[dkv]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Probably brief. It wont dent your ice. Should be thick by weekend. Add extra layer of water on there for adding security during the warmup..

New NAM model out... ZERO INCHES OF SNOW Friday. Just cloudy. We're getting supressed! Cold air pushing storm tracks too far south. Be back tomorrow with update.

Holla!

[Wilton2ParkAve]

Originally Posted by Mike 75

Very true, but the snow doesn't stay around as long due to the higher average temperatures. Makes February storms feel different, if that makes sense.

I don't entirely disagree, but I feel this is more accurate for March storms. February is often also the coldest month.

Average Weather for Hartford, CT - Temperature and Precipitation

Technically Jan is a bit chillier, but Feb is within shooting distance. Not even sure if the difference would register as statistically significant.

[GraniteStater]

The Southeast ridge exerts some influence for a few days next week, but the pattern for temperatures seems a bit colder than average to me. The "phasing" issues with any potential storms continues to be a massive problem with the GFS model, and it has performed exceedingly poorly so far this winter. The European has done a bit better. I like the term Cambium coined: "the mid-range crisis." Don't take anything the GFS predicts after day 3-4 seriously at all for storms/QPF. It has done done nearly as bad for temps, but this latest true arctic surge would have been undoubtedly been far more severe if the snowpack were close to average- particularly central and northern New England. Dewpoint temperatures dropped to -15F in Concord, NH which is a good indicator of an arctic airmass, a rare breed these days.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Wilton2ParkAve

I don't entirely disagree, but I feel this is more accurate for March storms. February is often also the coldest month.

Average Weather for Hartford, CT - Temperature and Precipitation

Technically Jan is a bit chillier, but Feb is within shooting distance. Not even sure if the difference would register as statistically significant.

Believe it or not, for most of the Northeast, the 1921-50 and 1931-60 normals did have February as the coldest month (though this is partially due to a weird anomoly during most of the 1930s where the January's were unusually warm and the Februrary's unusually cold....for example in Central Park 1932 was the warmest January until the 1990s and 1934 was and still is the coldest February (actually the coldest month period....also helping in the 1931-60 numbers is that in the late 40s/early 50s both Jan and Feb were warm most months or at least close to today's levels). In fact, January for those norms in most places was warmer than it is even with the pretty warm 1981-2010 norms of today (again, to use an example, it's 38 and 26 for Central Park vs. 39 and 26 for the 1921-50 and 40 and 27 for the 1931-60......how do I know this? I collect old editions of the World Almanac as a hobby that listed these).

Originally Posted by GraniteStater

The Southeast ridge exerts some influence for a few days next week, but the pattern for temperatures seems a bit colder than average to me. The "phasing" issues with any potential storms continues to be a massive problem with the GFS model, and it has performed exceedingly poorly so far this winter. The European has done a bit better. I like the term Cambium coined: "the mid-range crisis." Don't take anything the GFS predicts after day 3-4 seriously at all for storms/QPF. It has done done nearly as bad for temps, but this latest true arctic surge would have been undoubtedly been far more severe if the snowpack were close to average- particularly central and northern New England. Dewpoint temperatures dropped to -15F in Concord, NH which is a good indicator of an arctic airmass, a rare breed these days.

FWIW both the Weather Channel and Accuweather are predicting a below normal Feb. but another very warm March.

[Cambium]

For those wanting a warm feeling.... Think Nina.

La Nina could re-emerge which means the Sub Tropical Ridge is in play (which has been most of this winter), which means WARM spring likely. Im thinking it starts in March.

Now back to current setup. NWS lowered the snow amounts to just 1/2". LOL! Snow should start after 5pm but again... NO BIG DEAL. Could be an ice storm down south though.

Current temps. Radar quiet.

[7express]

Now the weather channel has changed it from a 20% chance of a snow to a 40% chance of snow. Same amount overall, less, or more now??

[Cambium]

Snow line still in PA. No big deal snow. Just typical winter pretty snow scene. Enough to stick everywhere but light enough to not create a mess on the roads. However they will be slick.

We havent gotten past freezing mark in 5 days now.

Current radar, temps and Satellite

[7express]

I'm planning on meeting someone in Stamford tonight, getting home won't be a problem Cam??

Besides the obvious traffic on 95.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7express

I'm planning on meeting someone in Stamford tonight, getting home won't be a problem Cam??

Besides the obvious traffic on 95.

I cant imagine it be for an inch. But hills and backroads might be slick. I noticed they salted a few roads. The snow that falls won't be the snowball making kind. It will be so feathery that you can sweep it off or use leaf blower.

[papafox]

Hey Camb, are we still looking at a pure rainstorm for next week? If so, what is the track looking like as well as the timing?

Still 980mb?