[wavehunter007]

Just to keep the hype to respectable levels (as I caught News Channel 8 this morning saying things like “two systems might merge and there will be a big snow on the way)...I don’t think so:

Most of this week will be mild in the Tri-State area – sunshine and temps near 40 F. By Friday morning, a strong trough will be forming over the eastern half of the country. The southern system will fly off the coast of North Carolina and head far out so sea well south of the Tri-State area I think. As the low passes east of MA, it might get captured by the approaching upper-level vortex, hooking the storm into Maine. So maybe northern New England might get a real snow storm. The second system, moisture starved and weak...will move through the Great Lakes and then into Western NY and into Canada. A weak low might try to get it together...but any snow amounts will be pretty light.

The air mass that follows these systems will come down into the central and eastern USA. Though temps will be a bit below normal accross the whole eastern USA...they will not be nearly as cold as the bitter air masses that hit the eastern USA in December. So unlike previous arctic outbreaks, the threat to the citrus groves in Florida will be small.Early next week looks sunny and dry with seasonable temps. One other note...as of today...it looks like the warm temps this past weekend and the rain did the fleeting snow cover in on the East Coast: there is no snow cover at all from southern Connecticut southward. Meanwhile the West is covered with snow:

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by KH02

Thanks for the opinion. I sure hope you are right about the weekend!!!

Originally Posted by rajmelk

Hope you're right...despite all the headlines, it has hardly felt like winter around central CT so far!

Snowlovers in here now...cool. lol This model shows what Im thinking about the narrow band of heaviest snows...And because its narrow the cities will change with each update up until the very day before...Here's the consensus now... I zoomed in so you can see the counties better.

Light blue is .75 liquid so because temps wil be near 33 the snow ratios will be near 8:1 which means 6 inches for light blue areas. Looks like I'm getting 3-4 inches according to this. Im Right at border. lol

[Lowerdeck]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Lets keep an eye on this weekends allthough because it's coming from Great Lakes I dont see it carrying moisture or strengthening in time for us...Maybe RI or Maine but not CT

I live roughly three miles down the road from the RI border, if that means anything.

[kidyankee764]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

One other note...as of today...it looks like the warm temps this past weekend and the rain did the fleeting snow cover in on the East Coast: there is no snow cover at all from southern Connecticut southward.

I was in Stamford today near the water and there was still 3-4" of snow cover, right up to the sand on the beach.

[KH02]

6 inches?? I'm gunna hope for a dusting and that's all.
Gosh I hope they are still having planes fly out this weekend.....

[wavehunter007]

Originally Posted by kidyankee764

I was in Stamford today near the water and there was still 3-4" of snow cover, right up to the sand on the beach.

That sounds about right.

Southwestern Connecticut got the most snow when the storm came through on the 26/27...so I would think the it would be the last to melt. Around here (southeast Connecticut ) the ground is about 99% bare (just a few pathes in parking lots where plows piled it up/mixed with sand). From what I can tell most of Long Island has lost all of it's snow cover east of the city.

.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

That sounds about right.

Southwestern Connecticut got the most snow when the storm came through on the 26/27...so I would think the it would be the last to melt. Around here (southeast Connecticut ) the ground is about 99% bare (just a few pathes in parking lots where plows piled it up/mixed with sand). From what I can tell most of Long Island has lost all of it's snow cover east of the city.

I still have 2 inches on my lawn, the drifts melted from 20 inches to now 5 inches and I still have 2 foot piles near my driveway!

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by Lowerdeck

I live roughly three miles down the road from the RI border, if that means anything.

Yeap...you might be in jackpot zone for this weekend...by jackpot meaning highest totals. By highest totals I mean close to 6 inches. lol Which is nothing for us now.

Pretty soon we'll be like Minnesota saying 2 feet is nothing. lol

[wavehunter007]

Joe is the most level headed of the winter hype machine at AccuWeather (and he is a Connecticut native). He seems to think the bulk of the significant snow will be north of the Tri-State area (from Boston northward). 52 sec at the video:

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/lundberg/story/43939/weather-extreme.asp (broken link)

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by wavehunter007

Joe is the most level headed of the winter hype machine at AccuWeather (and he is a Connecticut native). He seems to think the bulk of the significant snow will be north of the Tri-State area (from Boston northward). 52 sec at the video:

AccuWeather.com - Joe Lundberg | Weather Extremes Not Letting Up (http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/lundberg/story/43939/weather-extreme.asp - broken link)

Seriously? Level Headed? Meaning what? Do you know what he said about the December Blizzard ? Meanwhile it was known 7 days before!
And what makes a level headed person more accurate with "weather". lol

Anyone talking about weather should Just say it like they see it. Period.

Anyway -

Im thinking Mohegan Sun northward... It all depends where the instability trough sets up. The convergence can be more West. We wont know this until 24hrs out...