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Old 01-20-2016, 02:32 PM
nei nei won $500 in our forum's Most Engaging Poster Contest - Thirteenth Edition (Jan-Feb 2015). 

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Location: Western Massachusetts
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Different model run, different snowfall amount

https://twitter.com/weatherbell/stat...26212311597056
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Old 01-20-2016, 03:01 PM
 
Location: Norman, OK
2,850 posts, read 1,969,179 times
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First one of these since last February:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
344 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016

...BRIEF SNOW SHOWERS IN NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING THEN A MAJOR WINTER STORM ARRIVES THURSDAY NIGHT...

.A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM CROSSING THE REGION WILL BRING A
QUICK SHOT OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A DUSTING TO JUST UNDER AN INCH... ENOUGH
TO MAKE ROADS SLIPPERY. A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST STARTING LATE THURSDAY EVENING... AND
LAST THROUGH SATURDAY.

NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-073>077-083-084-210900-
/O.NEW.KRAH.WS.A.0001.160122T0500Z-160123T2300Z/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-
LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...CHAPEL HILL...
CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...NASH VILLE...
RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SILER CITY...
PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON. ..SELMA...
BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUN T GILEAD...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...
DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...P OLKTON...
ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
344 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA IS EXPECTED TO SEE
SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER LATE THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY. LOCATIONS MOST IMPACTED WILL INCLUDE ALBEMARLE...
WADESBORO... NORTHEAST THROUGH SANFORD AND THE TRIANGLE AREA...
TO HENDERSON... WARRENTON... AND ROANOKE RAPIDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...A DANGEROUS WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA... FROM LATE THURSDAY
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS MOSTLY
SNOW AND SLEET... CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
SOUTHEAST INCLUDING FAYETTEVILLE... CLINTON... AND GOLDSBORO.

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES IN A BAND FROM ALBEMARLE NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE TRIANGLE REGION TO ROANOKE RAPIDS
... WITH AMOUNTS
UNDER AN INCH IN THE SOUTHEAST INCLUDING FAYETTEVILLE...
CLINTON... AND GOLDSBORO. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO A HALF
AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE
... WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS FROM ALBEMARLE
THROUGH THE TRIANGLE TO WARRENTON.

* TIMING...THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. A
TRANSITION TO FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT... THEN
ANOTHER SHOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BECOME DANGEROUS IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE IN SOME
PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA STARTING THURSDAY NIGHT AND
LASTING WELL INTO THE WEEKEND. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...FROM THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS WILL BE IN THE 20S TO AROUND 30 THURSDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE AROUND 30 NORTHWEST RANGING TO
AROUND 40 SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN HOLD FROM AROUND 30
TO THE MID 30S FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
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Old 01-20-2016, 03:53 PM
 
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What is Greencastle PA looking to get
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Old 01-20-2016, 03:57 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eagles2000 View Post
What is Greencastle PA looking to get
Most likely about 6-10 inches.
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Old 01-20-2016, 03:59 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,252,292 times
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Storm definitely slowed down. Now starting Saturday morning here.


Yeah, was watching Bernie just now, Southern CT definitely a Battle ground. Slight shift north and easily 10" of snow but I personally feel this is NOT a big deal for northern CT and MA..No big deal. That's my current opinion.


Thinking to myself.. Without getting too technical .. Upper Lows do not move as fast as surface lows. That's why this isn't a 6hr event. It's one of my favorite features.


I'm also impressed how far south it will be! Over the Gulf states! Just imagine it was 200 miles north... we would be in the 1-3 foot range up this way.


The other thing I rarely see them do is move due East. They almost always curl back Northeast as shown with my arrows...not the X's


With that said, that is the move we would need in order for us to get more snow than thought.


However, since it's forming in the south its possible it does just swing off the coast NOT benefiting us and then curls Northeast in the Atlantic too late for us.. That's probably whats going on.


This is all "wondering" because it's going against the only tools we have to look ahead. I just don't see it going straight across. We'll see..


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Old 01-20-2016, 03:59 PM
 
17 posts, read 18,727 times
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Where did u get those numbers from
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Old 01-20-2016, 04:08 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,252,292 times
Reputation: 16619
Here it comes... See the spin and the dive ESE around Colorado? And look at the Sub Jet in the gulf. Awesome.. They are going to blend and dance together soon


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/comp/ceus/wv-animated.gif





Storm Tracks. I like the blue clusters to the North of where they place the Low off NC/VA.


WPC Winter Weather Forecasts


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Old 01-20-2016, 04:14 PM
 
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What area is going to get the most snow? I have seen that it is going to be from Southern Pa down below DC and also that Mid maryland is going to get the worst of it. Who is going to get the most snow?????
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Old 01-20-2016, 04:16 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,252,292 times
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Current Alerts... I see bright yellow/green colors in there.




Current Advisories and Warnings - AerisWeather


Intellicast - Local Weather Forecast, Reports and Maps





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Old 01-20-2016, 04:20 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,772,648 times
Reputation: 1416
Quote:
Originally Posted by eagles2000 View Post
What area is going to get the most snow? I have seen that it is going to be from Southern Pa down below DC and also that Mid maryland is going to get the worst of it. Who is going to get the most snow?????
D.C Area
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