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Old 01-24-2013, 12:55 PM
 
754 posts, read 1,018,155 times
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just the way the patterns are going and these storms keep breaking up.... just a guess but i dont like our chances of significant snow


hope im wrong though

 
Old 01-24-2013, 01:07 PM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,161,435 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
just the way the patterns are going and these storms keep breaking up.... just a guess but i dont like our chances of significant snow


hope im wrong though
well, patterns have a way of changing. I mean the way things were going in December did you ythink we'd see this cold? I didn't. Same can happen with precip and storms. NAO tilts negative...cold air around..can still happen.
 
Old 01-24-2013, 01:27 PM
 
Location: Warren County, NJ
708 posts, read 1,060,223 times
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I was listening to WCBS 880 on the way home and they said 50 on Tuesday.Really?
 
Old 01-24-2013, 01:36 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,888,129 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by exnj1970 View Post
I was listening to WCBS 880 on the way home and they said 50 on Tuesday.Really?
Yes, and rain and the same temp on Wed. So if we get any snow it won't last long....
 
Old 01-24-2013, 02:54 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,888,129 times
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To complement Cambium's OKX graphic for coastal CT, here's the BOX snow graphic for the rest of CT:

 
Old 01-24-2013, 03:38 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
To complement Cambium's OKX graphic for coastal CT, here's the BOX snow graphic for the rest of CT:
Upton raised the total for tomorrow. A whopping 1/2" for some spots. LOL

Latest GFS shows a huge 979mb Rain/Wind storm next week. No further comment. lol
 
Old 01-24-2013, 04:57 PM
 
1,344 posts, read 1,743,517 times
Reputation: 1750
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Upton raised the total for tomorrow. A whopping 1/2" for some spots. LOL

Latest GFS shows a huge 979mb Rain/Wind storm next week. No further comment. lol
Yesss!! 2 thumbs up! Perfect instrument flying weather for me (as long as the FZLVL is 850mb or higher!!)

Where else in the world can I camp outside in temps colder than -20F one week and then fly in ice-free instrument weather with low ceilings and strong winds the next week!!

5 stars for our climate in terms of variety!!!!!
 
Old 01-24-2013, 05:11 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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Wind Chill Advisory for Hartford, Litchfield, Tolland, , Windham. Whoa


318 PM EST THU JAN 24 2013

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...HARTFORD SPRINGFIELD AREA TO NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND
AND METRO BOSTON.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 18 BELOW.


* TIMING...TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HEIGHTENED THREAT OF FROSTBITE OR HYPOTHERMIA FOR
THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO.
 
Old 01-24-2013, 05:37 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
Posting NWS discussion for future reference. Just going over the wind chills and snow for tomorrow. Only .10" liquid but snow ratios are High for this area at 20:1. .10 x 20 = 2" of snow.. Snow to start after rush hour and end after midnight.

------------------

NW WINDS ARE STILL GUSTING TO 30-35 MPH AND PRODUCING WIND CHILL TEMPS
MAINLY FROM 0 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO.

THESE GUSTY WINDS ARE IN RESPONSE TO STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
950 HPA WINDS OF 30-35 KT. THEY ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY DECREASE AS
A LOW LEVEL INVERSION DEVELOPS AND 950 HPA WINDS DECREASE.

MINIMAL CLOUD COVER IS FORECAST TONIGHT AS HIGH PRES MOVES SE
TOWARD THE REGION.

STRONG WINDS WILL KEEP THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE WELL MIXED AND SERVE
AS LIMITING FACTOR ON TEMPERATURES...SO USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET
GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES FOR LOWS. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BOTTOM OUT MAINLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WITH READINGS
AROUND 10 IN THE NYC METRO AND ON LONG ISLAND. WIND CHILLS WILL
FALL TO AROUND 0 ACROSS THE NYC METRO...LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL CT
AND TO AROUND -5 ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WITH SOME ISOLATED SPOTS
REACHING -10.

A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT COVERS THE WIND CHILLS OF AROUND ZERO IN
NYC.


.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WEAK RIDGING SLOWLY SLIDES TO THE EAST BY LATE FRIDAY. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR OVER RUNNING/WARM ADVECTION INDUCED LIGHT SNOW TO
POSSIBLY REACH SW ZONES LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

INCREASING CLOUD COVER WILL SERVE TO LIMIT HIGHS TO THE LOWER TO
MID 20S...CONSISTENT WITH A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE WITH NAM
2-METER TEMPERATURES AND MIXING DOWN FROM 950 HPA...EXCEPT 925 HPA
ACROSS THE INTERIOR. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS TODAY...SO
WIND CHILLS WILL BE ABLE TO REACH THE MID TEENS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

MODELS ARE IN SOLID AGREEMENT WITH THE IDEA OF A 500-700 HPA
SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING...AND SPAWNING A COASTAL
LOW WELL TO THE S OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK FRIDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT
ONLY EXPECT LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA...WITH AMOUNTS
GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.
HOWEVER...GIVEN FORECAST LOWS MAINLY IN THE 10S...WILL HAVE SNOW-
LIQUID RATIOS AROUND 20:1 - SO EXPECT A GENERAL 1-2 INCH SNOWFALL
ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW SHOULD END IN AND WEST OF NYC
BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND ON THE TWIN FORKS BY 3 AM. SINCE THIS IS
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND WITH MOST IF NOT ALL THE SNOW EXPECTED
TO FALL AFTER THE EVENING RUSH...WILL NOT BE ISSUING A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.
 
Old 01-24-2013, 06:42 PM
 
3,435 posts, read 3,945,234 times
Reputation: 1763
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilton2ParkAve View Post
I don't know how many times I can say this, but February is historically our snowiest month. It's also when we are most likely to see 10+" snowfall systems.
Very true, but the snow doesn't stay around as long due to the higher average temperatures. Makes February storms feel different, if that makes sense.
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