Accuweather June forecast, a Paul Pastelok Tid Bit from this morning (AccuPro)
June:
1. Warmer-than-normal conditions from the
Northwest, north-central Plains and Midwest can go over top into central Canada and across into the
Northeast at times. Granted, the
Great Lakes may still be slightly cooler than normal at this time, but temperatures should still end up above normal and it will be drier than normal. (Confidence high)
2. Temperatures across the
northern Plains and Upper Midwest can end up 3-6 degrees higher compared to last year, but just south of this area may not be as hot depending on frequency of precipitation. Meanwhile, we continue with the idea that it will not be extremely hot this summer for the
Four Corners region where areas in eastern Arizona, New Mexico and southwestern Texas can end up 4-6 degrees cooler than last June. Humidity will run higher than most years as well. (Confidence high)
3. For the
interior Southwest and southern Plains, subtropical moisture can flow into region at times. The 30-year normals are low in this area. I am looking at just a couple of periods of showers/thunderstorms not all month but will continue to help dry areas of northwestern Texas and western Oklahoma from the past winter and early spring. This area should be able to eliminate over 90 percent of drought by midsummer. (Confidence high)
4.
Northern/central Plains to the mid-Mississippi Valley and even on east through the
Tennessee Valley can have one or two MCC events, convective systems that can blow up and produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall. I do not expect widespread rainfall this summer in this region but, in fact, it will be drier surrounding these one or two special events. (Confidence low)
5. The Southern jet stream will be strong still in June, and there can be frequent rain along the
Gulf coast states along with a higher chance for widespread flooding. June can be the wettest month of the season for this region. Warmer-than-normal water temperatures will allow dew points to run high consistently. We still have a concern for an early tropical hit along the
Gulf coast, but the stronger westerlies may hold back the intensity of this system. (Confidence moderate)
6. Temperatures were taken back down in
Southern California on what occurred in May with a series of upper lows holding back departures and also producing some rain. Our team feels that May's pattern could linger into early June. Our focus for significant dry areas in June is across northern areas of
California and the Northwest. We have also noticed that water temperature anomalies have backed off a little off the
Southern California coast. (Confidence moderate)
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