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National Weather Service New York NY
217 PM EST Thu Mar 9 2017
In what has been a mild winter, dominated by an active Pacific jet across the lower 48, the next week will well be more reminiscent of the middle of winter.
A polar vortex over eastern Canada and a building ridge across western North America will allow Arctic air to spill southward from central Canada this weekend, with temperatures 15-20
degrees below average. Snow cover and a gusty NW flow will keep
temperatures in the 20s on Saturday, with only a gradual upward
tick heading into next week. Wind chill values Saturday morning
will be below zero for most locations. Arctic high pressure
settles over the region on Monday.
Attention then shifts to an energy-laced polar jet with Pacific
energy dropping down the front side of the upper ridge across
western Canada and into the Northern Plains early next week,
amplifying the upper trough across the Great Lakes and eastern
Canada. The last 24 hours the global models have all come into better agreement with significant cyclogenesis off the Mid Atlantic coast during the Tuesday into Wednesday time frame.
With a cold surface high in place to the north, any
precipitation would likely be in the form of snow. There are
though differences in the magnitude and timing of the upper
trough, with the models ejecting a series of lows off the Mid
Atlantic coast Sunday through Tuesday. The question will be whether a more consolidated upper trough, and deeper surface low is close enough to the coast to bring a significant snowstorm to the region Tuesday into early Wednesday. Systems thus far this year have been more progressive in nature due to the fast flow and lack of blocking. For the time, have mentioned snow in
the forecast Monday night into early Tuesday. It is much too
early to be specific with the details, but clearly this is
something to be watched.
Hartford Temps next 10 days from GFS. Horizontal orange line is the freezing line obviously. Not much time spent above that. This is Rare guys. Not typical of March. I think only 1978 came close I believe but that was beginning of the month, NOT MID MARCH. I haven't dug into that stat much. Actually just found 1993 did mid March.
It's gonna be even colder than your typical January here in The Greatest City in the World why cant we get this forecast in the end of December? Why this **** gotta happen in spring?
It's gonna be even colder than your typical January here in The Greatest City in the World why cant we get this forecast in the end of December? Why this **** gotta happen in spring?
One thing that I don't like about continental climates in the eastern 2/3rds. Unpredictable spring weather. Especially in the Midwest (but also out east as well)
One thing that I don't like about continental climates in the eastern 2/3rds. Unpredictable spring weather. Especially in the Midwest (but also out east as well)
Out east is even worse because the spring warmup is much slower the further east you go. Which is why Minneapaolis warms up much quicker than Chicago, which in turn warms up much quicker than New York. So it sucks, from mid-February until June, the East gets the ****tiest weather in the countr
Look at those lows. -35 F in Saranac Lake March 9th had pretty ridiculous diurnal ranges for both Saranac Lake and Berlin as well.
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March 9th had pretty ridiculous diurnal ranges for both Saranac Lake and Berlin as well.
