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Old 09-06-2020, 01:40 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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The weekly Covid 19 data for the past week saw hospitalizations continue to decline in Sarasota & Manatee Counties. Keep in mind that hospitalizations can lag the number of new cases by as much as two weeks.

Manatee County saw a continued decline in their test positivity rate. However Sarasota county saw the first weekly increase in their test positivity rate for quite a while. Also Sarasota County emergency room visits for Covid-19 symptoms saw their first weekly rise (from 38 to 41) in over a month. The rise was small but taken together with the rise in their test positive rate this could be the first verifiable sign that the downtrend is bottoming out in Sarasota County. That being said one week doesn't constitute a "trend" - so we'll watch closely for next weeks numbers.

*This weeks numbers were skewed slightly higher because of the Quest Labs data dump fiasco. According to the FDH on August 31 Sarasota County would of had 20 cases without the data dump. With the data dump Sarasota County had 35 cases. For Manatee County on August 31 they would of had 44 cases without the data dump. With the data dump they had 64 cases. The test positive ratios for both counties would of been slightly lower for the week without the data dump. I used the numbers (including the data dump) because the change was small and the data dump also means that the previous weeks were slightly under-reported. Even if we don't include the data dump for the week - Sarasota County still would of had a rise in their weekly test positive rate.

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As per the state data-base that lists hospitalizations with a primary diagnosis of Covid-19:

Sarasota County

August 23rd = Hospitalizations for Covid-19 stood at 67
August 30th = 45
September 6th = 38

Manatee County

August 23rd = Hospitalizations for Covid-19 stood at 39
August 30th = 25
September 6th = 20

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For the week of August 30th through September 5th:

Sarasota County

total positive cases = 234 (33.43 cases per day on average)
total tests = 8047 (1149.57 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 2.91%


Manatee County

total positive cases = 242 (34.57 cases per day on average)
total tests = 9565 (1366.43 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 2.53%

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For the week of August 23rd through August 29th:

Sarasota County

total positive cases = 207 (29.57 cases per day on average)
total tests = 8461 (1208.71 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 2.45%


Manatee County

total positive cases = 249 (35.57 cases per day on average)
total tests = 7797 (1113.86 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 3.19%

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For the week of August 16th through August 22nd:

Sarasota County

total positive cases = 342 (48.86 cases per day on average)
total tests = 9336 (1333.71 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 3.66%

Manatee County

total positive cases = 388 (55.43 cases per day on average)
total tests = 8256 (1179.42 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 4.7%

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For the week of August 9th through August 15th:

Sarasota County

total positive cases = 490 (70 cases per day on average)
total tests = 8706 (1244 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 5.6%


Manatee County

total positive cases = 477 (68 cases per day on average)
total tests = 8699 (1243 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 5.48%

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

For the week of August 2nd through August 8th:

Sarasota County

total positive cases = 535 (76.4 cases per day on average)
total tests = 9667 (1381 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 5.53%

Manatee County

total positive cases = 537 (77 cases per day on average)
total tests = 9014 (1288 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 5.96%

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For the week of July 26 through August 1:

Sarasota County

total positive cases = 643 (91.86 cases per day on average)
total tests = 11,202 (1600.28 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 5.74%

Manatee County

total positive cases = 869 (124.4 cases per day on average)
total tests = 16,044 (2292 tests per day on average)
test positivity rate = 5.41%

Last edited by wondermint2; 09-06-2020 at 03:05 PM..
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Old 09-06-2020, 03:49 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
Reputation: 1665
Quote:
Originally Posted by wondermint2 View Post
*This weeks numbers were skewed slightly higher because of the Quest Labs data dump fiasco. According to the FDH on August 31 Sarasota County would of had 20 cases without the data dump. With the data dump Sarasota County had 35 cases. For Manatee County on August 31 they would of had 44 cases without the data dump. With the data dump they had 64 cases. The test positive ratios for both counties would of been slightly lower for the week without the data dump. I used the numbers (including the data dump) because the change was small and the data dump also means that the previous weeks were slightly under-reported. Even if we don't include the data dump for the week - Sarasota County still would of had a rise in their weekly test positive rate.
I did the math and for the week of 8/30 - 9/5 if we exclude the data dump from Quest Labs the weekly test positive rate for Manatee County would be 2.37% - (versus 2.53% if we include the data dump).

For the week of 8/30 - 9/5 if we exclude the data dump from Quest Labs the weekly test positive rate for Sarasota County would be 2.90% - (versus 2.91% if we include the data dump).

Last edited by wondermint2; 09-06-2020 at 04:01 PM..
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Old 09-06-2020, 06:37 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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Judging from the photo in this article (see link below) - Clearwater Beach was packed today - and it doesn't look like there was much social distancing or mask use going on.

