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You're still holding out Hope this thing gets worse huh. Good for you for hanging in there. Many of us like positive and realistic news.
The new cases / hospitalizations are on the downslope, so it's already getting better. The problem is the backlog of people infected 2 weeks ago that are going to die off at increasing rates until we get to 2 weeks after this drop in ICU admissions
The new cases / hospitalizations are on the downslope, so it's already getting better. The problem is the backlog of people infected 2 weeks ago that are going to die off at increasing rates until we get to 2 weeks after this drop in ICU admissions
New York City: 81,803 total coronavirus cases 4,927 NEW cases 6.41% day-over-day growth rate
If only 81K were infected it would actually be a total disaster. The reason is we have 8.5 million residents so if you opened up the city again there would be 8.42 million people ready to start this whole thing up again.
Most likely 1 million+ were infected, I don't know if that's enough of a herd. Whatever happens everybody is going to have to wear masks for a very long time and I don't see how any restaurants can open until a vaccine is available
you have 8k new cases for the previous two days, and today it jumped to 10k. how is that flattening?
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlakeJones
The new cases / hospitalizations are on the downslope, so it's already getting better. The problem is the backlog of people infected 2 weeks ago that are going to die off at increasing rates until we get to 2 weeks after this drop in ICU admissions
If only 81K were infected it would actually be a total disaster. The reason is we have 8.5 million residents so if you opened up the city again there would be 8.42 million people ready to start this whole thing up again.
Most likely 1 million+ were infected, I don't know if that's enough of a herd. Whatever happens everybody is going to have to wear masks for a very long time and I don't see how any restaurants can open until a vaccine is available
I think by Mid May or June we slowly open the economy back restaurants going do takeouts no dinning in, no more than 5 customers in nails, hair places etc. I think it last until July/August.
New York City: 81,803 total coronavirus cases 4,927 NEW cases 6.41% day-over-day growth rate there are over 4,000 deaths.
Very Sad Numbers.
What helps me is context and comparisons.
As of 2010 (The last Census) about 52,575 per year or 6.4 per 1000 people died in NYC. It's about the same number give or take every year. While 4000 is very sad and all of those families are hurting, there are much bigger numbers we don't even bat an eye at.
April 8: 149,316 cases
April 3: 102,863 cases
March 29: 59,513 cases
March 24: 25,665 cases
March 19: 4,152 cases
March 14: 613 cases
March 9: 142 cases
March 4: 11 cases
4/8/2020
There were 10,453 new cases of COVID-19 reported in New York State today. In New York City there were 4,927 new positive cases. In the rest of the state there were 5,526 new positive tests, DOH says. There were 25,095 tests taken. Cases continue to jump on Long Island too.
Nassau County in Long Island added a significant amount of new cases at 1,938 for a total of 18,548.
Suffolk County in Long Island also added more cases today, up 1,327 to 15,844. Westchester County added 1,083 cases and remaining in third place statewide with 15,887 cases.
-Almost 50% of all tests in the Bronx yielded positive results.
-Almost 50% of all tests in Queens yielded positive results.
New York state alone has more cases of coronavirus than any country outside U.S.
149,316 confirmed cases
18,079 hospitalized (+586)
ICU: n/a (4,593 on 4.7.20)
32,679 cumulative hospitalizations
6,268 fatalities (+779/CFR = 4.20)
Total tests: 365,153 (40.89 percent positive)
This have a huge flaw. I have friends and family that work in hospitals and they all tell me the same thing. Most people that come in with symptoms they are not even testing. They are sending them home to self quarantine for 14 days. From what im being told they only test if they come in with severe conditions and by then its straight to a ventilator, if ones available.
So the real question is are there less cases because they are testing less or are there less cases because the virus actually passed it course?
you have 8k new cases for the previous two days, and today it jumped to 10k. how is that flattening?
I'm going off the numbers of hospitalizations and ICU admissions which have dropped a lot. If the cases are still going up it's probably because of more testing. They say at least 10x more people are infected than have tested positive
It's like the NYPD and comstat. Statisticians use the numbers from murders as the real crime rate because you can't make the bodies disappear like you can with robberies and assaults you might not want to log so your precinct numbers look worse
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