Fall 2020 weather discussion thread (rainbow, warm, temperatures, Chicago)
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After today temps look mild for at least the next 8 or 9 days with temps reaching 80 degree and dew points in the 60s for at least a couple days according to the GFS but then it also has a few days with temps only in the 40s around October 16th! Maybe it has some storm moving through the Midwest around that time which will tug colder air from Canada as it moves it's way east?? The CFSv2 says overall well above normal from Oct 14th through the 24th so I don't know it's seeing anything cold shot yet at this range or if the pattern will quickly revert to warmth.
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As usual, GFS is in a world of its own beyond day 10.
I wasn't too happy about the cooler than average weather to close out Sept and open October but at this point I'm used to it. It is really good hiking weather and 70 no longer feels too cool when in the sunshine.
So naturally now that I'm ok with just 70 as a high we're finally getting upper 70s and even low 80s on Wednesday.
Then yet again, a late week tropical system dumping rain on us. This is at least the 3rd time in a month I think. Lots of rain Friday and probably Saturday too. At least Sunday should be nice. All I've wanted is one day where I can take the boat out and it's in the upper 70s and sunny. It's either been upper 80s/90s and too warm or it's been 70 and windy. Last time I was out I had to wear a jacket. Looks like Sunday might be my chance at perfect weather. The following weekend tops out at 67. Several degrees below avg
Was around 20C/ 68F today, which is very warm for October at my latitude. Felt more like early May or early-mid September.
We have a few more 16-18C days in the forecast and then after that its gonna cool down to a more seasonal 11-13C.
Also fun fact, last year on October 5th we had quite a severe frost and some snow dusting... so yeah the weather varies a lot year to year.
There is forecast a short burst of a +PNA around the 13th so maybe that's why it's seeing a cold shot in response to PNA? Doesn't like like it will last though
Or maybe it just has no clue.
Sunny and 62F at both Chicago airports at 3PM. Just 61F here, but the warm up begins tomorrow with 70s forecast for the week. Upper 70s away from the lake
Above average- but not full blowtorch, most of the rest of the month is my prediction. Hopefully La Nina doesn't get overly strong and result in another non-winter for the southern 1/2 of the US. Zonal flow equals very little cold air intrusions into the US, even it might be very cold in most of Canada.
Above average- but not full blowtorch, most of the rest of the month is my prediction. Hopefully La Nina doesn't get overly strong and result in another non-winter for the southern 1/2 of the US. Zonal flow equals very little cold air intrusions into the US, even it might be very cold in most of Canada.
I posted this in the La Nina thread.... It's fresh off the new ECMWF long range. Looks like it has a dominant Southeast Ridge torching the entire eastern two thirds. But I'm not losing hope yet. These models always seem to torch the east in the winter but miss the teleconnections of -NAO and -AO
I posted this in the La Nina thread.... It's fresh off the new ECMWF long range. Looks like it has a dominant Southeast Ridge torching the entire eastern two thirds. But I'm not losing hope yet. These models always seem to torch the east in the winter but miss the teleconnections of -NAO and -AO
It's gonna be locked and blocked for 7 months so more so called BOGUS hot temps all fall thru spring and no rain to speak of. All Delta will do is dry my area out even more as it is too far to the west to help my area out. There could be a 1000 hurricanes in a year and i would never get one of them if i even paid a $ million smackers. They just hate FL and always hit the same places over and over.
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Maybe it has some storm moving through the Midwest around that time which will tug colder air from Canada as it moves it's way east?? 
The CFSv2 says overall well above normal from Oct 14th through the 24th so I don't know it's seeing anything cold shot yet at this range or if the pattern will quickly revert to warmth.