Beaches fill up for Labor Day weekend and doctors warn of potential for COVID-19 spread
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/med...ad/ar-BB18LEgi

Clearwater Beach was packed on Sunday with Labor Day weekend beach dwellers. Traffic was backed up on the bridge and the beach was covered with umbrellas, chairs, and families in and around the water.

Moderator cut: copyright cut

Last edited by MJJersey; 09-16-2020 at 08:08 AM..
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Old 09-07-2020, 01:48 PM
 
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What Young, Healthy People Have to Fear From COVID-19
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/med...19/ar-BB18MHOZ

“It doesn’t matter if younger, healthier people get infected,” Scott Atlas said in a July interview with San Diego’s **** news station. “I don’t know how often that has to be said. They have nearly zero risk of a problem from this … When younger, healthier people get infected, that’s a good thing.”

Death is not a synonym for risk.

Many COVID-19 patients experience protracted illness. These “long-haulers” suffer from a diabolical grab bag of symptoms, including chronic fatigue, shortness of breath, unrelenting fevers, gastrointestinal problems, lost sense of smell, hallucinations, short-term-memory loss, bulging veins, bruising, gynecological problems, and an erratic heartbeat. And according to the neuroscientist David Putrino, chronic patients are typically young (the average age in his survey is 44), female, and formerly healthy.

For men in their 30s about 1.2 percent of COVID-19 infections result in hospitalization, according to a July study published in Science. Once the disease has progressed to this point, the risk of chronic illness soars. Research from Italy found that roughly nine in 10 hospitalized patients said they still had symptoms after two months. A British study reported a similar risk of long-term illness.

Now the math: When you multiply the hospitalization rate for 30-something men (about 1.2 percent) by the chronic-illness rate of hospitalized patients (almost 90 percent), you get about 1 percent. That means a guy in his 30's has a one-in-100 chance of developing a long-term illness after contracting COVID-19. For context, the estimated infection-fatality rate for somebody in their 60s is 0.7 percent, according to the same study in Science.

You might be used to thinking of 30-somethings as safe and seniors as at risk in this pandemic. But if a man in his 30s and a man in his 60s both contract COVID-19, it is more likely that the 30-something will develop a months-long illness than that the 60-something will die, according to this research. (The calculation above doesn’t even include the countless long-haulers who never went to the hospital.)


More frightening than what we’re learning now is what we cannot yet know: the truly long-term—as in, decades-long—implications of this disease for the body. “We know that hepatitis C leads to liver cancer, we know that human papillomavirus leads to cervical cancer, we know that HIV leads to certain cancers,” Howard Forman, a health-policy professor at Yale, told James Hamblin and Katherine Wells of The Atlantic. “We have no idea whether having had this infection means that, 10 years from now, you have an elevated risk of lymphoma.”‪

Last edited by wondermint2; 09-07-2020 at 01:59 PM..
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Old 09-07-2020, 04:52 PM
 
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Interesting. Right in the governor's backyard. And most of these cases are from the school and college age group. Ironically the big lawsuit about opening schools is being heard in Leon County......

Leon County a Covid-19 hotspot on New York Times map
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/co...es/ar-BB18LuKB

The capital county saw a record 311-case jump on Saturday, and another 221 cases were added to the county's total Sunday, according to state health department reports.

Leon County is listed as a hotspot on the New York Times's online map of coronavirus cases, with an average of 183 cases added to the county's total daily.

The state health department's online dashboard shows a recent spike in the number of cases added to Leon County's total every day since Aug. 31. Health officials point to the rapid rise in cases involving the school- and college-age group.

Of the new cases added Sunday, 174 were between the ages of 18 and 24. That's roughly 79% of Sunday's new cases.

Notable among the Leon residents to have tested positive this weekend are four 1-year-olds, a 3-year-old girl, and two babies listed as "zero" years old.

The capital county's total, cumulative number of residents to have tested positive for the virus now stands at 7,493. The overall positivity rate is now 10%.

As Leon County Schools reopened physical classrooms Monday, at least nine students and three employees or teachers have tested positive for the virus, according to emails sent out from principals.

The schools with confirmed cases include Godby, Rickards and Chiles high schools, Montford Middle School, Fort Braden School, Swift Creek Middle School and Hawks Rise Elementary School.

Last edited by wondermint2; 09-07-2020 at 05:28 PM..
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Old 09-08-2020, 01:02 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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Sturgis motorcycle rally in South Dakota in August linked to more than 250,000 coronavirus cases, study finds
https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/stor...nds-2020-09-08

The 10-day Sturgis Motorcycle Rally in South Dakota in August, which drew more than 400,000 people, has now been linked to more than 250,000 coronavirus cases, according to a study by the IZA Institute of Labor Economics.

