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Long as it stays 40 or more offshore from me i should be ok. If it blew up to a CAT4 and made landfall just north of me it would pull up a bowl of water 18ft high. That would be the end for me for good. Not gonna go on if the house goes.
Best case it 70 miles west of me and 10” of rain and winds 80mph or less. Anything over 120mph and it is over.
LKJ1988, if I remember correctly, you complained during previous hurricane seasons that the big ones passed you by.
Since Idalia was named, it's the 1st use of that name in the Atlantic, replacing Irma in 2017. What's interesting is that Irma impacted Florida significantly & Idalia is posed to hit the same state. crazy coincidence.
Mon 28Aug 5aEDT/4aCDT: Winds 65mph(100km/h), moving finally, North at 7mph(11km/h), pressure 989mb. Those storms did stick overnight and it's strengthening.
Some of the surge potential values, surge will be highest near and to the south of where makes landfall, the shape of the big bend area will also trap water near and to the North as well in this case:
Cuba: 4-6ft S coast of Pinar del Rio.
Florida:
Aucilla River, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...7-11 ft
Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL...6-9 ft
Ochlockonee River, FL to Aucilla River, FL...4-7 ft
Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL...4-7 ft
Tampa Bay...4-7 ft
Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...3-5 ft
Englewood, FL to Chokoloskee, FL...2-4 ft
Charlotte Harbor...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Ochlockonee River, FL...2-4 ft
Chokoloskee, FL to East Cape Sable, FL...1-3 ft
Florida Keys...1-2 ft
NHC with 115mph just off FL coast in forecast. Then 65mph along the GA/SC coast...that will also cause storm surge North and near the center (onshore wind direction push), downed trees and power outages as well.
Mon 28Aug 8aEDT/7aCDT: Winds 65mph(100km/h), moving North at 8mph(13km/h), pressure 989mb. Air recon in storm now measuring 60-65mph surface winds. Still sloppy on satellite but a LOT of storms continue to fire away.
Mon mid-morning: looks like a little bit of wind shear from the North is keeping storm steady strength right at this moment. It’s trying to wrap storms around its center but these attempts keep failing. If can close off an eye and maintain it, then Storm can protect itself from shear better and strengthen more. Likely occurs at some point today though.
Since Idalia was named, it's the 1st use of that name in the Atlantic, replacing Irma in 2017. What's interesting is that Irma impacted Florida significantly & Idalia is posed to hit the same state. crazy coincidence.
Those "I" named storms can be a B**CH!!
13 I names have been retired, eleven since 2001
Iris (2001)
Isidore (2002)
Isabel (2003)
Ivan (2004)
Ike (2008)
Igor (2010)
Irene (2011)
Ingrid (2013)
Irma (2017)
Iota (2020)
Whatever forecasters use these days to predict intensity of storms needs to be re-examined. A few days ago local forecasters were saying it would be a TS, maybe a Cat 1 by the time it hit, now we're looking at 3. Wouldn't surprise me if it went to a 4 at the rate it's intensifying, those water temperatures are no joke.
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