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Old 05-12-2015, 01:10 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,938,123 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
Interesting. Maybe a warmer than averages (not hot) summer here. Could be very wet (muggy) according to this model.





That looks terrible for us. Dry. What is the NMME model?
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Old 05-12-2015, 01:51 PM
 
Location: Atlanta
4,439 posts, read 5,522,253 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
That looks terrible for us. Dry. What is the NMME model?
A crap model that doesn't mean anything.

Dry in the SE during summer is one thing you can count on, as in a sure thing.
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Old 05-12-2015, 02:12 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
That looks terrible for us. Dry. What is the NMME model?
It's the North American Multi Model Ensemble

Quote:
The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) is an experimental multi-model seasonal forecasting system consisting of coupled models from US modeling centers including NOAA/NCEP, NOAA/GFDL, IRI, NCAR, NASA, and Canada's CMC.
North American Multi-Model Ensemble
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Old 05-12-2015, 02:22 PM
 
Location: Broward County, FL
16,191 posts, read 11,372,298 times
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Just had some strong storms miss us, all we have got were a couple of light rain showers from it now it's moving W out towards the Everglades. Ft. Myers looks like they're about to be hammered with storms. They always seem to get the best stuff on the West Coast.
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Old 05-12-2015, 02:55 PM
 
Location: Northville, MI
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I'm praying for the cold front. The humidity is making me sick.
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Old 05-12-2015, 03:52 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,938,123 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chicagogeorge View Post
It's the North American Multi Model Ensemble



North American Multi-Model Ensemble

Okay, all I needed to know. It is a US model and therefore a crap model. Take the opposite of what it says lol.

I'd be curious if we do get this strong El Nino if the warm blob in the NE Pacific will survive and remain as strong. Any thoughts?
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Old 05-12-2015, 04:25 PM
 
29,542 posts, read 19,636,351 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
Okay, all I needed to know. It is a US model and therefore a crap model. Take the opposite of what it says lol.

Well it's a multi model using various American models and also the Canadian. It is still in his experimental phase. It has potential


Quote:
I'd be curious if we do get this strong El Nino if the warm blob in the NE Pacific will survive and remain as strong. Any thoughts?
That could happen especially this fall
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Old 05-15-2015, 06:36 PM
 
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This looks promising

https://twitter.com/GenscapeWx/statu...89193486688256
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Old 05-15-2015, 06:41 PM
 
Location: Castlederp
9,264 posts, read 7,413,465 times
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Looks promising. Temperatures above 20C @6am. Shame it is just about the last frame of the run, and has a 1% chance of happening

http://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/...72/h500slp.png

http://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/.../ukmaxtemp.png


At this point, I would take an average June and July and a warmer than average August for once, as long as sunshine is at least slightly above average.

Can't be having another crap August like 2010 or 2012 which recorded around 110 hours of sunshine each , the two dullest Augusts on record
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Old 05-15-2015, 06:45 PM
 
1,011 posts, read 716,177 times
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LOL over two weeks away. I can see it now: actual May 31 weather, 9°C, 40mm of rain all day with 50mph winds.
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