Using anonymized cellphone data from the rally, researchers from the University of Colorado Denver, Bentley University, University of California San Diego and San Diego State University found the bikers, who were filmed and photographed in crowded bars, restaurants and outdoor venues mostly without face masks, allowed for many of the “worst-case scenarios” for “superspreading.”

The event “was prolonged, included individuals packed closely together, involved a large out-of-town population, and had low compliance with recommended infection countermeasures such as the use of masks,” the researchers wrote.

The event will cost an estimated $12.2 billion in health-care costs, they wrote.
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Old 09-08-2020, 01:15 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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Sarasota County Schools has created a COVID-19 data dashboard to inform parents, students, staff and the community about the spread of coronavirus in our schools. The dashboard can be found by clicking the link below. The COVID-19 Data Dashboard will be updated at 3 pm daily. Schools impacted by COVID-19 cases are listed along with the number of employees and students:

Sarasota County Schools Covid-19 Dashboard
https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrI...JkMSIsImMiOjF9

------------------------------------------------------------

Manatee County School District Covid-19 Dashboard
https://www.manateeschools.net/Page/10223
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Old 09-08-2020, 01:31 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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1,000 Americans move to Florida EVERY DAY as families abandon northern cities in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut - with home sales more than doubling in the Sunshine State
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...-pandemic.html

- Home sales in some parts of Florida have more than doubled since the pandemic

- Roughly 950 move to Florida a day and many come from high-tax Northern cities in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut

- In Palm Beach County new single-family home contracts over $1million saw a 268% increase compared to last year

- The wealthy end of the market swelled 'across the major markets of South Florida' as well as Tampa and St. Pete since the start of the pandemic

- Experts say many people are still moving to the Sunshine State fearing that a second wave of COVID-19 could hit with flu season

"Roughly 950 people move to Florida every day and the state has seen 'unprecedented demand' and an uptick in luxury home sales as people in northern states flee large cities amid the pandemic for more space and sunnier shores.

The influx in new residents comes as the coronavirus shutdown led families to flee congested cities and seek short-term stays that turned into permanent moves."
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Old 09-08-2020, 04:23 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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Coronavirus: 'The question is whether colleges can bring them under control'
https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-c...131241982.html

Hundreds of colleges across the U.S. are forging ahead with open campuses despite various coronavirus outbreaks early in the semester.

“I think it's fair to have expected a lot of cases on campus,” Robert Kelchen, associate professor of higher education at Seton Hall University, told Yahoo Finance. “The question is whether colleges can bring them under control through testing, tracing, and quarantining.”

The next two weeks will be critical in determining whether colleges’ strategies are truly paying off for the more than 600 schools that are conducting classes in person this fall, according to Kelchen.

The situation on the ground reveals an apparent struggle to contain the highly infectious coronavirus as cases pop up in college towns across the country. A dashboard created by Benjy Renton, a senior at Middlebury College, tracks the levels of outbreaks at around 50 schools and shows over two dozen schools at “red alert” — meaning a major outbreak of more than 500 cases — going into Labor Day weekend.

The decision whether to close campuses after they reopened is a dicey one: Sending college students home is “the worst thing you could do," Dr. Anthony Fauci said on NBC's "TODAY" show. "When you send them home, particularly when you're dealing with a university where people come from multiple different locations, you could be seeding the different places with infection.”

Kelchen highlighted the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign’s comprehensive testing program, which requires faculty, staff, and students on campus to test for COVID-19 twice a week and receive negative results “at least every four days.”

Even then, there are signs of trouble: Last week, the school announced that about a thousand students tested positive since August 16, pushing the school to limit in-person activities for the next two weeks.

A New York Times survey of American colleges and universities found more than 51,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and at least 60 deaths so far amid the pandemic.
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Old 09-08-2020, 04:37 PM
 
8,397 posts, read 4,688,556 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wondermint2 View Post
A New York Times survey of American colleges and universities found more than 51,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and at least 60 deaths so far amid the pandemic.
Colleges with coronavirus cases since the pandemic began (Interactive Map):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...s-tracker.html

As colleges start the academic year amid a pandemic, coronavirus cases are turning up by the thousands.

A New York Times survey of more than 1,500 American colleges and universities — including every four-year public institution, every private college that competes in N.C.A.A. sports and others that identified cases — has revealed at least 51,000 cases and at least 60 deaths since the pandemic began. (Map last updated on September 3rd).
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