bernie", that came from your Bernie-fevered imagination.
Yes, it's easy enough to register as a Democrat in AZ, time will tell how many Bernie voters do so..
LOL @ "silly child". Your intended insults are what's childish.
What's the point of that statement then? Hillary voters will HAVE to register Democrat to vote too.


 
Old 03-17-2016, 11:12 PM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,561,329 times
Reputation: 18618
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2e1m5a View Post
LOL @ "silly child". Your intended insults are what's childish.
What's the point of that statement then? Hillary voters will HAVE to register Democrat to vote too.
~smile~ No matter how you try to spin it, Hillary voters, unlike Bernie voters, are long-registered loyal Democrats.
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