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Old 12-12-2013, 09:57 AM
 
431 posts, read 446,792 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by htfdcolt View Post
No worries, a lot of us on this forum do!
If only I could have him on speed dial!

 
Old 12-12-2013, 10:01 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by clutchrider View Post
Latest on TV seems to indicate it is starting earlier on Saturday and then into early Sunday morning. Looks like Saturday will be a stay home day all day, please please please give me 6" or more.
I noticed that too, that precip moves in sooner than has been thought from days ago. So yeah, it should be snowing by lunchtime across entire state. Maybe even by 10am but very light. I agree its a stay at home day.

Quote:
Originally Posted by meg31816 View Post
Cam, what do you see happening for Torrington? I work in Watertown 10-2 Saturday lol, should I be concerned?

Do you get sick of me treating you like my personal weatherman?
I don't mind at all! Keeps me motivated talking about weather and keeps my mind working.

Hope you got your snow tires on. I think the heaviest falls between 2-8pm. Tough details to know. Maybe tonight we'll know a bit better on that.

I think main Roads are fine up to 1-2" of snow, after that slush accumulates and of course if it comes down hard enough then you don't need 3" for roads to be snowy.

Using the last storm for example.. It was coming down normally here in Greenwich with just 1" accumulated and you can see a main road start getting slushy/snowy but definitely driveable. More than 3" makes it tough, more than 5" nobody should be out and let DOT do their thing. Also note... temps wont be 31° like they were here. They'll be in the teens & 20s and that's a big slippery factor with the roads too.





I'll check out the 12z runs in few hours.
 
Old 12-12-2013, 11:48 AM
 
431 posts, read 446,792 times
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Hmm okay...maybe I'll get out there for 10am exactly, get the paperwork done that I need and leave by 12...
 
Old 12-12-2013, 02:48 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Ok, Pretty impressive (and maybe concerning for some) that all 3 main models are saying around 3/4" liquid to fall. If 3/4" liquid falls at BDL than 10 inches is possible.

I know PapaFox would appreciate this post. Here's a look at BDL's sounding. It shows the layers of the atmosphere from surface all the way up. Great to see the temps and moisture content in situations like this.

10am starts snowing.
It snows all day and heavy at times
Snowing in the evening
Snowing at night until notice 4am, there's a nudge of warm air
7am Temps are hovering 31-33° in the layers but by this time there would be 15 hours of accumulations and the storm is pretty much done. Temps drop right after 7am.

Point is... I feel confident interior CT can get over 7 inches of snow if all this comes true.. Coast is tricky but I think 3-5" is possible. Sorry if I got too technical here.

 
Old 12-12-2013, 03:06 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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Wood stove on overdrive. I just looked at my temp and its 22° at 5pm. Whoa

Its in the teens and low 20s across the state except the immediate shoreline in the mid 20s.

That 9° is Union. That's gotta be off

NWS Mesonet Observations

 
Old 12-12-2013, 03:23 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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New GFS just out. Magic I-84 line is something I mentioned yesterday but maybe it's North of Merrit now.. I would stay off the roads north of that line after 1pm. Even to the coast for that matter. Just be home safe & sound and warm. Let DOT do their thing all day. Do your shopping Sunday,.

Here's snow depth from GFS18z for Sunday morning




Don't forget to use this tool from NOAA. Point and click the map for location and see how much snow its projecting. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20130206&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=BDL&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41 .67480623093534&mLON=-72.72572124638259&mTYP=roadmap
 
Old 12-12-2013, 04:02 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
NWS Boston... Read their comment... That's the snow ratios I was talking about. Its lighter and fluffier the more north you go in CT hence the higher totals I was thinking. They are saying rain changeover but don't give times. Accumulations of half foot would of happened by then


"Update...we upped our thoughts of accums. a tad from last tweet because of cold temps in nw areas/fluffy snow. "

https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/411243187462610944

 
Old 12-12-2013, 04:14 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,527 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
6pm updated temps. Danbury at 15°. Last year took to January 2nd to get below 16°.



Edit: Upton says snow cover likely the reason why some locations are at thier forecasted lows already so they updated them. Now imagine the air when Canada and US have a snowpack and we get those northwest winds. We feel the effects easily.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product....&highlight=off

Last edited by Cambium; 12-12-2013 at 04:40 PM..
 
Old 12-12-2013, 05:09 PM
 
Location: Branford
1,395 posts, read 1,511,834 times
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Just took a look at the Wundermap. WunderMap® | Interactive Weather Map and Radar | Weather Underground

Many single digits already in Litchfield County right now.

I am already well below my forecasted low.

Danbury just dropped 3 degrees since 6 pm. Down to 12 currently. I bet they hit single digits tonight.
 
Old 12-12-2013, 06:06 PM
 
Location: Indiana Uplands
26,428 posts, read 46,599,435 times
Reputation: 19573
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Wood stove on overdrive. I just looked at my temp and its 22° at 5pm. Whoa

Its in the teens and low 20s across the state except the immediate shoreline in the mid 20s.

That 9° is Union. That's gotta be off

NWS Mesonet Observations
22F cold at 5PM, eh?
At 6PM yesterday it was 0F when I was out. COLD!!
I think the pattern is favorable for the storms to move in the Northeast with the positive height anomaly nearby in the Southeast and Atlantic. The other key to watch is the positive height anomaly in the Pacific and the one over Europe- which will be fading first. Regardless, the cold for the first half of December so far has been extremely impressive for the western half of the country.
I think the storm will produce well for NH, and they haven't had very much snowfall yet this season.
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