[lvmensch]

Originally Posted by equid0x

Delays. Not cancellations.

There are zero sports events that get cancelled weeks in advance because the weatherman says we might have thunderstorms in 3 weeks.

if you had a good plague going killing 20% of the population you might very well cancel a game or event a month in advance.

[equid0x]

Originally Posted by lvmensch

if you had a good plague going killing 20% of the population you might very well cancel a game or event a month in advance.

Read comment #215. It seems you are willfully ignoring it. 20% of the population is not dying of COVID-19. At present, 0.002% of the population has died of COVID-19, a number which is an order of magnitude less than the number of people who died of the flu here in 2017.

[lvmensch]

Originally Posted by equid0x

Read comment #215. It seems you are willfully ignoring it. 20% of the population is not dying of COVID-19. At present, 0.002% of the population has died of COVID-19, a number which is an order of magnitude less than the number of people who died of the flu here in 2017.

You do not seem to be able to understand the questions you ask. There are conditions that would cause even a super bowl to be delayed. There are conditions that would not interfere with holding a super bowl.

What is it that you do not understand?

[SusVelo]

Originally Posted by equid0x

Delays. Not cancellations.

There are zero sports events that get cancelled weeks in advance because the weatherman says we might have thunderstorms in 3 weeks.

Because that’s the time it takes for lightning to pass..

[equid0x]

Originally Posted by lvmensch

You do not seem to be able to understand the questions you ask. There are conditions that would cause even a super bowl to be delayed. There are conditions that would not interfere with holding a super bowl.

What is it that you do not understand?

What conditions exist here in Nevada that warrant a shutdown, when the death toll from COVID-19 is an order or magnitude less than the flu season of 2017?

Again...

Deaths from COVID-19: 58
Deaths from Flu in 2017: 636

[lvmensch]

Originally Posted by equid0x

What conditions exist here in Nevada that warrant a shutdown, when the death toll from COVID-19 is an order or magnitude less than the flu season of 2017?

Again...

Deaths from COVID-19: 58
Deaths from Flu in 2017: 636

You are using an actual versus a probability.

You need to see the various projection of what is going to happen not what has happened. And you need to be careful. You often end up in the situation where the likely case can be tolerated but the worse case is a disaster.

And you need to understand the risk. Get it wrong and you kill 10,000 people.

So care and judgement is called for. And you err in the conservative direction. Want to be very careful when the wrong decision can kill a lot of people.

[44inarow]

Originally Posted by rhuff80

That's some interesting math. That's not how a mortality rate is calculated. Granted, we have no real idea because we have no tests. It's pretty tough to get an idea of what's happening with the virus right now. We likely won't have a good idea for months due to the incomplete data. We might never know.

When it's all said and done, I'm thinking the mortality rate FOR THOSE INFECTED will be about ~1.5 percent in the US.

The testing thing is a huge problem with the numbers. It sounds like it's getting better, but until recently, it was basically impossible to get a test unless you were already showing serious symptoms.

[equid0x]

Originally Posted by lvmensch

You are using an actual versus a probability.

You need to see the various projection of what is going to happen not what has happened. And you need to be careful. You often end up in the situation where the likely case can be tolerated but the worse case is a disaster.

And you need to understand the risk. Get it wrong and you kill 10,000 people.

So care and judgement is called for. And you err in the conservative direction. Want to be very careful when the wrong decision can kill a lot of people.

Well, the problem I have is that so far, the actuals aren't at all meeting the projections. In fact, they look just like seasonal flu on any other year.

I would expect that we begin exceeding flu season numbers first before taking drastic steps like crashing the Nevada economy and putting 50% of the state population out of a job. But I guess that's just me and my conservative approach.

[airics]

Originally Posted by equid0x

Well, the problem I have is that so far, the actuals aren't at all meeting the projections. In fact, they look just like seasonal flu on any other year.

I would expect that we begin exceeding flu season numbers first before taking drastic steps like crashing the Nevada economy and putting 50% of the state population out of a job. But I guess that's just me and my conservative approach.

so when this is over.. which may be soon, may not be soon... what % goes back to work, thats the question....I have to agree, to devastate an economy is pretty darn scary... this may level out even before the first stimulus check is cashed... if that were the case, maybe they will cancel the checks... jk

[vegasfan1985]

Some people don't believe the Strip is opening back up to July. If you really think this thing dies off in a few weeks and goes away, I have a bridge to Alaska to sell you.

So many people in Vegas are in denial about this whole thing because they want to get back to their life of party and sin. I get that, but unfortunately that's not happening for a long time.