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Didn't get warm as expected today; high was 68F. Stayed mostly overcast. Natchez about 65-70 miles ENE of here reached 80F. I think they had more clearing.
Some heavy rain this evening. Slight severe risk here tomorrow. Enhanced risk over north MS and surrounding areas.
Didn't get warm as expected today; high was 68F. Stayed mostly overcast. Natchez about 65-70 miles ENE of here reached 80F. I think they had more clearing.
Some heavy rain this evening. Slight severe risk here tomorrow. Enhanced risk over north MS and surrounding areas.
Have you been getting a lot of cloudy and rainy days recently given the moisture is rotating around the SER?
Have you been getting a lot of cloudy and rainy days recently given the moisture is rotating around the SER?
Yesterdays Max temps
Yep, not much sun lately. I've had precip each day this week; total of 2.14". The most was 0.83" that I measured this morning.
Looks like we had a sudden warm-up last night between 11 PM and midnight. It went from 64F to 71F within that hour. Warm and quite muggy this morning - 72F and DP of 69F right now. Severe storms possible around the middle of the day.
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR NORTHERN MS...NORTHWESTERN AL...AND SOUTHERN
PARTS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TN...
...SUMMARY... A few strong tornadoes, as well as damaging winds and isolated large
hail, will be possible this afternoon and evening primarily across
parts of Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee.
...MS/AL/TN area today into early tonight...
A surface cyclone across the northern TX Panhandle will translate
quickly northeastward to the mid MS Valley by this evening and the
upper Great Lakes overnight. The cyclone will deepen rapidly in
conjunction with an ejecting midlevel shortwave trough and the
left-exit region of a strengthening (100+ kt) mid-upper jet streak.
The deepening cyclone will draw the moist warm sector northward from
LA/MS/AL this morning to the TN Valley later this afternoon/evening
to the east of a weak cold front/pseudo-dryline, as a 50-60 kt
low-level jet develops within the northern part of the warm sector.
Marginally severe hail could occur with the stronger elevated storms
across the mid MS Valley, but the primary severe threat is expected
farther to the south in the surface warm sector.
Convection will increase in coverage/intensity beginning this
morning across east TX as large-scale ascent encounters the west
edge of the moist sector, and storms will subsequently spread
northeastward to the Ark-La-Miss and Mid South through early
afternoon. Isolated large hail will be the main threat with the
storms this morning. Farther east, surface heating in cloud breaks
will result in destabilization within the open warm sector across MS
by early afternoon. Surface temperatures in the mid-upper 70s with
boundary-layer dewpoints of 68-70 F will support afternoon MLCAPE of
1000-1500 J/kg, with only weak convective inhibition. Semi-discrete
storms are expected within the lingering band of morning convection,
and in the open warm sector, given strong deep-layer shear and
substantial cross-boundary shear vectors. The tornado threat will
be greatest from about 20-03z from central/northern MS into
western/northern AL and southern middle TN. Strong tornadoes will
be possible given 0-1 km/effective SRH of 300-500 m2/s2 and
effective bulk shear near 60 kt in a moist environment. Thereafter,
storms should weaken by 03-06z, though isolated tornado/damaging
wind potential could persist a little longer into northeast
AL/northwest GA where storms will encounter a remnant wedge front.
Talk about an active month! Over 10 storms on the map and I never remember a busy Western U.S like this with the Jet dipping down there. . White Line being drawn in this weekend with a blizzard coming for many
Future radar loop next 36hrs. See it? Blizzard Eastern Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin and into Canada. Minneapolis getting in on it. Eastern Iowa getting screwed.
Powerful storm!
Sub 980mb low when it reaches great lakes. Sending a front across into the East.
Warm surge ahead of it.
Strong Winds because of it.
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